Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday June 26 2026
Use Code WWWC The Washington Mystics visit the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday night, looking to complete a second road victory over Connecticut in 10 days.
Washington enters with its starting frontcourt healthy, while Connecticut will be missing three rotation players. This preview covers the latest odds, matchup analysis, predictions, and top WNBA player props for Friday’s Mystics vs Sun game.
Best Available Odds for Mystics vs Sun
- Best Moneyline Odds: Washington Mystics -200 (BetMGM), Connecticut Sun +165 (BetMGM)
- Best Spread Odds: Washington Mystics -4.5 (-115, BetMGM), Connecticut Sun +4.5 (-105, BetMGM)
- Best Total Odds: Over 163.5 (-108, Pinnacle), Under 163.5 (-110, BetMGM)
Game Info
- Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM EDT
- Location: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut
- TV: ION, Monumental Sports Network
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Preview
The Washington Mystics enter Friday with an 8-8 record after losing 78-76 to the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday. Washington led by as many as 12 points but was outscored 28-18 during the fourth quarter, ending a three-game winning streak.
The loss did not erase the progress Washington made during its previous three games. The Mystics defeated Connecticut, New York, and Minnesota on the road, improving to 6-4 away from home.
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Sonia Citron continued her outstanding sophomore season with 28 points against Minnesota. She shot 9-for-14 from the field, made four of five attempts from three-point range, and converted all six of her free throws.
Citron enters averaging 18.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists while shooting nearly 50% from the field. She has scored at least 20 points six times and has reached double figures in all but two appearances.
Washington also received double-doubles from Shakira Austin and Kiki Iriafen on Wednesday. Austin finished with 11 points and 16 rebounds, while Iriafen produced 13 points, 11 rebounds, and three assists.
Austin and Iriafen are tied for the team lead with 8.7 rebounds per game. Their availability creates an important difference from the first meeting between these teams.
Washington defeated Connecticut 88-81 on June 17 despite playing without both starting frontcourt players. Citron carried the offense with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and four assists, while Michaela Onyenwere added 22 points.
The Mystics never trailed during the second half and converted 29 of 30 free throws. Connecticut remained close until the fourth quarter but could not overcome its shooting and free-throw problems.
Washington now returns to Mohegan Sun Arena with a deeper rotation. Austin and Iriafen strengthen the interior defense, improve the rebounding outlook, and reduce the amount of offensive creation required from Citron.
The Mystics average 81.9 points while shooting 44.7% from the field. Their three-point shooting remains inconsistent at 29.1%, but Washington compensates by attacking the paint and drawing fouls.
The offense can struggle when Citron is contained or when turnovers prevent Washington from entering its half-court sets. The Mystics average 15.8 turnovers, which gives Connecticut a possible path toward creating transition opportunities.
Washington should still possess the superior offensive structure. Citron can score from all three levels, Austin and Iriafen provide two interior options, and Onyenwere, Cotie McMahon, Lauren Betts, and Georgia Amoore give the Mystics multiple secondary contributors.
The Connecticut Sun enter at 3-15 after defeating the Chicago Sky 92-63 on Monday. The victory ended a seven-game losing streak and represented Connecticut’s most complete performance of the season.
Connecticut held Chicago to 23.3% shooting and controlled the rebounding battle 49-28. The Sun also forced 16 turnovers and held the Sky to four made three-pointers.
Brittney Griner led Connecticut with 14 points, eight rebounds, four blocks, and three assists in 22 minutes. Her fourth block made her the WNBA’s all-time career leader with 878.
Olivia Nelson-Ododa added 11 points and 15 rebounds. Charlisse Leger-Walker recorded 13 points, seven rebounds, and five assists, while LeĂŻla Lacan scored 12 points.
The performance demonstrated Connecticut’s ceiling when the defense controls the game. It did not erase a season in which the Sun have lost 15 of 18 games and gone 2-7 at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Connecticut averages 79.9 points while shooting 42.9% from the field. The Sun have been held below 80 points nine times and frequently struggle to produce efficient offense outside the paint.
Griner remains the most established half-court scorer, but her playing time has been managed carefully. She averages 12.3 points and does not always receive enough shot attempts to carry Connecticut’s offense.
Lacan provides penetration and perimeter creation, while Kennedy Burke, Diamond Miller, Leger-Walker, Ashlon Jackson, Aaliyah Edwards, and Nelson-Ododa supply the remaining scoring.
Connecticut’s primary problem is maintaining that production for four quarters. The Sun tied Washington with less than six minutes remaining during the first meeting before allowing the Mystics to take control down the stretch.
Injury Report and Matchup Edge
Washington enters without any players listed on the injury report. Austin and Iriafen are both available after missing the first meeting against Connecticut.
The Sun will be without Aneesah Morrow, Saniya Rivers, and Hailey Van Lith. All three have been ruled out with injuries.
Morrow is the most significant absence. She averages 11.0 points and a team-leading 9.9 rebounds, including nearly three offensive rebounds per game.
Morrow recorded 11 points and 10 rebounds against Washington on June 17. Her absence leaves Connecticut without its most productive rebounder against a Mystics frontcourt that just collected 27 combined rebounds against Minnesota.
