New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Sunday, June 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Liberty visit the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN and Disney+. New York is 12-7 and sits second in the Eastern Conference, while Golden State is also 12-7 and currently third in the Western Conference. The Valkyries have won two straight games after sweeping Atlanta, while the Liberty have dropped three of their last four following Friday's 99-88 loss in Seattle. Golden State also defeated New York 87-70 in the first meeting between these teams back on May 21. Win big with our free WNBA picks
New York Liberty – Looking to Bounce Back
New York continues to feature one of the league's most talented rosters despite its recent struggles. The Liberty average 88.9 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field and 35.7% from three-point range. The offense also averages 21.0 assists and 35.1 rebounds per contest while converting 85.0% from the free-throw line. Breanna Stewart leads the way with 19.4 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, while Jonquel Jones is also averaging 14.8 points and 8.8 rebounds. Pauline Astier contributes 10.3 points and a team-high 3.8 assists, and Satou Sabally has added 10.4 points despite appearing in only 13 games.
Defensively, New York has remained one of the better teams in the WNBA, allowing just 83.9 points per game while opponents shoot 43.8% from the floor. The Liberty average 4.1 blocks and 6.1 steals, although turnovers have occasionally hurt them during this recent stretch. Stewart anchors both ends of the floor with 1.4 steals and 1.4 blocks per game. New York has lost to Seattle, Los Angeles, and Washington over its last four contests, but also owns a road victory over Las Vegas during that span.
Injuries: Satou Sabally (GTD, Head), Breanna Stewart (GTD, Rest), Marine Fauthoux (Out, Coach's Decision).
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Golden State Valkyries – Riding Home Momentum
Golden State has quietly become one of the league's toughest home teams with a 9-3 record at Chase Center. The Valkyries are averaging 83.4 points while shooting 40.9% from the field and 35.9% from beyond the arc. Veronica Burton directs the offense with 5.3 assists per game, Gabby Williams leads the club with 16.3 points, and Janelle Salaun contributes 12.6 points off a balanced attack. Kayla Thornton adds 8.3 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds, while the Valkyries have committed only 10.3 turnovers per contest, one of the league's better marks.
The biggest strength for Golden State has been its defense. The Valkyries allow only 78.6 points per game, the fewest in the WNBA, while holding opponents to 42.9% shooting. They also force difficult possessions consistently and have won back-to-back games against Atlanta after defeating Dallas earlier in the week. Golden State already handled New York by 17 points in the first meeting this season and will again rely on its disciplined defensive approach.
Injuries: Ashten Prechtel (GTD, Coach's Decision), Miela Sowah (Out, Coach's Decision), Iliana Rupert (OFS, Not Injury Related).
New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Game Pick
- Golden State Valkyries
Golden State has several advantages entering this matchup. The Valkyries own the league's top scoring defense, have been outstanding at home with a 9-3 record, and already defeated New York comfortably earlier this season. The Liberty remain one of the league's highest-scoring teams, but uncertainty surrounding Breanna Stewart and Satou Sabally makes this a more difficult matchup. Golden State has also won three of its last four games, while New York has dropped three of four. Playing at home with the stronger recent form and defensive profile gives the Valkyries the edge.
New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries Over/Under Pick
- Under
Both teams feature defenses capable of controlling the pace. Golden State allows just 78.6 points per game, while New York ranks among the WNBA's better defensive clubs at 83.9 points allowed. The first meeting finished with only 157 total points, well below the offensive averages of both teams. If Stewart is limited or unavailable, New York's scoring ability drops considerably. Golden State also prefers a controlled tempo built around half-court defense and limiting turnovers, making another lower-scoring game the stronger play.
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