Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Monday, September 15, 2025

By: Victor King Published 09/15/2025, 10:59 AM ET
Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction
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Philadelphia Phillies (89-61) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (83-65) 

The MLB betting action continues Monday, September 15, 2025, with the nine-game card, including the marquee showdown at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, and we’ve got you covered with our Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction.

It’s the opening game of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. These two National League foes lock horns for the second time in 2025, and the Phillies took two out of three games against the Dodgers in April.

Read more about this Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction, one of our MLB picks for Monday’s slate. The first pitch at Dodger Stadium is set at 10:10 PM ET, and the Dodgers open as -125 moneyline favorites with a total of 8.5 runs.

The Phillies look to get back on track                            

The Philadelphia Phillies put an end to their six-game winning streak on Sunday afternoon, suffering a 10-3 defeat to the Kansas City Royals in a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Phila hit three solo homers and had a 2-0 lead after the first inning, but Aaron Nola had another awful day on the mound, allowing six earned runs across six innings of work.

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The Phillies have done a great job lately. They’ve won nine of their previous 11 games overall, and the Phillies are on the verge of clinching the NL East title. Philadelphia is slashing a robust .320/.389/.535 with 18 home runs in September, while the Phillies bullpen has compiled a 3.25 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and a .211 batting average against.

Ranger Suarez will take the mound at Dodger Stadium on Monday night. The 30-year-old left-hander is 12-6 with a strong 2.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 23 starts (143 innings pitched) this season. He’s been terrific over his previous four starts, allowing just one earned run on 20 hits and six walks across 24 innings of work.

Suarez is 3-2 with a 3.42 ERA in four career starts and three relief appearances against the Dodgers. He hasn’t met them since 2023, and the current Dodgers are 21-for-67 with six doubles and two home runs against Suarez.

The Dodgers are fighting for the NL West title                                         

The Los Angeles Dodgers visited the San Francisco Dodgers on Sunday afternoon, and this game has been excluded from the analysis. It was a rubber match of a three-game series. The Giants took the opener 5-1, and the Dodgers responded with a 13-7 victory.

The Dodgers have won five of their previous six games overall. They were topping the NL West on Sunday morning, two and a half games above the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers are hitting .259/.329/.439 with 15 home runs in September, while their bullpen has amassed a 4.91 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and a .183 batting average against.

At the time of writing, it was unknown who would get the starting call for the Dodgers on Monday night. Emmet Sheehan could get the nod, as his previous start came last Tuesday, when the 25-year-old righty threw seven innings of a one-run ball in a 7-2 victory over the Colorado Rockies. Sheehan is 6-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 10 starts and two relief appearances (59.2 IP) in 2025.

Phillies vs. Dodgers Pick 

Moneyline Pick for Phillies vs. Dodgers   

  • Philadelphia Phillies (5 units) 

The Phillies miss SS Trea Turner and 3B Alec Bohm, but I have to take them at plus money in the opening game of this series. Ranger Suarez is having a wonderful season, and I mentioned how good he has been lately.

The Dodgers have recorded a .824 OPS and 132 wRC+ against the lefties in the last 10 days. However, Suarez doesn’t look like an ordinary lefty. His recent form has been outstanding. The Phillies’ lineup has been destroying the righties over the past 10 days, notching a .955 OPS and 161 wRC+. Against the lefties, the Phillies have recorded a .862 OPS and 139 wRC+.

Over/Under Pick for Phillies vs. Dodgers    

  • Over 8.5 (5 units)  

I’m backing Ranger Suarez to pitch well, but he won’t be able to shut the Dodgers down completely. Whoever gets the starting call for the Dodgers will have a tall task to keep the red-hot Phillies quiet, so I will take the over on the total.

The Phillies have scored six or more runs in five of their previous six games overall. On the other side, the Dodgers have scored at least five runs in four of their last six outings. The Dodgers ‘pen has been shaky all season and could easily struggle against the Phillies’ lineup.

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