Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday June 17 2026
Use Code WWWC Dallas visits Golden State for a Western Conference matchup featuring two 9-5 teams, updated picks, and top WNBA player props.
Best Available Odds
Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Wings (+120 at DraftKings) / Golden State Valkyries (-145 at DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: Dallas Wings +2.5 (-105 at DraftKings) / Golden State Valkyries -2.5 (-114 at DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 166.5 (-110 at DraftKings) / Under 166.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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Game Info
Date: June 17, 2026
Time: 10:00 PM EDT
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: KPIX+, KMAX, KFAA, WNBA League Pass
Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Preview
The Dallas Wings enter Wednesday at 9-5 after producing one of their strongest performances of the season in a 96-66 victory over the defending champion Las Vegas Aces. Dallas shot 49% from the field, made 10 three-pointers, and held Las Vegas to six points in the second quarter while building a lead that reached 32.
Arike Ogunbowale led the Wings with 22 points and seven assists, marking her second consecutive 22-point game. Azzi Fudd added 19 points on 8-of-9 shooting, while Jessica Shepard finished one assist short of a triple-double with 15 points, 15 rebounds, and nine assists.
Paige Bueckers returned after missing one game with a right ankle injury. She played 24 minutes against Las Vegas and recorded 10 points, seven assists, and five rebounds. Dallas did not need a large scoring performance from Bueckers in the blowout, but her return gives the Wings another primary creator against Golden State's pressure defense.
The Wings are completing a demanding stretch of five games in nine days. Odyssey Sims remains unavailable with an ankle injury, increasing the importance of Ogunbowale, Bueckers, and Fudd handling the majority of the backcourt minutes.
The Golden State Valkyries also enter at 9-5 and have won three consecutive games. Golden State delivered its best defensive performance of the season Monday, holding the Los Angeles Sparks to 58 points, 33.3% shooting, and a 3-for-21 performance from three-point range.
Gabby Williams led the Valkyries with 16 points, while Kaila Charles scored 13 off the bench. Veronica Burton added 12 points, and Golden State generated 13 steals while controlling the game from the opening quarter.
The Valkyries allow 78.3 points per game, the second-best scoring defense in the WNBA. Opponents are shooting only 41.9% from the field against Golden State, while the Valkyries also rank among the league's stronger shot-blocking teams.
Golden State is 6-2 at Chase Center, while Dallas enters with a 4-3 road record. Iliana Rupert is unavailable for the season, but the Valkyries still possess a deep frontcourt and several versatile defenders through Williams, Kayla Thornton, Kiah Stokes, Janelle Salaün, and Cecilia Zandalasini.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Golden State won three of four meetings against Dallas during the 2025 season. The Wings earned an 80-71 home victory in the first meeting before the Valkyries answered with three consecutive wins.
Golden State won 86-76 at Chase Center on July 25, 90-81 in Dallas on August 24, and 84-80 at home on September 4. Three of the four games were decided by 10 points or fewer, while the teams split the four totals with two Overs and two Unders.
Those results offer limited predictive value because Dallas substantially changed its rotation. Shepard and Fudd were not part of the Wings team Golden State faced last season, and both have become central contributors alongside Bueckers and Ogunbowale.
Dallas enters averaging 88.1 points while shooting 45.6% from the field and producing a league-leading 23.4 assists per game. The Wings have also protected the ball well, committing only 11.9 turnovers per contest.
That ball security is important against a Golden State defense that created 13 steals against Los Angeles. The Valkyries are most dangerous when their pressure forces rushed decisions and creates open-floor opportunities for Williams and Burton.
Game Thesis: Golden State has the home-court and defensive advantages, while Dallas enters with the stronger offense and deeper collection of primary scorers. The Wings' ability to protect the ball should prevent the Valkyries from producing a large number of transition points, but Golden State's size and perimeter defense can still slow Dallas enough to win a close game. The Valkyries moneyline is the preferred side, while the Wings remain attractive with the points.
