Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday June 19 2026
Use Code WWWC Toronto visits Connecticut with updated picks and top WNBA player props for Friday night.
Best Available Odds
Best Moneyline Odds: Toronto Tempo (-105 at William Hill) / Connecticut Sun (-105 at Betway)
Best Spread Odds: Toronto Tempo -1.5 (-105 at bet365) / Connecticut Sun +1.5 (-115 at Betway)
Best Total Odds: Over 168.5 (-110 at bet365) / Under 169.0 (-110 at William Hill)
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Game Info
Date: June 19, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM EDT
Location: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
TV: TSN, NBC Sports Boston, WNBA League Pass
Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun Preview
The Toronto Tempo enter Friday at 7-8 after losing three consecutive games. Toronto fell 86-85 at Washington on a last-second Sonia Citron basket, lost 102-77 at home against Atlanta, and then suffered a 113-91 road defeat against Indiana on Tuesday.
Laura Juškaitė led Toronto with 19 points against the Fever, while Marina Mabrey added 18 points and seven assists. Maria Conde scored 12, and Isabelle Harrison, Brittney Sykes, and Kia Nurse also reached double figures, but Toronto could not keep pace with an Indiana offense that produced 113 points.
The larger concern is Toronto's injury situation. Sykes is out with a plantar fascia injury suffered during Tuesday's loss. She leads the Tempo with 20.1 points per game while also contributing 3.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists, removing the team's most productive scorer and one of its primary perimeter defenders.
Kiki Rice is also out with a Grade 3 ankle sprain. The rookie averages 12.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.6 assists while shooting above 53% from the field. Toronto will therefore play without two of its three highest-scoring guards.
Nyara Sabally is questionable with a right hamstring injury after missing the last three games. Sabally averages 12.4 points while shooting 56.3% from the field and gives Toronto an important interior scorer and defender. If she remains unavailable, Harrison and Temi Fágbénlé will carry more of the frontcourt workload.
Mabrey now becomes the central figure in Toronto's offense. She averages 17.9 points and 3.7 assists while making 2.9 three-pointers per game. Her usage and shot volume should rise substantially without Sykes and Rice, particularly in late-clock possessions.
The Connecticut Sun enter at 2-14 and have lost six consecutive games. Connecticut's latest defeat was an 88-81 home loss to Washington, extending its longest losing streak since a 10-game skid during the 2025 season.
Aneesah Morrow recorded 11 points and 10 rebounds against the Mystics for her ninth double-double of the season. Leïla Lacan scored nine of her 11 points in the fourth quarter, but Connecticut shot only 4-for-20 from three and 65% from the free-throw line.
The Sun have consistently struggled to convert open opportunities. Connecticut ranks near the bottom of the WNBA in field-goal percentage and owns the league's lowest three-point and free-throw percentages. Those shooting problems have prevented the Sun from finishing several games in which their defense kept them competitive.
Connecticut still has several viable scoring options through Morrow, Lacan, Brittney Griner, Saniya Rivers, Aaliyah Edwards, and Diamond Miller. Hailey Van Lith is out with a left ankle contusion, but the rest of the Sun's main rotation enters with greater availability than Toronto's depleted group.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Toronto defeated Connecticut 106-102 in overtime on June 10 at Coca-Cola Coliseum. The Tempo erased a 14-point second-quarter deficit and improved to 7-5 at the time, while Connecticut fell to 2-12.
Sykes matched her career high with 38 points and carried Toronto through the fourth quarter and overtime. Mabrey also provided crucial perimeter production, while Toronto repeatedly reached the free-throw line during the comeback.
Connecticut received career-high 24-point performances from both Aaliyah Edwards and Leïla Lacan. The Sun scored efficiently enough to produce 96 points in regulation but could not contain Sykes or execute consistently during the final overtime possessions.
The rematch is materially different because Sykes will not play. Rice is also unavailable, and Sabally may miss another game. Toronto must replace a substantial amount of scoring, ball-handling, transition pressure, and defensive activity from the lineup that won the first meeting.
Connecticut's challenge is converting that availability advantage into efficient offense. The Sun have repeatedly stayed competitive through defense and offensive rebounding before losing control through missed free throws, turnovers, and poor perimeter shooting.
Game Thesis: Connecticut is the preferred side because Toronto is missing its leading scorer and one of its best young guards, while Sabally may also remain unavailable. The Sun have struggled to win close games, but their interior depth and home-court advantage give them a better opportunity against a severely reduced Toronto rotation. Both defenses remain vulnerable enough for the Over to stay in play, although the Toronto injuries make the total less secure than it was in the first meeting.
