Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction and Picks – Monday, Sept. 1, 2025
The Atlanta Dream look to solidify playoff positioning when they visit the Connecticut Sun on Labor Day. Check out our Dream vs Sun prediction and free picks in the WNBA.
Atlanta enters at 25-14, one of the Eastern Conference’s hottest teams, while Connecticut is nearing the end of a 10-29 campaign.
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Atlanta Dream are third in WNBA
Atlanta continues to prove itself as a legitimate postseason threat, winning seven of its last 10 games and four of the last five. The Dream enter this matchup with confidence after a dominant 100-78 victory over Dallas, where Rhyne Howard delivered a complete performance with 24 points, five assists, and six blocks. Howard and Allisha Gray form one of the league’s most reliable scoring duos, with Gray averaging 18.7 points per game while shooting efficiently.
Atlanta’s defense has been just as important as its offense. Ranked among the league’s top units, the Dream are holding opponents to 77.1 points per contest, forcing turnovers at a high rate, and thriving in transition. Their +6.4 ppg scoring margin is the second best in the WNBA, and they have a 12-8 road record.
For sports betting backers, Atlanta has been dependable. The Dream have gone 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games, with none of those contests finishing under the total. They’ve also played well against Connecticut, highlighted by a 79-55 win back on May 25.
Still competing
Connecticut has the third worst record in the standings at 10-29. Their offense has been poor for most of the season, averaging just 76.5 points per game, ranking last in the WNBA, and 12th in both field goal percentage (41.2) and rebounds per game (32.6). Despite these issues, veteran Tina Charles remains a bright spot, contributing 16.2 points and eight rebounds in her most recent performance.
Home court has offered little comfort, with Connecticut going 6-13 at Mohegan Sun Arena. Defensively, the Sun have struggled to slow down top-tier opponents, surrendering 94 or more points in back-to-back home games. Their overall scoring margin of 9.4 ppg shows just how lopsided most of their contests have been.
Against the Spread Pick: Connecticut +10.5
Atlanta is clearly the better team, but this matchup comes with an early holiday start and takes place on the road, circumstances that favor the home underdog. The Sun have shown plenty of heart and character, covering in seven of their last eight games despite being out of playoff contention. At the same time, Connecticut is battling Dallas and Chicago to avoid finishing with the league’s worst record, and that seems to matter to them. Atlanta could still win comfortably without covering the number, so the play here is Connecticut.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Total Pick: Under 160
Both teams point toward a lower-scoring matchup. Atlanta has gone under the total in nine of its last 10 games, driven by a defense that thrives on limiting clean looks. Connecticut’s offensive numbers speak for themselves, as the Sun average under 77 points per contest and struggle with efficiency. Even if Atlanta’s offense clicks, the Sun’s inconsistency should keep this game from climbing too high. With an early Monday start. Take the under.
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