Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins, Picks and Prediction, Thursday, September 11, 2025
It’s another game in the National League East slated for Thursday, Sept. 11. Read our Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction along with our other best MLB picks for the night. The Nationals are 60-85 this season and they are in last place in the NL East, but they have won four of their last five games. The Marlins are 67-79 and they sit in third place in the division. The Marlins have lost seven of their last nine games, too. Both teams are most likely to miss the playoffs this season. The Nationals will start Brad Lord while Ryan Weathers gets the nod for the Marlins. The first pitch is set for 6:40 P.M. EST.
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Washington in last place in National League East
Washington is 60-85 overall this season. They are in last place in the National League East division. The Nationals are 25.5 games back of the Phillies and they are 15.5 games back of the wild card. They are most likely to miss the playoffs with their time running short. The Nationals have won seven of their last nine games coming into this matchup.
Brad Lord gets the start for the Nationals in this game. The right-handed pitchers 5-8 with a 4.20 ERA in 15 starts and 29 relief appearances. His last start saw him throw 5.2 innings against the Cubs on Sept. 6. He allowed one run and two hits in a 2-1 win. The Nationals are 8-7 when Lord has started. He has a 3.21 ERA in 22 road appearances this season. In nine starts, Lord has a 5.28 ERA since the All-Star break. He’s thrown three innings against the Marlins this year as he’s allowed one run and four hits during this stretch.
The Nationals are hitting .245 this season, which ranks 18th in the league. They have scored the 10th fewest runs, while ranking 21st in hits. Washington ranks sixth worst in home runs hit while they have also struck out the ninth fewest times. They are hitting .246 this season on the road and .244 since the All-Star break. They have a .279 batting average in 11 games against the Marlins.
Marlins set to start Ryan Weathers in final game of series
Miami is 67-79 overall this season. They are in third place in the NL East, 19 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins are nine games back of a wild card spot. They have a 33-41 record when playing at home. Miami has lost seven of their last nine games. In their last game, the Marlins defeated the Nationals 8-3 on Wednesday, Sept. 10.
On Thursday, the Marlins are set to start Ryan Weathers. The left-handed pitcher is 1-1 with a 3.28 ERA in five starts. His last start saw him throw three innings against the Rays on June 7. He allowed three runs and three hits in an 11-10 win. The Marlins are 2-3 when Weathers has pitched this season. They are 0-2 when he has started at home. He’s pitched 11 innings at home as he’s given up 10 hits and five runs in those two games.
Miami is hitting .250 this season which ranks 11th in the league. They have scored the 18th most runs while they rank seventh in hits. The Marlins have hit the fourth fewest home runs. They rank ninth in stolen bases, while they have a .242 batting average at home. They are hitting .242 since the All-Star break and a .278 batting average against the Nationals this year.
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins -1.5 (5 Units)
The Nationals and the Marlins conclude their four-game mid-week series on Thursday. It should be another gone just like the other three have been. The Marlins are starting Ryan Weathers, who has a 3.28 ERA in five starts this season. He should be backed with some run support as the Marlins are hitting .278 against the Nationals this year and have a .242 home batting average. The Nationals will struggle as they have scored the 10th fewest runs and rank sixth worst in home runs hit. They are starting Brad Lord, who has a 5.28 ERA since the All-Star break. He’s giving up runs left and right and the Nationals aren’t good enough to keep up in a high-scoring game.
Take the Marlins to cover.
Over/Under Pick for Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
- Over 8.5 runs (5 Units)
The total has hit over 8.5 runs in six of the Nationals' last seven games. It has happened the same amount of times for the Marlins, too. With starting pitchers that have struggled for long periods, it should be another high scoring game. During this series alone, the total has gone no fewer than nine runs. I’m expecting another game with large amounts of runs being scored.
Take the over.
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