2026 WNBA Team Betting Trends: Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Rankings
2026 WNBA Betting Trends: Team Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Records
The 2026 WNBA season has produced clear market separation, and the team-by-team numbers show where the value has landed. The Chicago Sky have held their spot as the league's best cover team, while Atlanta and New York have cost backers money against the spread. Below are the full 15-team rankings for every major market to guide your WNBA predictions and wagers.
Spread and total records reflect flat 1-unit stakes through July 30, 2026. A positive ROI means blindly backing that side would have shown a profit.
Against the Spread Trends
Chicago leads the league at 15-10, with Washington second at 15-11 and Seattle third. Atlanta and New York sit at the bottom and belong on the fade side of most spreads.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 15-10 | +3.64u | +14.6% |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 15-11 | +2.64u | +10.2% |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 16-12 | +2.55u | +9.1% |
| 4 | Golden State Valkyries | 15-12 | +1.64u | +6.1% |
| 5 | Dallas Wings | 14-12 | +0.73u | +2.8% |
| 6 | Portland Fire | 15-13 | +0.64u | +2.3% |
| 7 | Indiana Fever | 14-13 | -0.27u | -1.0% |
| 8 | Connecticut Sun | 14-14 | -1.27u | -4.5% |
| 9 | Minnesota Lynx | 13-14 | -2.18u | -8.1% |
| 10 | Las Vegas Aces | 12-13 | -2.09u | -8.4% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12-13 | -2.09u | -8.4% |
| 12 | Toronto Tempo | 10-12 | -2.91u | -13.2% |
| 13 | Phoenix Mercury | 12-16 | -5.09u | -18.2% |
| 14 | New York Liberty | 10-15 | -5.91u | -23.6% |
| 15 | Atlanta Dream | 10-17 | -7.91u | -29.3% |
Moneyline Trends (Straight Up)
Moneyline bets are priced at each team's own odds rather than a standard number, so we show win-loss records and home and away splits rather than a flat-stake ROI, which would not reflect what a bettor actually earns. Minnesota leads at 23-6 and has been nearly untouchable on the road at 12-2. Connecticut and Seattle have been the league's weakest teams outright.
| Rank | Team | Record | Win Pct | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 23-6 | 0.793 | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces | 19-8 | 0.704 | 8-5 | 11-3 |
| 3 | Golden State Valkyries | 19-9 | 0.679 | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| 4 | Dallas Wings | 18-10 | 0.643 | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 18-10 | 0.643 | 11-5 | 7-5 |
| 6 | Atlanta Dream | 17-10 | 0.630 | 9-4 | 8-6 |
| 7 | New York Liberty | 16-12 | 0.571 | 8-5 | 8-7 |
| 8 | Washington Mystics | 15-12 | 0.556 | 7-6 | 8-6 |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 11-17 | 0.393 | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| 10 | Phoenix Mercury | 11-18 | 0.379 | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 10-17 | 0.370 | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| 12 | Toronto Tempo | 10-17 | 0.370 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| 13 | Chicago Sky | 9-18 | 0.333 | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun | 7-21 | 0.250 | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 6-24 | 0.200 | 4-11 | 2-13 |
Total Trends (Over / Under)
We rank the Over and Under separately since they are opposite bets. The Over is where all the value sits right now — Toronto, New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles have all cleared the number consistently, and no team in the league currently shows a profitable Under.
