Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday June 25 2026
Use Code WWWC The Sparks visit the Tempo in Toronto on Thursday as both teams adjust to major backcourt injuries in a near pick'em matchup.
This preview breaks down the latest lines, injury news, matchup trends, and top WNBA player props for Thursday night's game.
Best Available Odds
Best Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles Sparks (-104 at Novig) / Toronto Tempo (+100 at Novig)
Best Spread Odds: Los Angeles Sparks +1.5 (-120 at Novig) / Toronto Tempo -1.5 (+113 at Novig)
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Best Total Odds: Over 180.5 (-106 at Novig) / Under 180.5 (-102 at Novig)
Game Info
Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM EDT
Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON
TV: Prime Video
Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Preview
The Los Angeles Sparks enter Thursday at 8-8 after producing one of their most dramatic victories of the season.
Los Angeles erased a 17-point second-half deficit and defeated the New York Liberty 98-97 on Sunday. Nneka Ogwumike completed the comeback by making a three-pointer at the final buzzer.
Ogwumike finished with 24 points, six rebounds, three assists, and three steals. She consistently attacked the interior before stepping outside for the decisive shot.
The Sparks received contributions throughout the rotation. Rae Burrell scored 19 points off the bench, Erica Wheeler added 15 points and five assists, Dearica Hamby finished with 12 points and eight rebounds, and Ariel Atkins scored 10.
Los Angeles scored 60 points in the paint and forced 16 New York turnovers. That interior production becomes especially important Thursday against a Toronto defense that has struggled to protect the rim.
The victory came with a significant cost. Kelsey Plum aggravated a lower-left-leg injury and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Plum leads Los Angeles with 23.9 points and 6.4 assists per game. She ranks second in the WNBA in scoring and sixth in assists.
The Sparks are 7-5 when Plum plays and 1-3 without her. Her absence removes the team's most reliable off-the-dribble scorer, primary pick-and-roll creator, and highest-volume perimeter shooter.
Los Angeles must redistribute those possessions among Ogwumike, Wheeler, Burrell, Hamby, and Atkins.
Ogwumike becomes the offensive centrepiece. She averages approximately 15.8 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 2.2 assists while shooting efficiently from the field.
Her ability to score from the post, short roll, mid-range area, and three-point line gives Los Angeles several ways to attack Toronto's frontcourt.
Toronto has allowed opponents to reach the rim at one of the highest rates in the league. The Tempo have also struggled to finish defensive possessions with rebounds.
Ogwumike should receive more touches than she normally does when Plum controls the half-court offense. Los Angeles can use her as a scorer, screener, and playmaking hub near the elbows.
Hamby supplies another interior threat. She enters averaging approximately 13.7 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.
Hamby can punish Toronto in transition, attack the offensive glass, and create against slower frontcourt defenders. Her production has been inconsistent, however, and she has scored below her established career level during several recent games.
Wheeler should handle most of the traditional point-guard responsibility. She produced 15 points and five assists against New York and has previously responded well when Plum has been unavailable.
Wheeler does not match Plum's scoring ceiling, but she can organize the offense, create mid-range shots, and find Ogwumike or Hamby after drawing a second defender.
Burrell also moves into a more important role. She averages approximately 11.6 points and enters after scoring 19 on efficient shooting against the Liberty.
Her size allows her to finish through contact and defend multiple perimeter positions. Los Angeles needs her aggression because the available starting lineup otherwise lacks high-volume shooting.
Atkins remains the team's strongest perimeter defender. She should receive the primary assignment against Marina Mabrey whenever Los Angeles is not switching actions.
Cameron Brink is also out, removing Los Angeles' best rim protector. That absence creates another problem for a defense already allowing approximately 91.3 points per game.
The Sparks rank near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency. Opponents are shooting approximately 47.6% from the field against them.
Los Angeles has remained competitive because its offense averages approximately 88.4 points and shoots close to 46% from the field.
That offensive efficiency may decline without Plum, but the matchup provides several favourable areas. Toronto has been even less reliable defensively and has struggled against strong frontcourts.
The Sparks have also played considerably better away from home. They enter with a 5-2 road record, compared with only three home victories.