⭐ Best Bet - Moneyline Pick: Connecticut Sun (-105)
Connecticut is the strongest moneyline play at a near-even price. The Sun have won only two games, but this matchup gives them one of their clearest opportunities to end the six-game losing streak.
Toronto must replace 32.8 combined points per game from Sykes and Rice. The Tempo are also losing two players who can initiate offense, attack the paint, draw fouls, and defend opposing guards. Mabrey can absorb more possessions, but Connecticut can direct significantly more defensive attention toward her without Sykes available.
The Sun should also have an advantage on the glass. Morrow averages a double-double and remains one of the league's best offensive rebounders. Griner, Edwards, and Olivia Nelson-Ododa give Connecticut additional size against a Toronto frontcourt that may again be without Sabally.
Connecticut's poor shooting prevents this from becoming a high-confidence favorite position. However, the market is essentially a pick’em, and the Sun's healthier rotation and home setting make them the more attractive side.
Spread Pick: Connecticut Sun +1.5 (-115)
Connecticut +1.5 provides a small amount of protection in a matchup expected to remain close. The first meeting required overtime, and both clubs have repeatedly played one-possession games despite their current losing streaks.
The Sun have struggled to execute late, but Toronto now enters without the player who scored 38 points and controlled the deciding possessions in the first matchup. Sykes' absence removes the Tempo's most dependable option when the offense breaks down.
Connecticut can keep the game close through rebounding, paint scoring, and defensive pressure. The additional 1.5 points carry a heavier price than the moneyline, making the straight-up Sun wager the stronger value, but the spread fits the expected game script.
Total Pick: Over 168.5 (-110)
The Over 168.5 remains the preferred total, although it is a secondary play behind Connecticut. The teams combined for 192 points in regulation and 208 overall during their June 10 overtime meeting.
Toronto's injuries reduce its offensive ceiling, but they also weaken the Tempo defensively. Sykes is one of the team's strongest perimeter defenders, while Rice contributes size, rebounding, and transition activity from the guard position.
Connecticut should receive more efficient opportunities in the paint through Morrow, Griner, and Edwards. Toronto has struggled to protect the rim and prevent second-chance scoring, particularly during road games.
Mabrey's expanded role also gives Toronto a path to remain productive. She attempts more than eight three-pointers per game and will likely carry one of the highest usage rates on Friday's slate. A result around 88-83 or 87-82 would clear the available total.
Top Player Prop Picks
Marina Mabrey Over 20.5 Points (-120 at bet365) Mabrey averages 17.9 points, but her normal season average is less important than her expected role without Sykes and Rice. Toronto is removing more than 30 points and a significant number of shot attempts from its regular rotation.
Mabrey has attempted at least 15 field goals in three of her last four games and should remain the primary option throughout Friday's matchup. She scored 21 points against Connecticut on June 10 and attempted 12 three-pointers.
The Sun have struggled to defend the perimeter at home, and Mabrey should have a green light even if her efficiency fluctuates. Her combination of three-point volume, free throws, and late-game usage creates a strong path to 21 or more points.
Aneesah Morrow Over 11.5 Points (-115 at bet365) Morrow averages 12.0 points and 10.5 rebounds while producing most of her offense around the rim and on second-chance opportunities. She recorded another double-double against Washington despite playing only 21 minutes.
Morrow has been working back toward her normal workload after a leg injury. With additional rest between games, she should have a path to more than the 21 minutes she received in each of her last two appearances.
Toronto allows substantial paint and second-chance production, especially on the road. Morrow averages approximately three offensive rebounds per game and can clear the scoring line through putbacks, transition baskets, and trips to the free-throw line.
Aaliyah Edwards Under 4.5 Rebounds (-140 at bet365) Edwards averages 3.8 rebounds in 20.1 minutes per game. She recorded four rebounds against Toronto in the first meeting and finished with three in Wednesday's loss to Washington.
Connecticut's crowded frontcourt limits her rebounding ceiling. Morrow, Griner, and Nelson-Ododa all compete for boards and frontcourt minutes, while Edwards has not consistently played long enough to generate high rebounding totals.
Edwards remains capable of producing offensively, as shown by her career-high 24 points against Toronto, but her scoring role does not automatically translate into heavy rebounding volume. Four or fewer rebounds remains the preferred side of the market.
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