Rangers vs. Senators, Picks and Prediction, Thursday, December 4, 2025

The Ottawa Senators (13-9-4) will host the New York Rangers (14-12-2) on Thursday night. This will be the first head-to-head matchup of the season between these teams.

Check out more NHL selections and other picks this weekend at Winners and Whiners.

Rangers playing well

The New York Rangers have won four of their last five games after knocking off Dallas 3-2 in overtime on Tuesday at home. The Rangers are now back on the road, where they are 11-4-1 this season.

On defense, New York is fifth, allowing only 2.6 goals per game. They are third in opponents' shooting percentage and 21st in shots against per game. Igor Shesterkin leads the team with an 11-9-2 record, 2.45 GAA, and .912 save percentage.

Offensively, leftwing Artemi Panarin leads the way with 28 points on the year (20 assists, 8 goals). The Rangers are currently without the team's leading offensive producer, defenseman Adam Fox (23 assists, 3 goals), who is currently on the injured reserve list. As a team, New York is 27th in the NHL in scoring (2.6 gpg), 24th in shots, and 25th in shooting percentage.

Senators back at home

After playing their last seven games on the road, the Ottawa Senators are now returning home on Thursday, where they are 7-6-2. Ottawa ended its road trip with a 5-2 win over Montreal on Thursday.

Leading the team on offense are center Tim Stuzle with 24 points (11 goals, 13 assists) and rightwing Drake Batherson with 22 points (9 goals, 13 assists). Ottawa ranks 11th in the NHL in scoring (3.1 gpg), 25th in shots, and seventh in shooting percentage.

On defense, the Senators have had their ups and downs. They are 22nd in goals allowed (3.3), fourth in shots against, but 30th in opponents' shooting percentage. In net, Linus Ullmark leads the team with a 10-6-4 record, 3.05 GAA, and .876 save percentage.

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators Predictions

Rangers vs Senators ML Pick:

• Rangers +125 (5 units)

The home team is getting too much love here. The New York Rangers have been an excellent road team this season at 11-4-1 and hold a strong defensive advantage. The Rangers have won four of their last five games with two on the road.

Ottawa has lost four of its last five games when playing a team with a road winning percentage above. 600, and the Rangers have also won four of the last five head-to-head.

This is a strong spot and excellent price to back the dog.

Rangers vs Senators Total Pick:

• Over 5.5 (4 units)

Neither team has been the most impressive offensively, but the total here is too low for the situation. New York has scored at least three goals in four of its last five games, and the Ottawa Senators have combined for at least seven goals with their opponents in four straight games.

Igor Shesterkin has been holding it down for New York, but fatigue could be on its way. With Rangers' back-up goalie Jonathan Quick injured, Shesterkin hasn't been able to get any extra nights off lately.

I like the over.