Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Sunday, August 9, 2026

The Las Vegas Aces visit the New York Liberty on Sunday at 12:30 PM ET at Barclays Center. Las Vegas is 22-9, second in the Western Conference and 2.5 games behind Minnesota after an 86-84 overtime win at Indiana. The Aces have won four of their last five. New York is 19-13, fourth in the Eastern Conference and 0.5 games behind Atlanta and Indiana after beating Seattle 92-86. The Liberty have won three straight and four of five. The season series is tied 1-1 after Las Vegas won the last meeting 104-99. Cash in a winner with our free WNBA picks.

Las Vegas Aces Continue Strong Road Form

Las Vegas averages 91.8 points while shooting 49.2% from the field and 35.8% from 3-point range. The Aces also average 22.6 assists and only 11.9 turnovers, with several scoring options around A’ja Wilson. Jackie Young contributes 18.0 points and 6.8 assists, Chelsea Gray averages 12.7 points and 7.2 assists, and NaLyssa Smith adds 12.1 points and 5.9 rebounds. Las Vegas has scored at least 98 points in three of its last five games.

The Aces allow 86.5 points per game, sixth-lowest in the WNBA, while opponents shoot 44.0% from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc. Las Vegas also averages 7.0 steals and 5.1 blocks, with Wilson contributing 1.5 steals and 2.0 blocks. The Aces have won 13 of 17 road games and enter on a two-game winning streak after victories over Atlanta and Indiana.

Injuries: Justine Pissott (Out, Leg), Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Out, Concussion).

New York Liberty Enter on Three-Game Winning Streak

New York averages 90.1 points while shooting 46.2% from the field, 35.2% from 3-point range, and 85.4% at the free-throw line. Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty with 21.6 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. Sabrina Ionescu adds 16.2 points and 4.7 assists, while Jonquel Jones averages 14.6 points and 9.1 rebounds. New York has scored at least 92 points in five consecutive games, including 113 against Los Angeles and 95 against Seattle.

The Liberty allow 87.5 points per game, eighth-lowest in the league, while opponents shoot 45.1% overall and 35.0% from 3-point range. New York averages 6.0 steals and 4.2 blocks but commits 13.8 turnovers per game. The Liberty are 10-5 at Barclays Center and have won three consecutive games, scoring 281 points during that stretch. New York will be without three forwards Sunday, reducing its available depth.

Injuries: Satou Sabally (Out, Concussion), Anneli Maley (Out, Coach’s Decision), Leonie Fiebich (Out, Foot).

Key Player Matchup

A’ja Wilson vs Breanna Stewart

Wilson enters averaging 26.6 points, 9.8 rebounds, 2.0 blocks, and 1.5 steals while shooting 53.0% from the field. Stewart counters with 21.6 points, 8.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.5 blocks, and 1.3 steals while shooting 47.6%. Wilson has the scoring and rebounding advantage, while Stewart remains New York’s leading offensive option. Their production around the basket and ability to draw fouls could have a major impact on Sunday’s matchup.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Game Pick

• Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas is the pick in a matchup between two teams playing well. The Aces have won four of five and own a 13-4 road record, while New York has won three straight and is 10-5 at home. Las Vegas has the stronger scoring average at 91.8 points and shoots 49.2% compared with New York’s 46.2%. Wilson also gives the Aces the leading scorer in this matchup, and Las Vegas already beat New York 104-99 on July 30. The Aces will win and cover on Sunday

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Over/Under Pick

• Over

The over is the pick based on the recent scoring from both teams. New York has reached at least 92 points in five straight games, while Las Vegas has scored 98 or more in three of its last five. Their July 30 meeting produced 203 total points in a 104-99 Aces victory. Las Vegas averages 91.8 points and New York averages 90.1, with both teams shooting above 46% from the field. Another productive offensive game is reasonable to expect, helping cash the number over the closing total.