Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday August 5 2026

Today’s Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty picks for Wednesday, August 5, 2026, come from Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. The teams meet for the second time in three nights after New York earned a 95-83 victory on Monday.

New York is favored by 8.5 points, with the total set at 182.5. Bettors reviewing Wednesday’s WNBA picks should balance Seattle’s nine-game losing streak against the Storm’s strong ATS record, New York’s depleted rotation and the available WNBA player props after final injury designations are posted.

Best Available Odds for Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty

• Moneyline: Seattle Storm +300 | New York Liberty -375
• Spread: Seattle Storm +8.5 (-110) | New York Liberty -8.5 (-110)
• Total: Over 182.5 (-110) | Under 182.5 (-110)

Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM EDT
• Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York
• TV: USA Network, WNBA League Pass and local team broadcasts
• Key Availability: Ezi Magbegor remains out for Seattle with a facial injury. Satou Sabally and Leonie Fiebich remain out for New York, while Marine Johannes is day-to-day with an ankle injury.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Preview

Seattle enters at 6-26 after losing nine consecutive games. The Storm’s straight-up record is the worst on Wednesday’s slate, but their 17-13 ATS mark shows that they have remained more competitive than the standings suggest.

That difference is central to the matchup. Seattle has covered 17 of 30 games, while New York is only 11-17 ATS. The Liberty have repeatedly been priced as a strong favorite without consistently creating the margin required by the market.

New York won Monday’s meeting 95-83 behind another strong performance from Breanna Stewart. The Liberty controlled the final stages and handed Seattle another loss, but the 12-point margin was not far beyond Wednesday’s current spread.

Seattle has already shown that it can create problems for New York. The Storm won the first meeting 99-88 on June 25, attacking the paint through Dominique Malonga and receiving efficient scoring from their young rotation.

Malonga remains Seattle’s most important matchup advantage. Her size and finishing force New York to protect the rim, while Natisha Hiedeman and Flau’jae Johnson can attack the space created around her screening actions.

The Storm are only 2-15 on the road, but they have covered eight of 16 road games. They have also gone 7-3 ATS across their last 10 contests despite winning only once during that stretch.

New York is 18-13 straight up and 9-5 at home. Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones give the Liberty three proven stars who can take control through different parts of the offense.

The problem is rotation depth. Sabally and Fiebich remain unavailable, reducing New York’s defensive versatility and placing additional responsibility on the core players. Johannes’s uncertain status could further limit the available perimeter rotation.

New York is only 2-8 ATS across its last 10 games. The Liberty can win comfortably without covering 8.5, especially against a Seattle team that has repeatedly stayed within large numbers.

The total offers mixed evidence. New York is 20-10 to the over, one of the league’s strongest high-side records, while Seattle is evenly split at 16-16. The Liberty’s offensive strength supports scoring, but Seattle does not provide the same confirmation.

Matchup Breakdown

Seattle should continue building its offense around Malonga. If New York keeps Jones near the rim, Hiedeman and Johnson can use screens to create pull-up shots and drives. If Jones steps higher, Malonga can roll into space.

New York should use Stewart to create mismatches before Seattle establishes its preferred defensive positions. Stewart can score from the post, attack from the perimeter and draw enough attention to create open shots for Ionescu and Jones.

Seattle must control turnovers. The Storm cannot afford empty possessions against a Liberty team capable of producing quick scoring runs at home.

The WNBA betting trends strongly favor Seattle against the number. The Storm are 17-13 ATS and 7-3 ATS over their last 10, while New York is 11-17 ATS and only 2-8 across its last 10.

The current +8.5 gives Seattle more than three possessions of protection. New York can control the fourth quarter and still fail to cover.

The quick rematch also favors the underdog from a preparation standpoint. Seattle has already seen New York’s current shortened rotation and can make targeted adjustments without needing to solve an unfamiliar opponent.

Game Thesis: New York has the superior stars and should win at home, but the Liberty’s poor ATS record and missing rotation pieces make 8.5 points difficult to lay. Seattle has covered seven of its last 10 despite losing nine straight, showing that the market continues to attach large numbers to the Storm. Seattle +8.5 is the preferred wager, with New York projected to win 91-85.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Best Bet - Spread: Seattle Storm +8.5 (-110)

Seattle’s 17-13 ATS record is paired against New York at 11-17. The Storm have also covered seven of their last 10, while the Liberty are only 2-8 during the same span.

The Storm do not have to end their losing streak to cash the ticket. They only need Malonga, Hiedeman and Johnson to generate enough offense to prevent New York from building another sustained double-digit margin.

New York’s injuries make the number more demanding. Stewart, Ionescu and Jones can still control the game, but the Liberty have fewer defensive options and less bench scoring than they would at full strength.

The position remains playable at +8 or better. It becomes less attractive below +7.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Moneyline Pick: No Bet

New York is the more likely winner, but -375 is too expensive for a team that has covered only 11 of 28 games.

Seattle won the first meeting outright, yet its 2-15 road record makes the upset difficult to support at the current price. The spread is the cleaner market.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Spread Pick: Seattle Storm +8.5 (-110)

Seattle has the stronger season ATS record, the stronger recent cover record and enough interior size to challenge New York around the basket.

The Liberty should win, but Seattle can lose by six or seven points and still reward bettors.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Total Pick: No Bet

New York’s 20-10 over record is strong, but Seattle is evenly split at 16-16. The Liberty’s injuries also reduce offensive depth while weakening the defense, creating conflicting effects.

A projected 176 combined points leans under 182.5, but the spread carries substantially stronger support.

Prediction: New York Liberty 91, Seattle Storm 85