Atlanta Dream vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Friday, September 5, 2025
It’s an important WNBA matchup on Friday, Sept. 5. Read our Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream prediction along with tonight’s other WNBA Predictions. The Sparks are 19-21 and they are 1.5 games back of a playoff spot with just a week left in the regular season. The Dream are 27-14 this season and they are in the No. 2 seed in the league. Atlanta has won five of their last six games coming into this matchup. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 7:30 P.M. EST.
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Los Angeles still alive for postseason berth
Los Angeles is 19-21 overall this season. They are 13 games back of the Lynx for first place. The Sparks are the No. 9 seed with the season coming to a close. They are 1.5 games back of the Fever for the final playoff spot. The Sparks are 5-5 in their last 10 games coming into Friday. In their last game, the Sparks lost 86-75 to this very same Atlanta Dream team on Wednesday, Sept. 3.
The Sparks are led in scoring by Kelsey Plum with 19.9 points while she’s also leading the team in assists with 6.9 per game. Dearica Hamby is grabbing a team-high eight rebounds per game.
Los Angeles is averaging 86.1 points per game which ranks second best in the league. They are shooting 46% from the field placing them second. The Sparks are also shooting 34.6% from behind the 3-point line placing them third.
On defense, the Sparks are allowing 87.9 points per game which ranks second worst in the league. They are forcing their opponents to shoot 45.4% from behind the 3-point line placing them 11th. The Sparks are the 11th ranked 3-point defensive team giving up 36.1% from behind the arc.
The Sparks are 16-23-1 against the spread this season. They are 11-8-1 against the spread when playing on the road. They are 10-10-1 against the spread when they have been underdogs. The over is 25-14-1 when Los Angeles has played this season.
There are no injuries listed for the Sparks this season.
Atlanta looking to clinch No. 2 seed in playoffs
Atlanta is 27-14 overall this season. They are in second place in the league as they are 5.5 games out of the Lynx. Minnesota have already clinched the No. 1 seed as the Dream look to hold on to the second best spot. Atlanta is battling for the second spot with Las Vegas and Phoenix. The Dream are 14-6 when they have played at home. The Dream have won five of their last six games coming into Friday. In their last game, the Dream defeated the Sparks 86-75 at home on Wednesday, Sept. 3. Atlanta is 2-0 against the Sparks this year.
Rhyne Howard leads the team with 16.9 points per game with Allisha Gray out with an injury. Howard is passing for a team-high 4.6 assists per game. Brionna Jones is the top rebounder with 7.4 boards per game.
Atlanta is averaging 83.7 points per game which ranks fifth overall. They are shooting 43.9% from the field which ranks seventh in the league. The Dream are the ninth ranked 3-point shooting team making 33.2% from behind the 3-point line.
On defense, Atlanta is allowing 77.1 points per game which ranks third in the league. They are forcing their opponents to shoot 43.2% from the field which ranks fifth. The Dream are the fifth ranked 3-point defensive team giving up 32.6% from behind the arc.
Atlanta is 25-15-1 against the spread this season. They are 12-8 against the spread when playing at home. The Dream are also 16-10 against the spread when they have been favored this year. The under is 21-18-2 when Atlanta has played this season. The under is 11-8-1 when Atlanta has played at home.
Allisha Gray and Taylor Thierry are both listed as out for Friday’s game.
Atlanta Dream -6.5 (5 units)
The Dream have been one of the top teams in the league this season and over the course of the previous few weeks. They are battling for the No. 2 seed with three other teams. They have a lot to play for as does the Sparks, who are still trying to sneak into the playoffs and the No. 8 seed. But, Atlanta has shown dominance over Los Angeles this season. They are 2-0 against Los Angeles this season most recently a win earlier this week. The Dream will keep their winning ways alive with another big one on Friday. Their defense ranks third in scoring while they also rank fifth best in defensive field goal. This will be good enough to slow down the second best scoring team.
Take Atlanta to cover.
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Under 170 (5 units)
Atlanta defense will be key in this game. They are slowing teams down left and right in the closing month of the season. They rank third in scoring defense. The Sparks are one of the best scoring offenses in the sport, but I’m siding with the Dream as they push towards the No. 2 seed. The Sparks are the fastest team in the league while the Dream are the second slowest in the pace category. Again, Atlanta will win this game in their fashion with defense and a slow paced game.
Take the under on Friday.
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