The Toronto Tempo enter at 8-9 after losing four of their last five games.
Toronto's latest defeat was a 94-87 road loss against the Atlanta Dream. The Tempo remained competitive for much of the game but could not consistently slow Atlanta during the second half.
Mabrey led Toronto with 23 points. She continued an outstanding offensive stretch that began after injuries changed the Tempo's backcourt rotation.
Mabrey scored a career-high 37 points during Toronto's 101-97 comeback victory over Connecticut. She made difficult shots from three-point range, attacked closeouts, and controlled the offense during the fourth quarter.
She enters averaging approximately 19.4 points, 3.7 assists, and 3.4 rebounds. Mabrey is shooting above 44% from the field and approximately 39% from three-point range.
Her usage rate has increased significantly because Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice remain unavailable.
Sykes is out with a plantar fascia injury. She leads Toronto with approximately 20.1 points while adding 3.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists.
Rice is recovering from a Grade 3 ankle sprain. The rookie averages approximately 12.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.6 assists.
Those absences remove more than 32 combined points and two of Toronto's best downhill creators.
Mabrey must now generate a larger percentage of the team's shots, assists, and late-clock possessions. Los Angeles knows where the offense is coming from, but stopping it remains difficult because its perimeter defense has struggled throughout the season.
Julie Allemand should handle additional ball-handling responsibility. Her experience and passing can keep Toronto organized when Los Angeles forces the ball away from Mabrey.
María Conde has also received a larger role. She provides size on the wing, secondary creation, and enough shooting to punish defenders who leave her to help against Mabrey.
Nyara Sabally gives Toronto an important interior scorer. She averages approximately 12.1 points and has returned after dealing with a hamstring injury earlier in June.
Sabally can score as a roller, attack from the high post, and finish offensive rebounds. She must also help Toronto survive the physical matchup against Ogwumike and Hamby.
Isabelle Harrison adds another experienced frontcourt option. She averages approximately 13 points after missing the beginning of the season with a thumb injury.
Harrison can score from the post and mid-range area, but Toronto may need her defensive rebounding more than her shooting Thursday.
The Tempo average approximately 89.4 points per game, placing them among the WNBA's highest-scoring teams.
The offense was built around aggressive drives, three-point volume, and the combined creation of Sykes and Mabrey. Losing Sykes and Rice reduces that variety but has not completely stopped Toronto from scoring.
The Tempo produced 101 points against Connecticut and 87 against Atlanta during their last two games.
Toronto's greater concern remains defense. The Tempo allow approximately 91.8 points per game, the highest figure in the league.
Opponents have repeatedly reached the rim, converted second-chance opportunities, and created open three-pointers after forcing Toronto into help rotations.
The Tempo rank near the bottom of the league in defensive rating and have allowed an unusually large percentage of opposing shots to come from the rim or three-point line.
That profile creates an obvious problem against Ogwumike, Hamby, Burrell, and a Sparks team that scored 60 paint points against New York.
Toronto's home form provides some encouragement. The Tempo are 4-3 at Coca-Cola Coliseum and begin an extended nine-game stretch in Toronto and Montreal.
They have also been more reliable against the spread than Los Angeles. Toronto enters with a 10-7 spread record despite sitting one game below .500.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Los Angeles and Toronto have split two meetings during the Tempo's inaugural season.
The Sparks won the first matchup 99-95 on May 15. Los Angeles established a double-digit first-quarter lead and held off Toronto after the Tempo rallied during the second half.
Plum led Los Angeles with 25 points. Ogwumike and Hamby combined to attack Toronto's interior defense, while the Sparks produced enough late offense to protect the lead.
Toronto responded two days later with a 106-96 victory.
Sykes delivered a career-high 38 points and made all 15 of her free-throw attempts. Rice added 19 points in her first professional start, while Mabrey scored 14.
Plum scored 28 points for Los Angeles. Hamby added 21 points and nine rebounds, while Ogwumike finished with 17 points and seven boards.
The previous games produced 194 and 202 combined points. Both comfortably cleared Thursday's total.
Those results cannot be applied without adjustment. Plum and Sykes were the leading scorers in both matchups, while Rice played an important role in Toronto's victory.
