Las Vegas Aces vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 17 2026
Use Code WWWC The Las Vegas Aces (3–1) head to Atlanta to take on the unbeaten Atlanta Dream (2–0) at State Farm Arena. After putting up big numbers early in the season, Las Vegas will aim to keep the offense rolling, while Atlanta tries to protect its perfect start and get their first home win of the season. Get involved in the action with our free WNBA picks.
Las Vegas vs Atlanta Game Information
- May 17, 2026
- 1:30 PM EST
- State Farm Arena
- NBC/Peacock
Atlanta Form & Recent Results
Atlanta heads into this matchup feeling confident after opening the year with back-to-back wins. Their most recent victory was a 77–72 road win over Dallas on Tuesday, and it took contributions from several key players to get it done. Allisha Gray carried the scoring load with 26 points, while Angel Reese controlled the glass with 16 rebounds and Jordin Canada helped run the offense with 5 assists. As a team, Atlanta shot 38% from the field and struggled a bit from deep at 27%, but they made up for it by knocking down 94% of their free throws. The Dream also won the rebounding battle with 44 boards and spent more than half the game in front, leading for 54% of the contest.
Through the first two games, Gray has clearly set the tone as Atlanta’s top scorer, averaging 25 points per game, with Canada providing steady support at 15.5 points a night. Reese has been the team’s most reliable presence around the rim, leading Atlanta with an average of 15 rebounds so far this season, and Canada has also been their main playmaker, averaging 5.5 assists. Offensively, the Dream have put up 84 points per game early in the season, but this time they’ll be tested by Las Vegas’ firepower. Atlanta’s focus will likely be on getting off to a strong start, staying disciplined defensively, and finding ways to slow down the Aces before their offense gets rolling.
Las Vegas Form & Recent Results
Las Vegas comes into this matchup riding a three-game win streak and has started the season strongly, taking three of its first four games. Their most recent win was a 101–94 victory over Connecticut on the road on Friday, and it was powered by a massive performance from A’ja Wilson, who poured in 45 points. Chelsea Gray also made her presence felt in multiple areas, finishing with 7 rebounds and 10 assists as she helped control the pace and keep the offense organized. As a team, the Aces were extremely efficient in that one, shooting 60% from the field and 46% from three-point range. They were in command almost the entire night as well, holding the lead for 99% of the game, which shows how consistently they dictated the flow from start to finish.
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Through the first four games of the year, Wilson has clearly been the centerpiece, leading the team in scoring at 26.3 points per game, and she has also been their top rebounder so far at 5.5 boards a night. Chennedy Carter has provided a strong secondary scoring option, averaging 19.3 points and giving Las Vegas another reliable threat defenses have to account for. Gray has been the main playmaker, leading the team in assists at 6.8 per game, and her ability to create for others is a big reason the offense has looked so smooth early on. Overall, the Aces are putting up 92.5 points per game across their first four games, and they’ll try to keep that momentum going on both ends of the floor when they head to Atlanta to take on the Dream.
Key Stats
- Las Vegas’ A’ja Wilson this season: 26.3 points, 5.5 rebounds per game
- Atlanta’s Allisha Gray this season: 25 points per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- ATL -1.5; O/U 172.5
Las Vegas vs Atlanta Picks and Prediction
Both the Aces and the Dream have come out firing on the offensive end to start the season, setting the stage for a tense showdown in Atlanta. The Dream are riding early momentum after opening 2–0, while Las Vegas has also looked sharp, winning three of its first four games. With two teams that can score in bunches, this has all the makings of a tight, back-and-forth game, especially with Atlanta feeding off the home crowd and key playmakers like Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray trying to keep the Dream right there until the final minutes. Final Score Prediction, Atlanta Dream win and cover the spread, 82-78.
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