Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday May 13 2026
Use Code WWWC Wednesday night's WNBA card features one of the most lopsided early-season spreads we've seen, as the Aces head to Mohegan Sun Arena as 14.5-point road favorites against a depleted Connecticut roster. With Las Vegas coming off a 105-point statement win and the Sun reeling at 0-2, the betting board is screaming for action on both the side and total. For more handicaps on tonight's WNBA slate, check out our WNBA picks page for full coverage.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas -14.5
- Total Pick: Over 172.5
- Projected Final Score: Aces 96, Sun 78
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Odds and Line Movement
Below is a snapshot of the opening odds, current odds, and how the spread and total have moved heading into tip-off in Connecticut.
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | -13½ (-110) | 172½ (-110) |
| Connecticut | +13½ (-110) | 172½ (-110) |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | -14½ (-105) | 172½ (-108) |
| Connecticut | +14½ (-115) | 172½ (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Connecticut | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/13 | 08:54:37AM | -14½ -105 | 14½ -115 | LV 88%, LV 66% |
| 05/13 | 02:02:57AM | -14½ -112 | 14½ -108 | LV 78%, LV 50% |
| 05/12 | 10:43:17PM | -14½ -105 | 14½ -115 | LV 100%, LV 100% |
| 05/12 | 10:43:17PM | |||
| 05/12 | 12:49:57PM | -13½ -112 | 13½ -108 | |
| 05/12 | 11:32:48AM | |||
| 05/11 | 11:19:07PM | -13½ -112 | 13½ -108 | |
| 05/11 | 09:14:55PM | -13½ -105 | 13½ -115 | |
| 05/11 | 07:53:48PM | -13½ -110 | 13½ -110 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/13 | 09:02:17AM | 172½ -108 | 172½ -112 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 05/13 | 02:12:17AM | 171½ -110 | 171½ -110 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 05/13 | 02:12:17AM | |||
| 05/13 | 02:02:57AM | 170½ -112 | 170½ -108 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 05/12 | 11:00:07PM | 170½ -105 | 170½ -115 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 05/12 | 06:08:48PM | 170½ -112 | 170½ -108 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 05/12 | 06:08:47PM | |||
| 05/12 | 12:49:58PM | 171½ -110 | 171½ -110 | |
| 05/12 | 11:32:48AM | |||
| 05/11 | 08:05:02PM | 171½ -110 | 171½ -110 | |
| 05/11 | 07:53:48PM | 172½ -110 | 172½ -110 |
Aces vs Sun Key Matchups and Handicap
Las Vegas and Connecticut meet Wednesday night with the Aces laying a massive 14.5 points on the road and the total set at 172.5, and while the number is big, the matchup data makes it understandable. Las Vegas is 1-1 after splitting its first two games, losing 99-66 to Phoenix before bouncing back with a dominant 105-78 win at Los Angeles, while Connecticut is 0-2 after losses to New York and Seattle, including an 89-82 home defeat in its most recent game.
The Aces have the clear offensive and efficiency edge, averaging 85.5 points per game on 51% shooting, while the Sun are scoring 78.5 points per game on just 39% from the field. Las Vegas also has the better playmaking profile at 23.5 assists per game compared to Connecticut's 19.5, and the defensive activity gap is notable, with the Aces averaging 9.0 blocks and 8.0 steals per game.
A'ja Wilson remains the centerpiece for Las Vegas, averaging 19.0 points on 51.7% shooting, while Jackie Young is averaging 6.0 assists and NaLyssa Smith is contributing 6.0 rebounds per game. Connecticut's best early production has come from Aneesah Morrow, who is averaging 16.0 points and 11.0 rebounds, while Saniya Rivers is adding 4.5 assists, but the Sun's depth is a real concern.
The main issue with laying -14.5 is backdoor risk, especially this early in the season when rotations can be uneven, but Connecticut's 97.5 points allowed per game is alarming against an Aces team that just scored 105. The total at 172.5 is high, but both teams have allowed at least 88.5 points per game, and Las Vegas can push this pace on its own.
LV and CT Betting Trends
- Las Vegas is 1-1 to start the season, including a dominant 105-78 win at Los Angeles in its most recent outing.
- Connecticut is 0-2 after losses to New York and Seattle, most recently an 89-82 home defeat.
- The Aces are shooting 51% from the field and averaging 85.5 points per game.
- The Sun are shooting just 39% from the field and averaging 78.5 points per game.
- Las Vegas has the playmaking edge at 23.5 assists per game compared to Connecticut's 19.5.
- The Aces average 9.0 blocks and 8.0 steals per game, a major defensive activity advantage.
- Connecticut is allowing 97.5 points per game, an alarming number against an Aces offense that just hit 105.
- Public money has hammered Las Vegas, with 88% of bets and 66% of handle on the Aces in the most recent spread tickets and 100% on the OVER.
LV and CT Key Injuries and Notes
- Nell Angloma is out for Connecticut, hurting the Sun's frontcourt depth.
- Aaliyah Edwards is out for the Sun, further thinning the interior rotation.
- Shey Peddy is out for Connecticut, reducing guard stability.
- Leila Lacan is out for the Sun, limiting overall rotation flexibility.
- A'ja Wilson is averaging 19.0 points on 51.7% shooting for Las Vegas.
- Jackie Young is averaging 6.0 assists for the Aces, and NaLyssa Smith is contributing 6.0 rebounds per game.
- Aneesah Morrow leads Connecticut at 16.0 points and 11.0 rebounds per game, with Saniya Rivers adding 4.5 assists.
- Las Vegas is also missing Dana Evans and Janiah Barker, but the Aces' top-end talent and offensive structure remain far stronger.
Aces vs Sun ATS and Total Picks
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas -14.5
- Total Pick: Over 172.5
Even with the backdoor concerns that come with laying double-digit numbers in the WNBA, Connecticut's defensive struggles and short-handed rotation make it difficult to argue against the Aces here. Las Vegas's combination of elite shooting efficiency, playmaking and defensive activity all point to another runaway win, and the OVER is in play given both teams' generous defensive numbers.
Final Score Prediction
Aces 96, Sun 78
Expect Wilson, Young and the rest of the Aces' core to keep their foot on the gas after the 105-point outburst in Los Angeles, exploiting Connecticut's depleted frontcourt and defensive shortcomings. Morrow will produce another double-double for the Sun, but the supporting cast simply isn't healthy enough to hang with Las Vegas on either end. The Aces cover the 14.5, and the combined offensive output sends this comfortably over the 172.5 total.
How to Bet Aces vs Sun
If you're looking to play the Aces' spread or the OVER in tonight's WNBA matchup, the betting options are wide open. Traditional sportsbooks will have full markets for the matchup, but bettors in states without legal sports betting (or those simply looking for an alternative way to play big WNBA favorites) should check out social sportsbooks, which are widely available across the country and offer a great alternative for high-total WNBA action. Fliff stands out as a strong option for spreads like Las Vegas -14.5 — grab your bonus with our fliff promo code page and load up extra coins behind the Aces. Whichever route you choose, the recommendation stands: Las Vegas -14.5 with a lean to the OVER 172.5.
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