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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 7, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 09/07/2025, 05:34 AM ET
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

It’s a National League East battle on Sunday, Sept. 7.  Read our Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction along with our other Free MLB Picks and cash in.

The Phillies are 83-59 as they lead the NL East by 6.5 games over the Mets. They are also just a few games back of the National League leaders in Milwaukee. The Marlins are 65-77 and they are in third place in the division. The Phillies are set to start Taijuan Walker, while the Marlins have yet to announce a starting pitcher. These two teams will meet with first pitch set for 1:40 P.M. EST.

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Philadelphia in firm control of National League East

Philadelphia is 83-59 overall this season. They are in first place in the National League East as they lead the Mets by 6.5 games. The Phillies are four games back of the Brewers for the top spot in the National League. The Phillies are 38-36 when they have played on the road. They have won seven of their last nine games. The Phillies are 7-2 when they have played the Marlins this season. In their last game, they defeated the Marlins 4-2 on Saturday, Sept. 6.

Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies against the Marlins. The right-handed pitcher is 4-7 with a 3.92 ERA in 18 starts and 11 relief appearances. His last start saw him throw four innings against the Brewers on Sept. 1. Walker allowed five runs and seven hits in a 10-8 win. The Phillies are 9-9 when Walker has started this season. Walker has an ERA of 4.25 when pitching at home. He also has a 4.37 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

The Phillies are hitting .258 this season which ranks third best in the league. They rank 10th in runs scored and third in hits. Philadelphia has hit the 10th most home runs, while they also have the ninth most doubles. They are hitting .243 this season on the road and .265 since the All-Star break. In nine games, the Phillies are hitting .297 against the Marlins.

Marlins struggling in 5-game losing streak

Miami is 65-77 overall this season. They are in third place in the National League East division. They are 18 games back of the Phillies for first place. The Marlins are also 11 games back of a wild card spot as they are most likely to miss the postseason. The Marlins are 31-39 when they play at home. They have lost five straight games coming into Sunday. The Marlins have also lost eight of their last 11 games.

As of Saturday, the Marlins have not announced who will start in this game. As a team, the Marlins have an ERA of 4.73 which ranks fifth-worst. They rank eighth-worst in strikeouts, while they have allowed the fourth most runs. The Marlins have an ERA of 4.36 when pitching at home. They also have a 5.03 ERA in the second half of the season and a 3.68 ERA against National League Central opponents.

Miami is hitting .249 this season, which ranks 14th. They have scored the 19th most runs while they rank seventh in hits. The Marlins have the sixth most doubles, but they have hit the fourth fewest home runs. They are hitting .241 when playing at home and .240 since the All-Star break. They also have a .247 batting average when facing the Phillies this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Picks

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Spread Pick for Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

  • Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (5 units)

The Phillies are playing some great baseball as they have won seven of their last nine games. They also have the Marlins' number this season winning seven of their nine meetings. The Phillies will get the sweep and win Sunday as Miami most likely starts a bullpen game. The Marlins have a team ERA of 5.03 in the second half of the season. The Phillies are hitting .265 since the All-Star break and .297 against the Marlins. Philadelphia is starting Taijuan Walker, who has a 3.92 ERA this year.

Take the Phillies to cover. 

 

Over/Under Pick for Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

  • Over 8.5 runs (5 units) 

Offense will lead the way in this game. The Phillies have the Marlins' number this year, batting nearly .300 against them. The Marlins also have a 5.03 ERA since the All-Star break, which will be exploited by the Phillies. The Marlins' offense has also been solid at home, hitting .241 inside their home park. They also rank seventh in hits and sixth in doubles, as they will get their chances to score.

Take the over on Sunday. 

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