Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Tuesday, the Los Angeles Sparks (20-22) play on the road against the Phoenix Mercury (27-15) in the last game of the regular season for both teams. Los Angeles is 20-22 and 9th in the league standings, 1.5 games behind eighth-place Seattle, with only the top eight qualifying. LA must win each of its final two games of the regular season, and Seattle must lose its final game for the Sparks to have any chance of qualifying. Phoenix is 27-15 and fourth in the league. Depending upon how the final two games are played, the Mercury could finish as high as second but no lower than 5th. Los Angeles does not have any players listed on its injury report. Phoenix will play without Julia Ayrault and Helena Pueyo. Make sure to read this in-depth Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury prediction. Hoops action is heating up—don’t miss our NBA picks for the Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction and boost your bankroll.
The Los Angeles Sparks’ playoff hopes hang by a thread
The Los Angeles Sparks must win its final two games of the regular season, and Seattle must lose its final game for the Sparks to have an opportunity to qualify for the postseason. The Sparks are 2nd in scoring, averaging 85.9 points per game, and 13th in points allowed at 88.0 points per game. Los Angeles shoots 45.9% overall and 34.3% from 3-point territory, which are 2nd and 4th, respectively. The Sparks’ defense allows opponents to shoot 45.3% overall and 36.2% from 3-point territory, which are both 11th.
The top two scorers for Los Angeles are Kelsey Plum, averaging 19.9 points per game, and Dearica Hamby, averaging 18.4 points per game. Los Angeles has two other players who average double figures in scoring. Hamby leads Los Angeles in rebounds, averaging 8.0 boards per game, and Plum is the dish leader, averaging 5.8 assists per game. Hamby averages a team-best 1.6 steals per game, and Azura Stevens is the rim protector, averaging 1.1 blocked shots per game
Mercury preparing for playoffs
The Phoenix Mercury score an average of 83.0 points per game, which is seventh, and allow an average of 79.5 points per game, which is 4th. The Mercury shoots 43.4% overall and 33.8% from 3-point territory, which are 9th and 7th, respectively. Phoenix’s defense holds opponents to 42.5% shooting overall and 32.3% shooting from 3-point territory, which are fourth and third, respectively.
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Phoenix's top two scorers are Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper, who are averaging 16.2 points per game. Phoenix has two other players who average double figures in scoring. Alyssa Thomas leads the Mercury in rebounding and assists, averaging 8.9 boards and 9.2 assists per game. Thomas is also the leader in steals at 1.6 per game, and Natasha Mack is the rim protector, averaging 1.6 blocked shots per game.
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Pick
Spread Pick for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Phoenix Mercury (5 units)
Los Angeles is second in scoring, averaging 85.9 points per game, but the Sparks are 12th or next to last in points allowed at 88.0 points per game. In contrast, Phoenix is 7th in scoring at 83.0 points per game and fourth best in points allowed at 79.5 points per game. Phoenix is 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in three games head-to-head this season with Los Angeles. The Sparks have covered the spread in just two of their last 10 games. Phoenix has clinched a postseason berth and is battling for a top-four playoff spot, which would give them home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. The Sparks have a slim chance of qualifying for the postseason, but must win their final two games for any opportunity. The pressure is definitely more on the collective shoulders of the Sparks.
Over/Under Pick for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Under (4 units)
The total finished under in the most recent game played between these two on August 26th, when 176 points were scored on a closing line of 177. The other two games head-to-head this season ended in a push and an over. Phoenix has had the total finished under in seven of the last eight games and is fourth in points allowed.
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