All three guards are unavailable Thursday. Their absences remove a substantial amount of scoring and transition speed from the matchup.
The defensive weaknesses remain. Neither team has demonstrated that it can consistently prevent paint scoring, open three-pointers, or extended scoring runs.
Los Angeles may play through its frontcourt more frequently, while Toronto should concentrate a larger number of possessions through Mabrey.
Game Thesis: Both teams are missing their leading scorer, but Plum's absence may be more damaging because Los Angeles is only 1-3 without her and lacks another perimeter creator with the same combination of scoring and passing. Toronto can still build its offense around Mabrey, Allemand, Conde, Sabally, and Harrison. The Sparks possess the stronger frontcourt and should score efficiently inside, but their defensive problems make it difficult to trust them on the road without Plum or Brink. Toronto is the preferred moneyline side, with the small spread offering a plus-money alternative. The first two meetings both exceeded 190 points, and neither defense has improved enough to make Under 180.5 the strongest approach.
⭐ Best Bet - Moneyline Pick: Toronto Tempo (+100)
Toronto is the preferred outright winner at even money.
The Tempo are also significantly depleted, but they have already begun adjusting their offense around Mabrey.
Mabrey scored 37 points against Connecticut and 23 against Atlanta. She has the shooting range and ball-handling role required to carry Toronto through extended stretches.
Los Angeles has played four games without Plum and lost three of them. Her absence removes 23.9 points and 6.4 assists from a team that already ranks near the bottom of the league defensively.
The Sparks must now depend on Wheeler to initiate most half-court possessions. Wheeler can produce, but Toronto can pressure her more aggressively without worrying about Plum operating away from the ball.
Toronto should also receive useful secondary production from Sabally, Harrison, Conde, and Allemand.
The Tempo's frontcourt must survive the matchup against Ogwumike and Hamby. Los Angeles has a clear advantage on the glass and around the rim.
Toronto can counter by spacing the floor, involving the Sparks' forwards in repeated ball screens, and forcing Ogwumike or Hamby to defend outside the paint.
Brink's absence reduces the Sparks' rim protection. Mabrey and Allemand should have opportunities to attack after Toronto pulls Los Angeles' larger defenders away from the basket.
Home court also matters in a matchup this close. Toronto is 4-3 at Coca-Cola Coliseum, while the current market provides an even-money return rather than requiring bettors to lay significant juice.
A projected final around 94-90 supports Toronto on the moneyline.
Spread Pick: Toronto Tempo -1.5 (+113)
Toronto -1.5 provides a plus-money alternative for bettors expecting the Tempo to win outright.
The spread requires only a two-point victory. That is a reasonable margin for a team playing at home against an opponent missing its leading scorer and primary creator.
The Tempo have covered the spread in 10 of their first 17 games. Their record demonstrates that Toronto has remained competitive even while adjusting to expansion-season inconsistency.
Mabrey gives Toronto the most dangerous available perimeter scorer. She can create enough separation during the fourth quarter to prevent the game from becoming a final-possession coin flip.
Los Angeles still owns the stronger interior matchup. Ogwumike and Hamby can control the offensive glass and generate high-percentage shots against Toronto's weak rim defense.
That frontcourt advantage is the primary reason the spread remains short.
The Sparks' 5-2 road record creates another risk. Los Angeles has often played with greater focus and freedom away from home.
Toronto's home record and Los Angeles' performance without Plum still support the Tempo. A 94-90 or 92-88 result would comfortably cover the small number.
Total Pick: Over 180.5 (-106)
Over 180.5 is preferable to the original Under recommendation.
The injuries reduce the offensive ceiling, but the total must also account for two of the league's weakest defenses.
Toronto allows approximately 91.8 points per game. Los Angeles allows approximately 91.3.
The Tempo rank last or near last in several defensive-efficiency categories. Opponents have consistently scored at the rim and generated open perimeter attempts.
Los Angeles can exploit those weaknesses through Ogwumike, Hamby, Wheeler, and Burrell.
The Sparks scored 98 against New York despite Plum producing only 12 points. Six Los Angeles players reached double figures, showing that the offense can distribute scoring when its star guard struggles.
