Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 10, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Seattle Storm visit the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday, 1:00 PM ET on NBC Sports Boston. Seattle opened the regular season with a 91-80 loss to Golden State, while Connecticut was defeated 106-75 by New York in its opener. Both teams are looking for their first win of the season after difficult defensive performances on Friday night. Find value with our free WNBA picks.
Storm Looking for Better Defensive Results After Opening Loss
Seattle lost 91-80 to Golden State in its season opener and struggled defensively throughout the game, particularly from three-point range, where the Valkyries finished 15-for-37. The Storm trailed by eight at halftime and never recovered after allowing 28 points in the third quarter. Seattle also committed 14 turnovers and had difficulty slowing down transition opportunities.
Because this is only the second game of the regular season, the offensive numbers are based entirely on one matchup. Dominique Malonga was the standout performer in the opener with 21 points and eight rebounds while shooting 8-for-15 from the field. Zia Cooke added 15 points off the bench, Jade Melbourne scored 13 points with three assists, and Flau’jae Johnson finished with 12 points despite shooting only 3-for-12 overall. Seattle shot 41% from the field and made nine three-pointers, but the offense became inconsistent during key stretches in the second half.
Seattle did show some positive rebounding numbers in the opener with 41 total rebounds and 13 offensive boards. The Storm also blocked five shots and received productive interior play from Malonga and Stefanie Dolson. However, allowing 91 points while giving up 41% shooting from three-point range remains a major concern entering this matchup. Seattle will also continue playing without Ezi Magbegor, which weakens the team defensively in the paint and on the glass.
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Injuries: Katie Lou Samuelson, Out, Awa Fam, Out, Ezi Magbegor, Out
Sun Trying to Recover After Blowout Loss to Liberty
Connecticut opened the season with a 106-75 loss to New York and fell behind 36-13 after the first quarter. The Sun had major problems containing Breanna Stewart and the Liberty offense, allowing New York to shoot 52% from the field while also struggling with turnovers and perimeter defense.
The Sun shot 39% from the field and only 4-for-22 from three-point range in the opener. Diamond Miller led Connecticut with 16 points, while Aneesah Morrow added 15 points and six rebounds. Brittney Griner scored 13 points in her debut with the team, and Hailey Van Lith contributed nine points and four assists off the bench. Connecticut finished with 21 assists, showing decent ball movement, but the team committed 16 turnovers and had long offensive droughts after the opening quarter.
Defensively, Connecticut had difficulty limiting dribble penetration and transition scoring opportunities. The Sun allowed 66 first-half points and struggled to contest perimeter shots consistently. Rebounding was also an issue as New York controlled the glass early and generated extra possessions. Connecticut finished with only two blocked shots and allowed the Liberty to score efficiently throughout the game. Improving defensive communication and perimeter coverage will be critical entering this matchup against Seattle’s athletic backcourt.
Injuries: Nell Angloma, Out, Leila Lacan, Out, Shey Peddy, Out, Aaliyah Edwards, Out
Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Spread Pick
The Seattle Storm have the advantage because of stronger offensive production in the opening game and more consistent interior scoring. Malonga created problems inside against Golden State, and Seattle showed better overall rebounding numbers than Connecticut did against New York. While both teams struggled defensively in their openers, Connecticut had more issues containing perimeter scoring and transition offense. If Seattle limits turnovers more effectively, the Storm are in a strong position to win and cover.
Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Over/Under Pick
This game will cash over if both defenses continue playing at the same level shown in the season opener. Seattle allowed 91 points to Golden State, while Connecticut surrendered 106 points to New York and had major problems defending the perimeter. Both teams also showed enough offensive production to take advantage of defensive breakdowns. If the pace stays active and transition scoring remains available, this matchup could produce another high-scoring result.
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