⭐ Best Bet - Moneyline Pick: Golden State Valkyries (-145)
The Valkyries moneyline is the strongest selection because Golden State has won three straight games and owns a 6-2 record at Chase Center. The Valkyries' defense gives them the most dependable advantage in a matchup between two evenly matched teams.
Dallas scored 96 against Las Vegas, but Golden State presents a different defensive challenge. The Valkyries can pressure the Wings' guards without sacrificing as much size inside, and they have several defenders capable of rotating between Bueckers, Ogunbowale, and Fudd.
The Wings are also playing their fifth game in nine days and travelling after Monday's home game. Golden State played Monday as well, but remaining at Chase Center reduces the physical demands surrounding the matchup.
Dallas has enough offense to remain competitive, but Golden State's defense and home performance give the Valkyries the better path to closing a tight fourth quarter.
Spread Pick: Dallas Wings +2.5 (-105)
Dallas +2.5 fits the expectation of a close game. The Wings are 7-3 over their last 10 games and have recorded road victories over New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago during that stretch.
Shepard gives Dallas a reliable rebounder and secondary playmaker against Golden State's frontcourt. Her passing allows the Wings to initiate offense away from the backcourt and reduces the pressure on Bueckers and Ogunbowale when the Valkyries trap or switch aggressively.
Dallas also ranks near the top of the league in assists, steals, and assist-to-turnover ratio. Those numbers give the Wings a strong chance to remain within one possession even if Golden State's defense controls the pace.
The Valkyries are the preferred winner, but Dallas +2.5 provides protection in a matchup that could be decided on the final possession.
Total Pick: Under 166.5 (-110)
The Under 166.5 is the preferred total because Golden State has held three consecutive opponents to 81 points or fewer. The Valkyries allowed 81 to Phoenix, 72 to Seattle, and 58 to Los Angeles during their winning streak.
Dallas has scored efficiently throughout the season, but the Wings have also stayed Under the closing total in six of their last 10 games. Their most recent 96-point performance was paired with an exceptional defensive effort that held Las Vegas to only 66.
Golden State should attempt to prevent this game from becoming an open-floor scoring contest. The Valkyries have the personnel to contest Dallas on the perimeter, protect the paint, and force the Wings to execute deeper into the shot clock.
Dallas can still reach the low-to-mid 80s, but a final score around 83-80 or 84-79 would keep the matchup below the available total.
Top Player Prop Picks
Arike Ogunbowale Over 14.5 Points (+100) Ogunbowale has scored 22 points in consecutive games and remains one of Dallas' most aggressive perimeter scorers. She attempted 16 shots against Las Vegas and 18 against Portland, giving her enough volume to clear this number even against Golden State's strong defense.
Bueckers is still working back from her ankle injury, which could leave Ogunbowale with another elevated scoring role. She also has the ability to reach the line and create points late in the shot clock when Golden State disrupts Dallas' initial actions.
Jessica Shepard Over 11.5 Rebounds (+115) Shepard averages 11.6 rebounds per game and enters after collecting 15 against Las Vegas and 14 against Portland. She also averages 3.1 offensive rebounds, giving her multiple paths to clear the line even if Golden State shoots efficiently.
The Valkyries average fewer rebounds than Dallas and rely heavily on team positioning rather than one dominant interior rebounder. Shepard's minutes, physicality, and ability to pursue the ball outside her immediate area make the plus-money Over attractive.
Janelle Salaün Over 2.5 Three-Point Field Goals (+136) Salaün remains one of Golden State's highest-volume perimeter shooters and recently made five three-pointers in a 22-point performance against Seattle. She attempted four more threes against Los Angeles despite making only one.
Dallas' defensive attention will begin with Williams and Burton creating off the dribble, which can leave Salaün available for kick-out opportunities. The plus-money price compensates for the volatility of a three-point prop, and three made shots are within her established range when she receives sufficient minutes and attempts.
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