UFC Betting Picks & Predictions

By: Devin Erickson-Sheehy Updated 10/16/2026, 05:12 PM ET
Fact Checked by Kim Smith

Our UFC betting picks cover every fight card with expert analysis on moneylines, props, and parlays to help you find the best bets every weekend. Whether it's a numbered pay-per-view event or a Fight Night card, our MMA analysts break down fighter matchups, stylistic advantages, and betting value across the entire slate. Get full predictions and detailed breakdowns in our free sports betting picks hub for every major sport.

UFC Edmonton Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 17

The UFC returns to Canada on Saturday with UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The welterweight main event features Joaquin Buckley against Canadian contender Mike Malott, while Erin Blanchfield meets Jasmine Jasudavicius in a high-level women's flyweight co-main event.

Saturday's card gives bettors a wide range of markets to evaluate, from straight moneylines and fight totals to method-of-victory props and round betting. Our UFC betting picks break down the matchups fight by fight, focusing on recent form, striking and grappling styles, cardio, durability, opponent quality and the current betting price before arriving at a prediction.

The main card begins at 8 p.m. ET, with preliminary action starting earlier in the evening. Friday's official weigh-ins are complete, allowing bettors to evaluate the final card with confirmed weights before Saturday's lines close.

UFC Edmonton Main Event: Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott

Buckley vs Malott headlines the card in a five-round welterweight matchup between two ranked fighters moving in very different directions.

Malott enters with home-country support and an opportunity to continue climbing the 170-pound rankings, while Buckley is trying to regain momentum against another dangerous opponent. The matchup creates several betting questions beyond simply choosing the winner: whether the fight reaches the later rounds, how effectively Malott can handle Buckley's explosiveness and pressure, and whether either fighter can consistently dictate where the fight takes place.

Our full fight analysis weighs those factors against the available moneyline and prop prices rather than treating the favorite as an automatic bet.

Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

The co-main event could have significant implications near the top of the women's flyweight division.

Blanchfield remains one of the division's strongest grapplers, while Jasudavicius has developed into a difficult matchup because of her size, physicality and ability to compete through extended wrestling and clinch exchanges. When two fighters share overlapping strengths, the key is not simply counting takedowns. Control, defensive reactions, striking between grappling exchanges and the ability to maintain pace over three rounds all become important.

That makes this the type of fight where the method-of-victory and distance markets can be just as relevant as the straight moneyline.

Free UFC Picks for Every Fight Card

Winners and Whiners covers UFC numbered events, Fight Night cards and major international shows throughout the year. Our MMA previews are built around the fight itself first and the wager second.

For each matchup, we evaluate:

  • Recent UFC results and level of opposition
  • Striking output, defense, power and range
  • Wrestling, takedown defense and cage control
  • Submission offense and defensive grappling
  • Cardio, durability and five-round experience when relevant
  • Injuries, layoffs, short-notice replacements and weight changes
  • Current moneylines, fight totals and available prop markets
  • Meaningful line movement throughout fight week

Every fight preview includes a prediction and at least one betting selection based on the matchup and the available price.

UFC Moneyline, Prop and Parlay Picks

The moneyline is only one way to bet UFC fights. In many matchups, a prop or total can offer a better price than laying a heavy favorite.

Our UFC prop bet picks focus on markets such as fighter by decision, fighter by KO/TKO, fighter by submission, fight goes the distance, fight does not go the distance and round totals. Those wagers are evaluated independently rather than assumed from the moneyline.

For bettors looking to combine multiple fights, our UFC parlay picks focus on building tickets from selections that can stand on their own rather than stacking several expensive favorites simply to create plus-money odds.

Before placing a wager, compare the current number with our UFC betting odds and lines coverage. MMA markets can move quickly after weigh-ins, injury reports or late fight-week information, and getting -140 instead of -160 can materially change the value of the same prediction.

How We Handicap UFC Fights

MMA is especially matchup-dependent. A fighter can look dominant against one style and struggle badly against another opponent who forces the fight into different positions.

That is why our UFC analysis begins with how the fighters actually interact.

A pressure striker may have strong overall numbers but struggle against an opponent who can repeatedly change levels. A high-volume wrestler may be less effective against a fighter with strong cage defense and quick get-ups. A dangerous finisher may still be a poor Under bet if the opponent has proven durable against elite competition.

Recent results matter, but they need context. We look at who each fighter faced, how those fights unfolded and whether the same strengths and weaknesses are likely to matter in the upcoming matchup.

UFC Odds and Line Movement

UFC betting lines can change substantially between opening odds and fight night.

Early movement may reflect sharp action, while later changes can follow weigh-ins, opponent replacements, injuries or increased public betting on a popular fighter. A good prediction does not automatically remain a good bet at every number.

That is why our fight previews include current odds and line movement whenever it materially affects the selection.

Bettors looking beyond the current card can also follow our UFC futures betting picks for championship markets, divisional contenders and longer-term opportunities.

Get UFC Picks Every Fight Week

Check back before each UFC event for updated fight predictions, current odds and matchup analysis from the prelims through the main event.

Our goal is straightforward: explain how the fight is likely to unfold, identify the market that best matches that prediction and give readers a clear betting case at the current price.

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