Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday September 22 2026

Today's Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky picks for Tuesday, September 22, 2026, come from Wintrust Arena in Chicago. Toronto enters at 11-31 after a 106-69 loss to New York, while Chicago is 15-27 and has also dropped five straight entering the final week.

Chicago is favored by 6.5 points in most of the current market, with the total set at 179.5. Bettors reviewing Tuesday's WNBA picks have to handicap two eliminated teams playing with heavily reduced rotations. The available WNBA player props should be treated carefully because so much of each team's normal usage is unavailable before the 8:00 PM EDT tipoff.

Best Available Odds for Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky

• Spread: Toronto Tempo +6.5 | Chicago Sky -6.5
• Total: 179.5

Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM EDT / 7:00 PM CDT
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois
• TV: CW26, TSN, WNBA League move
• Key Availability: Toronto is without Marina Mabrey, Brittney Sykes and Aneesah Morrow, with additional rotation absences around the frontcourt. Chicago is without Skylar Diggins, DiJonai Carrington, Rickea Jackson, Azura Stevens and Natasha Cloud.

Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Preview

The standings make this look like a meaningless late-season game, but the injury report creates a useful betting angle.

Toronto's inaugural season has unraveled around injuries. Mabrey is out for the year after averaging 20.8 points, while Sykes and Morrow have also been shut down.

That removes Toronto's best high-volume scorer, another experienced perimeter creator and one of its strongest rebounders from the same rotation.

Kiki Rice has been asked to take on a much larger role. She remains Toronto's most dangerous healthy guard because she can get downhill, draw fouls and create for teammates when the first action breaks down.

Julie Allemand still gives the Tempo a steady organizer, while Isabelle Harrison provides interior scoring and rebounding.

The problem is depth. Toronto has lost 11 straight road games and is only 4-16 away from home.

The Tempo are 17-20 ATS in the current season numbers, showing that the market has adjusted to their poor straight-up record, but the offense has become harder to trust as the injuries have accumulated.

Chicago is dealing with an equally dramatic injury list.

Diggins, Carrington, Jackson, Stevens and Cloud are unavailable. That removes most of the Sky's established perimeter creation and a major portion of their scoring.

Kamilla Cardoso therefore becomes the clearest offensive focal point. Chicago should try to play through her inside, create post touches and force Toronto to send help.

Courtney Vandersloot can still organize the offense, while Sydney Taylor has earned a larger role because of the backcourt absences.

Chicago is 10-11 at home and 21-19 ATS overall. The Sky are still the more stable team at the current moment, but asking them to cover six and a half points with this many missing players is not especially attractive.

The season series belongs to Toronto.

The Tempo won 111-104 in Chicago on May 27 and followed with an 85-68 home victory on June 7.

Those games produced completely different scoring environments, which is another reason not to treat the early-season head-to-head totals as predictive by themselves.

The current rosters barely resemble the groups that created the 215-point first meeting.

The full-season totals data leans high. Toronto is 23-17 O/U and Chicago is 23-18.

Normally that would make an Under at 179.5 difficult to justify.

The injury context is stronger than the season-long trend.

Mabrey, Sykes and Morrow account for a huge share of Toronto's normal usage. Chicago is missing multiple players who can create a shot without assistance.

The WNBA betting trends therefore need to be interpreted through the lineups actually available Tuesday.

The market has moved more aggressively on the spread than the total. Chicago opened around -5.5 and has been bet toward -6.5, while 179.5 has remained the dominant total.

That stability gives Under bettors a number that has not yet fully reflected the offensive absences.

Toronto's best route to staying competitive is to slow the game and play through Rice, Allemand and the frontcourt.

The Tempo do not want a transition game with such a short rotation, even against a Chicago team missing most of its guards.

Chicago has the same incentive. Cardoso becomes more valuable in a half-court game where the Sky can establish position and avoid asking inexperienced perimeter players to create quickly.

Longer possessions reduce the total number of scoring opportunities and make every turnover more damaging to the Over.

The biggest risk is defensive quality. Both teams have struggled to stop opponents, and weak defense can create efficient scoring even when the offense is missing talent.

That is why the number matters.

At 179.5, the teams need to combine for 180 points to beat the Under. That is a high threshold for two lineups missing this much proven scoring.

A normal game in the mid-80s on both sides remains comfortably below the total.

Recent form reinforces the concern. Toronto scored only 69 against New York on Sunday, while Chicago has been forced to redistribute touches across a lineup missing several established scorers. Neither team needs to play fast to evaluate its remaining young players, so the final-week context does not automatically create a loose exhibition-style game.

Chicago's home court gives it the better straight-up setup, but that does not require a fast game. Both teams can remain competitive by leaning on longer possessions and interior touches rather than forcing pace.

Game Thesis: The full-season records lean Over, but the available rotations are much weaker offensively than the groups that produced those numbers. Toronto is missing Mabrey, Sykes and Morrow, while Chicago is without multiple veteran creators. With the market still holding 179.5, the Under is the preferred wager.

Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Best Bet - Total: Under 179.5

This is primarily an injury-based total.

Toronto has lost most of its high-usage scoring, while Chicago's backcourt and wing rotation has been stripped down by injuries.

Both teams should benefit from slowing the game and emphasizing half-court possessions.

The first meeting reached 215 points, but the second produced only 153, showing how wide the matchup range can be even before accounting for Tuesday's personnel losses.

The current 179.5 asks two depleted offenses to reach a very high combined threshold.

Under 179.5 is the strongest position.

Prediction: Chicago Sky 88, Toronto Tempo 80