Toronto has also continued scoring without Sykes and Rice. The Tempo produced 101 against Connecticut and 87 against Atlanta.
Mabrey's increased usage provides a clear scoring foundation. Harrison and Sabally can also attack a Los Angeles frontcourt missing Brink.
The previous meetings reached 194 and 202 points. Plum and Sykes drove those results, but the defensive structures responsible for the high totals remain largely unchanged.
Transition opportunities should also remain available. Both teams have committed turnovers at damaging rates and struggled to organize their defense after live-ball mistakes.
The Over carries more risk than the Toronto moneyline because either offense could stagnate without its leading guard.
A projected final of 94-90 reaches 184 points and clears the current number.
Top Player Prop Picks
Marina Mabrey Over 22.5 Points (+105) Mabrey receives the largest offensive role of any available player in this matchup.
She has scored at least 18 points in five of her last six games and has exceeded 20 in four of those appearances.
Mabrey produced a career-high 37 points against Connecticut before scoring 23 against Atlanta.
Sykes and Rice are both out. Their absences remove more than 32 combined points and force Toronto to run a greater percentage of its offense through Mabrey.
She averages approximately 19.4 points, but the season-long number includes games in which she shared primary creation duties with Sykes.
Mabrey's current role should generate more field-goal attempts, three-point volume, and free throws than her full-season average.
Los Angeles ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive rating and allows opponents to shoot close to 48% from the field.
Atkins can make the matchup more difficult, but Toronto can use screens to force switches and prevent Los Angeles from keeping its best perimeter defender attached to Mabrey throughout the possession.
Mabrey scored only seven and 14 points during the first two meetings. Sykes dominated the ball in those games and Rice also carried a significant role during Toronto's victory.
The current rotation is completely different. Mabrey should approach or exceed 20 field-goal attempts if the game remains close.
The plus-money price provides additional value on a scorer with consecutive games of at least 23 points.
Nneka Ogwumike Over 18.5 Points (-110) Ogwumike becomes the centre of the Los Angeles offense without Plum.
She enters averaging approximately 15.8 points, but the Sparks must replace nearly 24 points and more than six assists from their starting backcourt.
Ogwumike responded with 24 points against New York and made the game-winning shot at the buzzer.
Toronto presents one of the league's most favourable interior matchups. The Tempo have struggled with rim protection, defensive rebounding, and containing efficient two-point scoring.
Los Angeles can establish Ogwumike through post-ups, elbow touches, pick-and-roll actions, and offensive rebounds.
She scored 20 points during the first meeting with Toronto and 17 during the rematch. Those performances came with Plum attempting a much larger share of the available shots.
Plum's absence should push Ogwumike beyond her normal field-goal volume.
Ogwumike also stretches Toronto's frontcourt away from the basket. Harrison and Sabally must respect her mid-range shooting, while slower defenders can be vulnerable when she attacks from the perimeter.
Foul trouble represents the primary concern. Ogwumike needs close to 30 minutes to generate enough attempts to clear an elevated line.
The matchup and redistributed usage support 19 or more points.
Erica Wheeler Over 16.5 Points + Assists (-135) Wheeler should operate as Los Angeles' primary point guard while Plum is unavailable.
She finished with 15 points and five assists against New York, clearing this combination with 20.
The prop provides two paths to production. Wheeler can score through pull-up jumpers and drives or create assists by feeding Ogwumike and Hamby against Toronto's interior defense.
Toronto's defensive problems often begin at the point of attack. Opposing guards have been able to reach the paint and force the Tempo into emergency rotations.
Those rotations should create passing opportunities even when Wheeler does not finish the possession herself.
Her minutes should also increase. Los Angeles has limited experienced ball-handling behind Wheeler, placing additional responsibility on her to organize both the starting group and portions of the second-unit offense.
Burrell and Atkins can handle short possessions, but neither replaces Plum as a full-time creator.
Wheeler does not need another 15-point performance to clear the line. Ten points and seven assists, 12 points and five assists, or a similar combination would be enough.
The elevated role and favourable defensive matchup support Over 16.5 points plus assists.
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