Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Saturday, June 13, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury meet at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona, on Saturday at 10:00 PM ET in a regular season game that is also part of the WNBA Commissioner's Cup. Los Angeles enters at 6-6 after back-to-back wins over Portland and Seattle, while Phoenix sits at 4-10 and has dropped three of its last four games. The Mercury are slight home favorites despite the records, creating an intriguing betting matchup. Find today's value with our free WNBA picks.
Los Angeles Sparks Preview
The Sparks have started to find an offensive rhythm after a slow opening stretch. Los Angeles ranks among the league's top scoring teams at 88.7 points per game while shooting 46.4% from the field. The Sparks have scored at least 88 points in three of their last four contests and are coming off an 88-83 road win over Seattle. Their ability to generate points from multiple players has helped fuel the recent turnaround.
Kelsey Plum has been one of the WNBA's most productive scorers, averaging 24.8 points and 6.9 assists per game. Nneka Ogwumike continues to anchor the frontcourt with 16.3 points and 8.6 rebounds per contest, while Dearica Hamby adds 15.1 points and 8.0 rebounds. Cameron Brink provides additional rim protection and interior defense, giving Los Angeles another impact player on both ends of the floor.
The biggest concern remains defense. The Sparks allow a league-high 90.4 points per game and opponents are shooting 46.9% from the field against them. Even during recent victories, Los Angeles has struggled to consistently get stops. That weakness could become a factor against a Phoenix team looking to capitalize at home.
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Injuries: Kate Martin is questionable. Laura Ziegler is out.
Phoenix Mercury Preview
Phoenix has struggled to consistently convert competitive performances into wins. The Mercury average 81.6 points per game and have scored 81 points or fewer in three of their last four contests. Their recent stretch included victories over Portland and Seattle, but losses to Golden State and Dallas highlighted the offensive issues that have followed the team throughout the season.
Kahleah Copper leads Phoenix with 17.4 points per game, while Alyssa Thomas remains the centerpiece of the offense. Thomas averages 15.6 points, 7.7 assists, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.8 steals per game, impacting nearly every possession. Natasha Mack has also been productive in the paint, averaging 10.2 points and 8.4 rebounds while shooting 70% from the field.
The Mercury's defense has been significantly stronger than their offense. Phoenix allows 85.1 points per game and does a solid job controlling the glass while limiting second-chance opportunities. If the Mercury can slow the pace and force Los Angeles into half-court possessions, they should keep this matchup competitive throughout.
Injuries: Marta Suarez and Kiana Williams are questionable. Sami Whitcomb is out.
Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Pick
- Los Angeles Sparks Moneyline (-102)
Los Angeles enters in better form and owns the more explosive offense. The Sparks have won consecutive games and feature the best scorer on the floor in Plum. While Phoenix has the stronger defensive numbers, the Mercury continue to struggle offensively and have been unable to consistently put together complete performances. The Sparks have more scoring options and arrive with momentum. At near even money, Los Angeles offers the stronger betting value.
Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Over/Under Pick
- Over 176.5
Los Angeles games continue to produce points because of the combination of a high-powered offense and a defense that allows more points than any team in the league. The Sparks average 88.7 points per game while surrendering 90.4. Phoenix prefers a slower pace, but the Mercury have allowed opponents to reach the mid-80s regularly. If Los Angeles dictates tempo, there should be enough possessions and scoring opportunities for this game to finish above the total.
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