Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday September 22 2026

Today's Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics picks for Tuesday, September 22, 2026, come from CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C. Washington enters at 26-16 after a convincing 93-77 road win over Indiana, while Connecticut is 10-32 after falling 101-89 to Minnesota in its final home weekend.

Washington is favored by 14.5 points at the best current price, with the total set around 158.5. Bettors reviewing Tuesday's WNBA picks have to decide whether the Mystics' recent surge justifies laying one of their largest numbers of the season. The available WNBA player props also need to account for Connecticut's depleted frontcourt before the 7:30 PM EDT tipoff.

Best Available Odds for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics

• Spread: Connecticut Sun +14.5 | Washington Mystics -14.5
• Total: 158.5

Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM EDT
• Location: CareFirst Arena, Washington, D.C.
• TV: Monumental Sports Network, NBC Sports Boston, WNBA League move
• Key Availability: Washington has no major current absences listed. Connecticut is without Brittney Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Rayah Marshall and Kennedy Burke, while Saniya Rivers is dealing with an injury.

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Preview

Washington is finishing the regular season like a team nobody wants to see in the first round.

The Mystics have won four of their last five and have produced two of their best performances since the World Cup break. They beat Chicago 110-80 and followed with a 93-77 road win over Indiana, a result that showed their young frontcourt can travel against playoff competition.

Kiki Iriafen and Shakira Austin remain the foundation. They combined for 41 points against Indiana and controlled the glass, giving Washington a way to generate efficient offense even when the perimeter shooting cools.

Sonia Citron and Georgia Amoore add enough shot creation to keep defenses from collapsing entirely toward the paint. Washington is not dependent on one scorer, which becomes especially important when laying a large spread.

The Mystics are 24-17 ATS in the current season numbers, the second-best mark on Tuesday's slate. They are also 13-7 straight up at home.

Connecticut is in a very different position.

The Sun are 10-32 and only 3-18 on the road. They are playing out the final week before the franchise relocates to Houston and have been forced to finish the season with a shortened frontcourt.

Griner and Nelson-Ododa are unavailable, while Marshall and Burke are also out. That leaves Connecticut asking Aaliyah Edwards, Diamond Miller and a collection of younger players to handle larger roles against one of the league's most physical frontcourts.

The Sun did compete against Minnesota on Sunday. Miller, Leila Lacan and Gianna Kneepkens scored 15 points apiece in the 101-89 loss, while Edwards and Raegan Beers also reached double figures.

That performance showed Connecticut can still produce offense when its perimeter players are making shots. The problem is sustaining that efficiency against a Washington defense that can switch more actions and punish mistakes on the other end.

Washington leads the season series 2-1.

The Mystics won 88-81 in the first meeting, Connecticut answered with a 68-57 victory, and Washington took the most recent matchup 92-84 on July 28.

Those margins are the biggest reason to be cautious with the favorite. Washington has not beaten Connecticut by 15 points in any of the three meetings.

The current situation is different, though. Connecticut's interior rotation is thinner, while Washington has improved substantially as Austin and Iriafen have taken on larger two-way roles.

The market has reacted. Washington opened around -13.5 and has moved through -14.5, with some books already dealing -15.5. Getting -14.5 matters because it keeps the wager below the most expensive versions now available.

The total has stayed much more stable around 158.5 to 159.5.

The WNBA betting trends do not offer a strong total signal. Connecticut is 22-20 O/U and Washington is also 22-20.

The side provides the cleaner argument because Washington owns major advantages in rebounding, defensive depth and motivation.

The Mystics are still fighting for playoff positioning. Connecticut is eliminated and has its emotional season finale at home against Toronto on Thursday, making this road game a difficult spot between two more meaningful dates for the Sun.

Washington can create separation without relying on three-point variance. Austin and Iriafen should have repeated chances to score at the rim or draw fouls against Connecticut's reduced frontcourt.

Amoore can also pressure the Sun's point-of-attack defense. If Connecticut sends help, Washington has enough secondary shooting to turn those rotations into clean looks.

Connecticut's best path to a cover is another efficient perimeter performance and a slower pace. Miller and Lacan need to keep the Sun from falling behind early, because chasing Washington from double digits creates too many transition opportunities.

The Mystics have been particularly dangerous when they can defend, rebound and immediately run. That formula overwhelmed Chicago and helped them pull away from Indiana.

The current spread is large, but Washington has the better depth, the healthier rotation and the stronger recent form.

Washington also has a significant free-throw advantage built into the matchup. The Mystics can attack through Austin and Iriafen, forcing Connecticut's remaining bigs to defend without the normal depth behind them. That becomes more difficult over four quarters and gives Washington another route to separation even if the outside shot is average.

Game Thesis: Connecticut has stayed within this number in all three prior meetings, but the current version of the Sun is missing too much frontcourt depth against Washington's greatest strength. The Mystics are 24-17 ATS, have won four of five and are available at a better -14.5 than the -15.5 showing elsewhere. Washington -14.5 is the preferred wager.

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Best Bet - Spread: Washington Mystics -14.5

Washington has the physical advantage necessary to create a margin without needing an exceptional shooting night.

Austin and Iriafen should be able to attack a Connecticut team missing Griner and Nelson-Ododa, while the Mystics' guards can pressure a Sun offense that has struggled on the road.

The earlier head-to-head margins are a legitimate concern, but Washington is playing better basketball now than it was during the summer series.

The market move from roughly -13.5 toward -15.5 confirms that the gap has widened. The best available -14.5 preserves a point compared with the most expensive current line.

Washington -14.5 is the strongest position.

Prediction: Washington Mystics 92, Connecticut Sun 73