Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Sunday August 23 2026

The Las Vegas Aces visit the Toronto Tempo at Rogers Arena in Vancouver on Sunday, with the game starting at 7:00 PM ET. Las Vegas is 25-13, third in the Western Conference and six games behind Minnesota after a 101-78 win over Connecticut. The Aces are 3-2 over their last five and 13-6 away from home. Toronto is 11-25, sixth in the Eastern Conference and 12.5 games behind Indiana after beating Portland 82-79. The Tempo snapped a four-game losing streak with that victory and are 7-12 at home. Las Vegas is favored by 11.5 points, with the total set at 183.5. Build your bankroll with our free WNBA picks.

Las Vegas Aces Look to Use Their Offensive Advantage

Las Vegas averages 90.6 points per game while shooting 48.2% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range. The Aces also average 33.6 rebounds and 21.9 assists while committing only 12.1 turnovers. A’ja Wilson leads Las Vegas with 25.9 points and 9.5 rebounds while shooting 51.8%. Jackie Young adds 18.7 points and 6.6 assists, while Chelsea Gray averages 12.1 points and a team-high 6.8 assists.

The Aces are allowing 87.1 points per game and own a +3.5 scoring margin. Las Vegas has been inconsistent recently, but Thursday’s 101-78 win over Connecticut showed how difficult the offense can be to contain when shots are falling. The Aces have also beaten Toronto once this season, cruising to a 109-83 victory on July 20. Las Vegas enters Sunday with the stronger shooting numbers, deeper scoring options and clear advantage on the glass.

Injuries: Ta'Niya Latson (Out, Coach's Decision), Dana Evans (Out, Leg).

Toronto Tempo Try to Build on Friday’s Win

Toronto ended a four-game losing streak with an 82-79 victory over Portland on Friday. The Tempo average 87.7 points while shooting 44.6% from the field and 35.5% from three-point range. Toronto makes 10.1 three-pointers per game but averages only 31.3 rebounds. The Tempo will also be missing several important scorers, creating a difficult assignment against one of the league’s better offensive teams.

Toronto’s defense remains the larger concern, allowing 93.9 points per game. The Tempo gave up at least 93 points in three straight losses before slowing Portland. Toronto has also surrendered 109 points to Las Vegas in the previous meeting. With Marina Mabrey, Brittney Sykes and Maria Conde all unavailable, Julie Allemand and the remaining rotation players will need to create more offense while handling a Las Vegas defense that allows 87.1 points per game.

Injuries: Aneesah Morrow (Out, Knee), Brittney Sykes (Out, Foot), Zaay Green (Out, Coach's Decision), Marina Mabrey (Out, Hamstring), Maria Conde (Out, Calf).

Key Player Matchup

A'ja Wilson vs Isabelle Harrison

Wilson gives Las Vegas a major advantage inside, averaging 25.9 points and 9.5 rebounds while shooting 51.8% from the field. She also adds 2.0 blocks and 1.4 steals per game. Harrison averages 11.4 points and 5.8 rebounds while shooting 47.0%. Toronto needs Harrison to defend without fouling and help control the glass, because Wilson is capable of dominating both scoring and rebounding. With Mabrey and Sykes unavailable, Harrison’s interior production becomes even more important for a short-handed Tempo lineup.

Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo Game Pick

• Las Vegas Aces -11.5 (-110)

Las Vegas has enough advantages to cover the 11.5-point spread, especially with Toronto missing several key contributors. Mabrey and Sykes are both out, taking away more than 40 combined points of average scoring. The Aces already beat Toronto 109-83 earlier this season and enter with the better shooting percentage, rebounding numbers and overall scoring margin. Wilson also has a favorable interior matchup against a thinner Tempo rotation. Toronto won Friday, but the injury situation makes Las Vegas -11.5 the play Sunday.

Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo Over/Under Pick

• Under 183.5 (-110)

The injury report makes the under more appealing than Toronto’s season-long defensive numbers might suggest. The Tempo are without Mabrey, Sykes, Conde and Morrow, removing several major scoring options from a team averaging 87.7 points. Las Vegas can still score at a high level, but Toronto may struggle to contribute enough for the game to clear 183.5. The Aces held Connecticut to 78 in their latest win, while Toronto scored 82 against Portland. With so much offense unavailable, under 183.5 is the play.