Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 17 2026
Use Code WWWC A little WNBA action on Sunday evening, and we have a Toronto vs Los Angeles prediction locked and loaded for you. The Toronto Temopo are in their first year, and they are 1-2 early on. The Sparks are also 1-2 on the year, with their first win coming against the Tempo just a couple of days ago. LA won that game 99-95. Can Toronto get revenge for that loss? Read on to see our Tempo vs Sparks prediction.
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Toronto Looking To Make Impact In First Year
Toronto heads back to face the Sparks after a competitive 99–95 loss in their last meeting, a game where the Tempos showed flashes of what they can be but couldn’t close late. At 1–2 in their inaugural season, they’re still figuring out their identity, and the numbers reflect that. They’re scoring 82.0 points per game while shooting just 38.6 percent from the field, though the free‑throw shooting has been excellent at 82.7 percent. Defensively, they’ve actually been strong, allowing only 80.0 points per game and ranking near the top of the league in defensive rebounding and free‑throw defense. The pieces are there, but the consistency isn’t yet.
For Toronto to flip the result this time, they need cleaner offensive execution and more efficient nights from their top scorers. Brittney Sykes and Marina Mabrey are combining for nearly 40 points per game, but both are shooting under 38 percent, and that’s putting pressure on everyone else. Nyara Sabally has been the most reliable interior option, and Kiki Rice has given them efficient minutes off the bench, but they’ll need more ball movement and better shot selection to keep pace with a Sparks team that already beat them once. If Toronto can tighten up the turnovers, control the glass the way their numbers suggest they should, and get one of their guards hot early, they’ll give themselves a real chance to even the season series.
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LA Picks Up First Win Of The Year
The Sparks come into this matchup at 1–2, looking to build on their 99–95 win over Toronto in the first meeting. That game showcased exactly what LA can be when their offense is flowing: efficient shooting, strong interior play, and Kelsey Plum taking over as a three‑level scorer. They’re averaging 85.0 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting, one of the best marks in the league, and they’ve been excellent at getting quality looks inside with Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby both finishing above 58 percent from the field. The concern is on the defensive end, where they’ve allowed 96.0 points per game and opponents are shooting 52 percent. Even in the win over Toronto, they struggled to get consistent stops, relying more on outscoring than controlling the game.
To take this one, LA needs to tighten the defensive screws while continuing to lean on their stars. Plum is averaging 26.3 points and shooting nearly 58 percent, and when she’s aggressive early, the Sparks’ offense opens up for everyone else. Ogwumike and Hamby give them a reliable interior foundation, but they’ll need better perimeter defense to keep Toronto’s guards from getting comfortable. Rebounding is another key — LA ranks last in offensive boards but first in defensive rebounding, so limiting second‑chance points will matter. If the Sparks can force Toronto into tougher shots, control the pace, and let their efficiency carry them, they’re in a strong position to pick up their second straight win.
Toronto vs Los Angeles Pick
Tempo vs Sparks Spread Pick
- Toronto +8 (4 Units)
Toronto +8 feels live because the first meeting showed they can hang with LA for four quarters, and nothing about the Sparks’ defense suggests they should be laying a big number right now. LA is giving up 96 points per game and allowing opponents to shoot over 52 percent, and that keeps teams in games even when the Sparks’ offense is rolling. Toronto has enough scoring with Sykes, Mabrey, and Sabally to stay within striking distance, and their defensive numbers are actually stronger than LA’s across the board. As long as the Tempos avoid the long cold stretches that hurt them late in the first matchup, they should be able to keep this one tight and stay inside the number.
Tempo vs Sparks Over/Under Pick
- Under 175 (5 Units)
The Under 175 makes plenty of sense because these teams just saw each other, and rematch dynamics almost always tighten the defensive focus. Toronto’s games have averaged only 162 points so far, and their style naturally slows things down with lower shooting percentages and a defense that ranks near the top of the league in several categories. LA can score, but they’ve also been giving up a ton of points, which usually forces them to adjust coverages and rotations the second time around. With both staffs now having fresh film on each other, you’re likely to see fewer clean looks, more half‑court possessions, and a game that settles into a more controlled rhythm than the first meeting. This one has every reason to land well below the number.
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