Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Sunday, August 16, 2026

The Indiana Fever visit the Atlanta Dream on Sunday at State Farm Arena, with tipoff scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. Indiana is 22-12, first in the Eastern Conference and a half-game ahead of Atlanta. The Fever are 9-6 on the road and have won three straight after Friday’s 98-87 victory over Dallas. Atlanta enters at 21-12, second in the Eastern Conference and 12-5 at home. The Dream have won two straight and three of their last four after beating Connecticut 104-69 on Thursday. Atlanta leads the season series 2-1 after winning the last two meetings. Build your bankroll with our free WNBA picks.

Indiana Fever Have the WNBA's Highest-Scoring Offense

Indiana has scored at least 90 points in four of its last five games and averages a WNBA-best 96.2 points. The Fever shoot 48.7% from the field and 39.4% from three-point range while making 10.4 threes per game. Kelsey Mitchell leads Indiana with 24.3 points while shooting 50.9% overall and 44.5% from three. Caitlin Clark adds 21.7 points and 8.2 assists, while Aliyah Boston averages 17.0 points and 8.4 rebounds.

The Fever allow 90.4 points per game, placing more pressure on their high-scoring offense. Opponents shoot 46.3% from the field against Indiana, though the Fever have shown improvement during their three-game winning streak. Indiana held Chicago to 86 points before allowing 92 to New York and 87 to Dallas. Boston adds 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks per game inside, while Indiana averages 6.7 steals and 4.0 blocks. 

Injuries: Bree Hall is out.

Atlanta Dream Carry Strong Home Record

Atlanta has scored 96 or more points in three of its last four games, including 107 against Toronto and 104 against Connecticut. The Dream average 90.0 points while shooting 43.7% from the field and 32.0% from three-point range. Allisha Gray leads Atlanta with 19.2 points per game, while Rhyne Howard averages 17.8 points and makes 3.3 threes. Angel Reese contributes 15.6 points and a team-high 12.0 rebounds, including 5.1 offensive boards.

Atlanta allows 85.5 points per game, giving the Dream a notable statistical edge over Indiana defensively. Atlanta also averages 9.0 steals and forces opponents into 15.8 turnovers per game. The Dream have held three of their last four opponents below 100 points and limited Connecticut to 69 in their most recent game. Jordin Canada averages 7.5 assists and 2.0 steals, while Howard leads Atlanta with 2.4 steals. 

Injuries: Brionna Jones and Te-Hina Paopao are out.

Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Game Pick

• Indiana Fever +2.5

Indiana +2.5 is the game pick in a matchup between the top two teams in the Eastern Conference. The Fever have won three straight and own the WNBA's highest-scoring offense at 96.2 points per game. Indiana also shoots 48.7% from the field and 39.4% from three, giving the Fever a major advantage over Atlanta's shooting numbers. Atlanta has won two of three meetings, but Mitchell, Clark and Boston give Indiana several scoring options. Take the points and Indiana on Sunday.

Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Over/Under Pick

• Over 188.5

The over 188.5 is the total pick, with Indiana producing 96.2 points per game and Atlanta averaging 90.0. Indiana has scored 90 or more in four of its last five, while Atlanta has topped 95 in three of its last four. Two previous meetings reached 209 points, including Atlanta's 113-96 home victory. Indiana also allows 90.4 points per game, leaving Atlanta room to score. With both offenses entering in strong recent form, the scoring numbers support another game that can reach the 190s.