Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday June 9 2026
Use Code WWWC The Golden State Valkyries look to defend their home court at Chase Center this Tuesday, June 9, as they host a Phoenix Mercury squad searching for consistency in this Western Conference showdown featuring high-stakes betting opportunities and intriguing WNBA player props.
Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries Pick
Best Moneyline Odds: Golden State Valkyries -400 (Fanduel)
Best Spread Odds: Golden State Valkyries -8.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: Over 163.5 (+100 at Fanduel)
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Game Info
Date: 6/9/2026
Time: 10:00 PM EDT
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: KPIX, KOVR
Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries Preview
The Golden State Valkyries (6-5) enter this matchup as significant favorites despite coming off a two-game losing streak. The Valkyries have been strong at Chase Center, and their offense has shown enough balance to support a home-favorite profile. Gabby Williams is coming off a career-high 27-point performance against the Las Vegas Aces, while Veronica Burton and Janelle Salaun remain central to Golden State's half-court creation and spacing.
The Phoenix Mercury (4-8) arrive with some momentum after back-to-back wins, but their injury situation remains the key pregame variable. Kahleah Copper is listed as questionable with a hip injury, while Alyssa Thomas is listed as probable with a calf issue. If Copper is limited or unavailable, Phoenix loses one of its most important scoring options. The Mercury still have enough veteran talent to compete, but their path becomes much narrower if their primary creators are not at full strength.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
In the most recent meeting between these two teams on May 10, 2026, the Golden State Valkyries secured a convincing 95-79 victory over the Phoenix Mercury at Chase Center. Five Valkyries scored in double figures in that game, led by Janelle Salaun's 21 points, while Gabby Williams and Kayla Thornton each added 19. That result was also Golden State's first win over Phoenix after losing all four meetings in 2025, so the head-to-head history should be treated as mixed rather than one-sided.
The game thesis for this matchup centers on Golden State's home-court advantage and Phoenix's injury uncertainty. I expect Golden State to control longer stretches with balanced scoring, defensive pressure, and better depth if the Mercury are limited on the wing. The following picks are based on the expectation of a Valkyries win and a game total that can climb if Golden State's offense again finds rhythm at Chase Center.
Moneyline Pick: Golden State Valkyries (-400)
The Valkyries are the clear choice on the moneyline, carrying an implied probability of 80% at the current -400 price. Golden State already handled Phoenix by 16 points at home earlier this season, and the Mercury enter with major availability questions around Copper and Thomas. The price is steep, but Golden State has the more reliable team profile in this spot.
⭐ Best Bet - Spread Pick: Golden State Valkyries -8.5 (-105)
Laying the points with the Valkyries is the strongest play on the board. Golden State has already shown it can separate from Phoenix at Chase Center, and the Mercury's scoring ceiling takes a major hit if Copper is limited. If the Valkyries get efficient guard play from Burton and another strong scoring night from Williams or Salaun, they have a clear path to covering this number at home.
Total Pick: Over 163.5 (+100)
The Over is the preferred total play, especially with the line sitting at 163.5. Golden State's previous meeting with Phoenix reached 174 total points, and the Valkyries have enough perimeter shooting to create a similar scoring environment if they push tempo off turnovers. Phoenix's injury situation adds some risk, but if Thomas plays and the Mercury get enough secondary scoring, this game can clear the number.
Top Player Prop Picks
Gabby Williams Over 14.5 Points (-104 at Fanduel) Williams is coming off a career-high 27-point performance and has already scored 19 points against Phoenix this season. With Golden State expected to control the game offensively, she has a strong path to clear this scoring line.
Veronica Burton Over 18.5 Points + Assists (-116 at DraftKings) Burton recorded 13 points and 12 assists in the May 10 win over Phoenix, showing how central she can be to Golden State's offensive flow in this matchup. Her scoring-plus-playmaking role gives her multiple ways to clear this combined line.
Janelle Salaun Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-106 at DraftKings) Salaun led Golden State with 21 points in the first meeting with Phoenix this season and remains one of the Valkyries' most important frontcourt scoring options. Her shooting and rebounding role make this points-plus-rebounds line a strong fit with the Golden State cover thesis.
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