New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday June 17 2026

By: Al MacMillan Updated 06/17/2026, 02:37 PM ET
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New York visits Chicago with updated picks and top WNBA player props for Wednesday night.

Best Available Odds

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Liberty (-525) / Chicago Sky (+400)

Best Spread Odds: New York Liberty -10.5 (-105) / Chicago Sky +10.5 (-110)

Best Total Odds: Over 169.5 (-110) / Under 169.5 (-105)

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Game Info

Date: June 17, 2026

Time: 8:00 PM EDT

Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL

TV: USA Network, The U

New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky Preview

The New York Liberty enter Wednesday at 10-4 and riding a seven-game winning streak. New York clinched its place in the Commissioner's Cup championship game with an 86-64 victory over Washington on Sunday, controlling the game defensively and holding the Mystics to 33.8% shooting.

Jonquel Jones led the Liberty with 20 points, four rebounds, three steals, and two blocks against Washington. Breanna Stewart added 14 points, 12 rebounds, and a career-high seven blocks, helping New York overwhelm the Mystics around the basket. The Liberty also made 11 three-pointers and shot nearly 50% from the field.

Sabrina Ionescu returned from a back injury in that victory and played approximately 25 minutes off the bench. She continues to work her way back toward a full workload, with Pauline Astier retaining an important role in the backcourt. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton is questionable because of left knee injury management.

Chicago enters at 4-9 after losing three consecutive games and eight of its last nine. The Sky have not played since their 114-106 overtime loss to Indiana on June 11, when they erased a substantial deficit and forced overtime before making only one of eight shots in the extra period.

Undrafted rookie Sydney Taylor delivered the best performance of her young career in that loss, scoring 30 points on 10-of-14 shooting in 21 minutes. Skylar Diggins and Kamilla Cardoso remain central to Chicago's offense, but the Sky are dealing with major absences throughout the rotation.

Rickea Jackson is out for the season after suffering a torn ACL. DiJonai Carrington and Courtney Vandersloot are also unavailable, leaving Chicago without three important perimeter players. Those injuries place more scoring and playmaking responsibility on Diggins, Taylor, Cardoso, AzurΓ‘ Stevens, and Natasha Cloud.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

This is the first of four scheduled meetings between New York and Chicago in 2026. The individual head-to-head averages from previous seasons carry limited value because both teams have changed their rotations and Chicago is currently playing without several projected contributors.

The more relevant matchup advantage is New York's size and rebounding. The Liberty rank among the league's stronger rebounding teams, while Chicago enters near the bottom of the WNBA on the glass. Stewart, Jones, Satou Sabally, and Leonie Fiebich give New York several players capable of controlling defensive possessions and creating second-chance opportunities.

Chicago needs Cardoso and Stevens to remain out of foul trouble and prevent New York from dominating the paint. If the Sky cannot finish defensive possessions with rebounds, the Liberty should receive too many additional opportunities for Chicago's depleted offense to match.

Game Thesis: New York has the deeper lineup, stronger defense, and substantial frontcourt advantage. Chicago's recent offensive improvement deserves attention, but its 114-point performance against Indiana required overtime and a career night from Taylor. The Liberty should control the glass, limit Chicago's secondary scorers, and create enough separation to cover a double-digit spread.

Moneyline Pick: New York Liberty (-525)

The Liberty are the clear moneyline selection, but the -525 price offers limited standalone value. New York has won seven consecutive games and enters with a healthier, deeper rotation than the Sky.

Chicago has lost eight of nine and is missing Jackson, Carrington, and Vandersloot. The Sky still have enough talent to compete for stretches, but they lack New York's number of reliable scoring options and defensive answers.

The Liberty can attack through Stewart and Jones inside, use Sabally as a versatile secondary scorer, and receive perimeter production from Marine Johannès, Astier, and Ionescu. New York is the more likely winner, though the heavy price makes the spread the more attractive market.

⭐ Best Bet - Spread Pick: New York Liberty -10.5 (-105)

New York -10.5 is the strongest play despite the larger number. The Liberty have the frontcourt depth to punish Chicago's rebounding problems and the defensive personnel to make life difficult for Diggins, Taylor, and the Sky's other perimeter scorers.

Chicago's overtime performance against Indiana showed that the Sky can produce offense when their guards get hot. It also required an exceptional 30-point performance from Taylor, and Chicago still allowed 114 points while failing to execute in overtime.

New York has won its last two games by 14 and 22 points and enters with the league's longest active winning streak. Even with Ionescu working under a reduced workload, the Liberty have enough creation and shooting throughout the rotation to build and protect a double-digit lead.

Total Pick: Under 169.5 (-105)

The Under 169.5 is the preferred total. Chicago's 220-point game against Indiana included overtime and should not be treated as a normal representation of the Sky's scoring environment. Chicago produced 97 points through regulation before struggling in the extra period.

New York held Washington to 64 points in its most recent game and has built its winning streak through improved defensive execution. Jones and Stewart provide elite rim protection, while the Liberty's size allows them to switch actions and contest shots without conceding easy rebounds.

Chicago's injuries also reduce its offensive depth. Diggins and Taylor may carry substantial workloads, but the Sky could struggle to maintain efficient scoring for four quarters against New York. A result around 88-75 or 90-76 would keep the game below the listed total.

Top Player Prop Picks

Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 Rebounds (-109) Stewart averages 9.0 rebounds per game and collected 12 against Washington on Sunday. Chicago has struggled to finish defensive possessions and enters near the bottom of the league in rebounding, giving Stewart opportunities on both ends of the floor. Her ability to collect long rebounds while Jones battles Cardoso inside provides a strong path to nine or more.

Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 Points (-114) Stewart averages 19.9 points per game and remains New York's most dependable scoring option. Chicago must divide its frontcourt attention between Stewart, Jones, and Sabally, making it difficult to load the defense toward any one player. Stewart can clear the number through interior scoring, transition opportunities, and free throws even if her three-point shot is not falling.

Kamilla Cardoso Under 12.5 Points (-116) Cardoso averages 12.1 points per game, placing the available line slightly above her season average. She faces a difficult interior matchup against Jones, Stewart, and New York's help defense, which held Washington to 64 points and blocked nine shots Sunday.

Cardoso remains capable of scoring through offensive rebounds and post touches, but Chicago may need to use her energy primarily on defense and the glass. Foul trouble is also a concern against New York's experienced frontcourt, making the Under the preferred side of her points market.

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