Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday August 22 2026

Today’s Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks picks for Saturday, August 22, 2026, come from crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. Connecticut has already beaten the Sparks twice this season, while Los Angeles enters after a 36-point home loss that officially ended its playoff hopes.

Los Angeles is favored by 5.5 points on the current board, with the total set at 170. Bettors reviewing Saturday’s WNBA picks should weigh Connecticut’s 2-0 season-series edge against its frontcourt injuries and check the available WNBA player props before the 9:00 PM EDT tipoff on Prime Video.

Best Available Odds for Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks

• Moneyline: Not listed in the supplied market capture
• Spread: Connecticut Sun +5.5 | Los Angeles Sparks -5.5
• Total: Over 170 | Under 170

Game Info

• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM EDT
• Location: crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
• TV: Prime Video
• Key Availability: Connecticut has ruled Brittney Griner out with a left knee injury and Aaliyah Edwards out with a left ankle injury. Los Angeles lists Ariel Atkins as probable after a head injury suffered Thursday.

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Preview

Connecticut enters at 9-26 after a 101-78 loss at Las Vegas on Thursday. The final margin was ugly, but the Sun stayed within one point at halftime before the Aces overwhelmed them with a major second-half run.

Olivia Nelson-Ododa remains especially important while Griner and Edwards are sidelined. She scored 14 points against Las Vegas and has handled a larger share of the interior work during the current injury stretch.

Leïla Lacan gives Connecticut its primary perimeter creator. Her ability to get into the paint, create for teammates and pressure the ball defensively gives the Sun a player capable of disrupting a Los Angeles offense that has struggled with consistency.

Diamond Miller and Kennedy Burke add secondary scoring. Connecticut does not have the personnel to dominate through one star, so the Sun need several players contributing to keep the game inside the number.

The Sun are 17-18 ATS in the updated workbook. That record is far stronger than their 9-26 straight-up mark and continues to show why large spreads against Connecticut require caution.

Los Angeles enters at 12-24 after being demolished 124-88 by Atlanta on Thursday. The Sparks allowed the Dream to shoot 63.9 percent from the field and never found a way to slow the game after Atlanta established control.

Cameron Brink returned against the Dream and scored 14 points, an important development after missing time with a rib injury. Her rim protection gives Los Angeles a much stronger defensive ceiling than it had when she was sidelined.

Nneka Ogwumike remains the most reliable scorer. She contributes efficiently around the basket and mid-range while also giving the Sparks their best defensive rebounder.

Dearica Hamby adds physicality, and Ariel Atkins is expected to play after leaving Thursday’s game with a head injury. That gives Los Angeles a healthier rotation than Connecticut.

The Sparks are 16-18 ATS in the workbook. Their market record is slightly worse than Connecticut’s despite Los Angeles having three more straight-up wins.

Connecticut won the first meeting 84-81 on May 30. The Sun controlled the game from the interior and prevented Los Angeles from turning its perimeter talent into a high-scoring night.

The teams met again on August 18 in Boston, and Connecticut won 85-77 despite playing without Griner and Edwards.

Nelson-Ododa produced 18 points and 11 rebounds in that game, while Connecticut shot 51 percent and repeatedly created transition opportunities. The Sun showed they can beat the Sparks with the same shortened frontcourt they will bring to Los Angeles.

Both games stayed below Saturday’s current total of 170, and neither matchup required an unusually poor shooting performance to get there.

The workbook totals are less decisive. Connecticut is 18-17 to the over, while Los Angeles is 20-15.

Matchup Breakdown

Los Angeles should attack the paint through Brink, Ogwumike and Hamby while Connecticut is missing Griner and Edwards. The Sparks cannot allow the Sun to survive the interior matchup as comfortably as they did Tuesday.

Connecticut needs Lacan to control tempo and Nelson-Ododa to keep the defensive glass competitive. The Sun are much more dangerous if they can force Los Angeles to execute in the half court rather than allowing easy transition offense.

The WNBA betting trends slightly favor Connecticut against the spread. The Sun are 17-18 ATS, while Los Angeles is 16-18.

The line movement is more significant than the small ATS difference. Earlier public books showed Los Angeles anywhere from roughly -2.5 to -4.5, while the supplied afternoon board has moved the Sparks to -5.5. The total has generally been around 169 to 170.

That move makes Connecticut more attractive because the Sun now receive a larger cushion after already winning both meetings. Game Thesis: Los Angeles is healthier and should be motivated to respond, but Connecticut is 2-0 in the season series, has the slightly better ATS record and now receives 5.5 points after a strong market move toward the Sparks. Connecticut +5.5 is the preferred side, with Los Angeles projected to win 84-81.

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Best Bet - Spread: Connecticut Sun +5.5

Connecticut has already beaten Los Angeles twice, including four days ago without Griner or Edwards.

The current line asks the Sparks to turn that matchup around by enough to win by six. That is a significant demand for a team that is 16-18 ATS and was just beaten by 36 at home.

The market move from earlier Los Angeles prices in the -2.5 to -4.5 range up to -5.5 gives the underdog a much better entry.

The position remains playable at Connecticut +5 or better. It becomes less attractive below +4.

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Moneyline Pick: No Bet

Connecticut has a legitimate upset path after winning both meetings, but the healthier Los Angeles rotation makes the spread safer than requiring another outright Sun victory.

No verified moneyline price appears in the supplied market capture.

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Spread Pick: Connecticut Sun +5.5

Connecticut is 17-18 ATS compared with Los Angeles at 16-18, and the Sun have already won both head-to-head meetings.

The additional points created by the market move improve the Connecticut side rather than weakening it.

Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks Total Pick: Under 170

The first two meetings finished with 165 and 162 combined points. Both stayed comfortably under the current number.

Connecticut’s missing frontcourt pieces reduce its offensive ceiling, while Los Angeles has more defensive size with Brink back. Under 170 is the strongest secondary position in this matchup.

Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 84, Connecticut Sun 81