Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday August 28 2026

Tonight's Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces picks for Friday, August 28, 2026, come from Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Las Vegas has won both meetings this season, but Toronto covered a 13.5-point spread in the most recent matchup and enters this rematch with another large cushion.

Las Vegas is favored by 13.5 points on the current board, with the total set at 177.5. Bettors reviewing Friday’s WNBA picks should account for Toronto’s road ATS strength, NaLyssa Smith’s season-ending injury and the available WNBA player props before the 10:00 PM EDT tipoff on ION.

Best Available Odds for Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces

• Moneyline: Toronto Tempo +850 | Las Vegas Aces -1300
• Spread: Toronto Tempo +13.5 | Las Vegas Aces -13.5
• Total: 177.5

Game Info

• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM EDT
• Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
• TV: ION
• Key Availability: Toronto remains without Brittney Sykes and Aneesah Morrow for the season, while Marina Mabrey and Nyara Sabally remain sidelined. Julie Allemand and Maria Conde are also dealing with injuries. Las Vegas has lost NaLyssa Smith for the remainder of the season with a leg injury.

Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Preview

Toronto enters at 11-27 after losing 90-78 at Seattle on Wednesday. The Tempo have dropped two straight and nine of their last 10, but their ATS performance has remained much stronger than the straight-up results.

Toronto is 17-16 ATS overall. More importantly, the Tempo are 12-5 ATS on the road and 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games.

That road profile is the foundation of the underdog case. Toronto has repeatedly stayed inside inflated numbers even as injuries have damaged its ability to win games outright.

Kiki Rice scored 24 points against Seattle and continues to take on more offensive responsibility. Isabelle Harrison added 17 points and 14 rebounds, giving the Tempo much-needed frontcourt production.

The injury list remains severe. Sykes and Morrow are done for the year, while Mabrey and Sabally remain unavailable. That removes several of the players who helped produce Toronto’s strong early-season offense.

Toronto is still 22-14 to the over, one of the league’s strongest full-season Over records. The challenge is deciding how much weight to give that record now that the available rotation is substantially different.

Las Vegas enters at 26-13 and has won six of its last 10. The Aces remain one of the league’s strongest teams and are fighting for a top playoff seed.

A’ja Wilson remains the central matchup problem. She scores efficiently inside, controls the glass and protects the rim, giving Las Vegas advantages at both ends.

Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young give the Aces enough perimeter creation to punish Toronto if the Tempo commit extra defenders toward Wilson.

The major new injury is Smith, who will miss the rest of the season after suffering a non-contact leg injury against Toronto. She had been averaging 11.7 points and 6.4 rebounds while leading the league in field-goal percentage.

Smith’s absence removes an efficient scorer and another physical frontcourt option. Las Vegas still has enough talent to win comfortably, but losing a starter matters when the spread asks the Aces to create a two-touchdown margin.

Las Vegas is only 18-19 ATS. The Aces are also 9-9 ATS at home, meaning they have not consistently rewarded bettors laying large numbers in Las Vegas.

The season series is 2-0 Las Vegas.

The Aces won the first meeting 109-83 on July 20, creating a 26-point margin and pushing the combined score to 192.

The second meeting came August 23 in Toronto. Las Vegas won 88-78, but the Tempo covered as 13.5-point underdogs.

That result is directly relevant because Friday’s current spread is the same 13.5-point number. Toronto can lose another competitive game by 10 or 12 and still cash.

The second meeting produced only 166 points, which is also important for the total. Toronto’s depleted offense played below its season-long scoring profile, while Las Vegas controlled the game without forcing the pace.

The current market is unusually wide across books. Las Vegas -13.5 is available, while other books have pushed the favorite as high as -15.5.

Totals have ranged from the mid-176s to around 180.5. A 177.5 number sits near the middle and gives Under bettors more room than the lowest available totals.

Matchup Breakdown

Las Vegas should attack Toronto inside through Wilson and force the Tempo to defend without their normal depth.

Toronto needs Rice to create enough offense while Harrison and the remaining frontcourt keep the rebounding battle competitive. The Tempo cannot allow Las Vegas to dominate second-chance opportunities.

The WNBA betting trends strongly favor Toronto against the spread. The Tempo are 12-5 ATS on the road and 7-3 ATS over their last 10, while Las Vegas is only 18-19 ATS overall.

The roster gap remains enormous, so the underdog is not a moneyline recommendation. The question is simply whether Las Vegas can win by 14 or more.

Smith’s absence and Toronto’s consistent road covers make that a higher bar than the standings alone suggest.

Game Thesis: Las Vegas should win for the third time this season, but Toronto has already covered this exact 13.5-point number in the most recent meeting and owns a 12-5 road ATS record. Toronto +13.5 is the preferred side, with the Under also attractive after the last meeting produced only 166 points.

Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Best Bet - Spread: Toronto Tempo +13.5

Toronto’s straight-up record is ugly, but the Tempo continue to outperform large road spreads.

The 12-5 road ATS record is one of the strongest situational trends on Friday’s slate, and Toronto covered +13.5 against Las Vegas only five days ago.

Smith’s injury removes another efficient scorer from a Las Vegas team being asked to create a massive margin.

Toronto +13.5 is playable. If +15 or +15.5 is available, that becomes an even stronger entry.

Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Moneyline Pick: No Bet

Las Vegas is too strong straight up to make Toronto’s long moneyline attractive despite the large payout.

The Aces’ moneyline is also far too expensive for a standalone wager.

Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Spread Pick: Toronto Tempo +13.5

Toronto is 17-16 ATS overall, 12-5 on the road and 7-3 ATS over its last 10.

Las Vegas is only 18-19 ATS and failed to cover this same number in the most recent meeting.

Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces Total Pick: Under 177.5

The August 23 meeting finished with 166 combined points. Toronto’s current injuries reduce the offensive ceiling compared with its full-season Over profile.

Smith’s absence also removes an efficient scoring option from Las Vegas. Under 177.5 is the preferred secondary play.

Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 91, Toronto Tempo 79