Best Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Tempo | 17-8 | +29.8% |
| 2 | New York Liberty | 18-9 | +27.3% |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 17-9 | +24.8% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 17-9 | +24.8% |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 18-10 | +22.7% |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 18-10 | +22.7% |
| 7 | Portland Fire | 17-11 | +15.9% |
| 8 | Connecticut Sun | 16-12 | +9.1% |
| 9 | Atlanta Dream | 15-12 | +6.1% |
| 10 | Las Vegas Aces | 14-12 | +2.8% |
| 11 | Washington Mystics | 14-13 | -1.0% |
| 12 | Seattle Storm | 15-15 | -4.5% |
| 13 | Phoenix Mercury | 14-14 | -4.5% |
| 14 | Dallas Wings | 13-14 | -8.1% |
| 15 | Golden State Valkyries | 13-14 | -8.1% |
Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 13-14 | -1.0% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 13-14 | -1.0% |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 15-15 | -4.5% |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury | 14-14 | -4.5% |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 14-13 | -8.1% |
| 6 | Las Vegas Aces | 14-12 | -11.9% |
| 7 | Atlanta Dream | 15-12 | -15.2% |
| 8 | Connecticut Sun | 16-12 | -18.2% |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 17-11 | -25.0% |
| 10 | Indiana Fever | 18-10 | -31.8% |
| 11 | Minnesota Lynx | 18-10 | -31.8% |
| 12 | Chicago Sky | 17-9 | -33.9% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | 17-9 | -33.9% |
| 14 | New York Liberty | 18-9 | -36.4% |
| 15 | Toronto Tempo | 17-8 | -38.9% |
How We Use These Trends
Season-long numbers are a starting point, not a finished play. A team covering the spread at a strong clip tells you the market has been slow to adjust to how it wins, but the matchup and the closing number still decide each night. With the WNBA's shorter schedule, these rankings carry more noise than a full baseball season, so we treat them as a filter and let the specific game drive the final predictions and wagers.
For more WNBA predictions and daily wagers, visit WNBA Predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which WNBA team has the best against-the-spread trend in 2026?
The Chicago Sky lead the league against the spread at 15-10, returning 14.6 percent on flat 1-unit stakes. The Washington Mystics are second at 15-11 (plus 10.2 percent), with Seattle third, making them the most reliable cover teams this season.
Which WNBA teams should bettors fade?
The Atlanta Dream have been the worst spread team at 10-17 (minus 29.3 percent), with the New York Liberty at 10-15 (minus 23.6 percent) and the Phoenix Mercury at 12-16 (minus 18.2 percent) close behind. All three have cost backers money laying the number.
Which teams are winning most often outright?
The Minnesota Lynx lead the league at 23-6, with the Las Vegas Aces at 19-8 and the Golden State Valkyries at 19-9. Minnesota has been nearly untouchable on the road at 12-2, with Las Vegas close behind at 11-3.
Why is there no ROI on the moneyline table?
Moneyline bets are priced at each team's actual odds, which swing from heavy favorite to long underdog game to game. A flat-stake ROI figure would be misleading because it assumes every bet costs the same, and moneyline bets do not. Win-loss records and home and away splits tell you what actually happened without pretending to a profit number the pricing cannot support.
Which teams hit the Over most often?
The Toronto Tempo top the Over board at 17-8 (plus 29.8 percent), with the New York Liberty at 18-9 (plus 27.3 percent) and the Chicago Sky and Los Angeles Sparks tied behind at 17-9 (plus 24.8 percent). All of them have played well above the pace the market expected.
Are there any reliable Under plays right now?
Not at the moment. Every team in the league now sits at break-even or worse on the Under, which is a strong signal that the market has been setting WNBA totals too low all season. When a whole league leans this far to one side, the Over is the trend to respect until the numbers move.
How often are these trends updated?
These tables reflect the 2026 WNBA regular season through July 30 and are refreshed as new results come in. Because the WNBA plays fewer games than other leagues, each result moves the ROI more, so check back before locking in wagers.
How is ROI calculated?
For the spread and total, every wager is treated as a flat 1-unit stake at standard pricing. Units is the running profit or loss across a team's games; ROI is that unit total divided by the number of bets, shown as a percentage. A positive ROI means backing that side all season would have shown a profit. The moneyline is excluded from this calculation because it is priced at variable odds.
Methodology
Spread and total results treat each game as a flat 1-unit wager at standard pricing — a cover for the spread, an Over or Under for the total. Units is the cumulative profit or loss; ROI is units divided by total bets. Moneyline is shown as a win-loss record only: because those bets are priced at each team's own odds rather than a standard number, a flat-stake ROI would not reflect what a bettor actually earns. Records cover the 2026 WNBA regular season across all 15 teams. Flat staking keeps every team on equal footing so a few heavy favorites or longshots cannot distort the spread and total rankings. WNBA samples are smaller than other leagues, so treat these trends as directional signals rather than settled edges.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Records reflect the 2026 WNBA regular season through July 30, 2026 and are subject to change.