Rivers averages 7.3 points, 3.4 assists, and 2.5 rebounds in more than 24 minutes per game. Her absence reduces Connecticut’s perimeter defense and removes another ball-handler from the rotation.
Van Lith averages 7.7 points and is shooting above 47% from three-point range. Although she has played only 10 games, her shooting would have helped Connecticut stretch Washington’s interior defense.
Connecticut will need larger roles from Nelson-Ododa, Edwards, Leger-Walker, Jackson, Miller, Burke, and Griner. The Sun can still defend the paint, but matching Washington’s rebounding depth becomes considerably more difficult.
Game Thesis: Washington won the first meeting without Austin or Iriafen and now faces a Connecticut team missing Morrow, Rivers, and Van Lith. The Mystics possess the stronger active roster, superior road form, and a substantial rebounding advantage. Connecticut’s victory over Chicago was impressive, but the Sky shot only 23.3% and provided little resistance offensively. Washington should control the paint and create enough second-chance opportunities to win by multiple possessions. A projected 85-76 Mystics victory supports Washington -4.5 and Under 163.5.
Best Bet - Spread Pick: Washington Mystics -4.5 (-115)
Washington -4.5 is the strongest wager because the personnel difference is larger than it was during the Mystics’ seven-point victory on June 17.
The Mystics won that game without Austin and Iriafen. Their replacements played well, but Washington was still missing two players who combine for 28.8 points and 17.4 rebounds per game.
Both are available Friday. Austin enters after collecting 16 rebounds against Minnesota, while Iriafen has recorded five double-doubles this season.
Connecticut is moving in the opposite direction. Morrow, who leads the Sun with 9.9 rebounds per game, will not play. Rivers and Van Lith are also unavailable.
That combination should give Washington a major advantage on the glass. The Mystics can generate second-chance points while preventing Connecticut from extending possessions through offensive rebounds.
Washington has also demonstrated that it can win away from home. The Mystics are 6-4 on the road and have recently defeated Connecticut, New York, and Minnesota during consecutive away games.
Connecticut’s 92-63 victory over Chicago cannot be ignored, but it came against a Sky team that missed 56 of 73 field-goal attempts. The Sun are still 2-10 across their last 12 games.
The 4.5-point spread only requires Washington to create modest separation. The Mystics’ frontcourt depth and Connecticut’s injuries support a margin closer to eight or nine points.
Total Pick: Under 163.5 (-110)
Under 163.5 is the preferred total because Connecticut’s injury report removes three rotation players and places greater offensive responsibility on a short-handed group.
Morrow is Connecticut’s second-leading scorer and leading rebounder. Rivers averages more than three assists, while Van Lith provides one of the roster’s most efficient perimeter shooting profiles.
Their absences reduce Connecticut’s transition game, offensive rebounding, and ability to space the floor around Griner.
Washington allowed 85.1 points per game through its first 16 contests, but the healthy Austin-Iriafen frontcourt gives the Mystics more size than they had during the first meeting.
The Sun scored 81 in that game, with Morrow contributing a double-double. Connecticut also benefited from Washington playing smaller lineups and missing two of its strongest rebounders.
Washington can push the total upward against a Connecticut defense allowing 88.3 points per game. The Mystics should produce approximately 84 to 87 points if Citron continues scoring efficiently.
The Under depends on Connecticut remaining below 79. The Sun have failed to reach 80 points in half their games, and the current injury situation makes another limited offensive performance likely.
A projected final near 85-76 stays below the total while supporting the Washington spread.
Top Player Prop Picks for Mystics vs Sun
Sonia Citron Over 17.5 Points (-108): Citron is averaging 18.3 points and has scored 20 or more six times. She enters after producing 28 points against Minnesota and recorded 26 during the first meeting with Connecticut. The return of Austin and Iriafen may reduce the number of possessions Citron must create by herself, but it should also prevent the Sun from sending as much defensive attention toward her. Connecticut will be without perimeter defenders Rivers and Van Lith, while its defense is allowing opponents to shoot 46% from the field. Citron’s minutes, shooting efficiency, and free-throw production support another performance above 17.5 points.
Brittney Griner Under 11.5 Points (-105): Griner averages 12.3 points, but her playing time and shot volume have fluctuated throughout the season. She scored 14 in only 22 minutes against Chicago, a performance aided by the Sun taking control early. Griner scored six points on 3-for-7 shooting during the first meeting with Washington. The matchup becomes more difficult with Austin and Iriafen available alongside Betts. Washington can rotate several physical defenders against Griner without leaving one player responsible for handling the assignment. Connecticut may also continue dividing frontcourt minutes between Griner and Nelson-Ododa, creating additional value on the Under.
Shakira Austin Over 7.5 Rebounds (-147): Austin is averaging 8.7 rebounds and has produced 9.3 per game across her last 10 appearances. She collected 16 against Minnesota and has reached double figures on the glass in several games this season. Connecticut will be without Morrow, who averages 9.9 rebounds and leads the Sun in offensive rebounding. That absence should create additional defensive rebound opportunities for Austin. Griner and Nelson-Ododa remain capable rebounders, but Washington’s size should allow Austin to remain near the basket rather than repeatedly rotating toward perimeter shooters. The price is elevated, but the matchup and lowered 7.5-rebound line support the Over.
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