Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Minnesota Lynx pay a visit to the Golden State Valkyries for the second game of their first-round best-of-three series on Wednesday. The Lynx lead the series 1-0 and can sweep the series with a win on Wednesday after routing the Valkyries in the first game 101-72 on Sunday. The Lynx finished the regular season first in the league standings, while Golden State, in its first season in the league, finished eighth. Minnesota will play without Aubrey Griffin and Dorka Juhasz. Golden State will play without Maria Conde, Juste Jocyte, and Kayla Thornton, while Tiffany Hayes is questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Minnesota Lynx vs Golden State Valkyries prediction. Court control starts here—see why our WNBA picks for Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction deliver results.
Minnesota continues to dominate Golden State
The Minnesota Lynx are on the verge of sweeping their first-round series with Golden State and moving on to the semifinals of the playoffs. Minnesota finished the regular season in first place and routed the Valkyries by 29 points in the opening game of the postseason. Minnesota is 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread in its five meetings this season with Golden State. The Lynx have won by as few points as 6 and by as many as 29 against Golden State.
Minnesota finished the regular season second in scoring and second in points allowed. The Lynx were first in both field goal shooting and three-point shooting, while second in field goal shooting allowed. Napheesa Collier led the Lynx during the regular season in scoring and in Game 1 of the series led Minnesota with 20 points, as five players scored in double figures. The Lynx outrebounded the Valkyries by 10 and gave Golden State just three second-look opportunities.
Golden State has its back against the wall
Golden State struggled in its opening game 29-point loss to Minnesota. The Valkyries shot just 34% overall in the loss and 29% from three-point territory. Golden State had very few second-look opportunities with just three offensive rebounds. The Golden State defense, which led the WNBA during the regular season in points allowed, gave up 51% shooting overall and 42% shooting from three-point territory. The defense also gave up 9 offensive rebounds to Minnesota, allowing Minnesota to have three times the number of second looks than they had.
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In the opening game loss, Golden State had five players score in double figures. Two players, Cecilia Zandalasini and Veronica Burton, scored 14 points to lead the Valkyries. The Valkyries handed out just 17 assists while committing 16 turnovers. Golden State was outrebounded 36-26 in the loss.
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Pick
Spread Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Minnesota Lynx -10.5 (5 units)
Minnesota had dominated Golden State all season and should do so again on the road Wednesday. The Lynx are 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread this season against the Valkyries. The Lynx exploited Golden State’s lack of presence in the paint, as the Valkyries are playing without their leading scorer, Kayla Thornton. Golden State is also likely to play without Tiffany Hayes, who took over the scoring lead in Thornton’s absence, but the guard is nursing a knee injury that kept her out of the first game of this series. Golden State has struggled down the stretch with four straight losses and just 2-2 ATS in those four games. Minnesota lost a bit of focus down the stretch after clinching the regular-season title, but its concentration was excellent in its 29-point rout in game 1, and that will carry over to game 2.
Over/Under Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Under (5 units)
Full game total prediction analysis
Golden State led the WNBA in points allowed, and Minnesota was second. The Valkyries know they cannot win an up-tempo game against Minnesota. Golden State will slow the pace at home, look for fewer possessions, giving them an opportunity to keep the game close throughout. The total has finished under in three of the five meetings between the two.
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