Norway vs Senegal Predictions, Odds, and Line Movement — June 22, 2026
Use Code WWWC Norway's attacking form and Senegal's transition threat make the favorite and both teams scoring the strongest positions.
Norway and Senegal meet at MetLife Stadium on Monday night in a pivotal Group I match. Norway opened with a 4-1 win over Iraq, while Senegal lost 3-1 to France despite creating several dangerous attacks. Another Norwegian victory would place Ståle Solbakken's team close to the knockout stage. The latest World Cup betting trends continue to reward both teams scoring and high totals, which fits the strengths of both attacks.
Quick Predictions
- Match Result: Norway moneyline, around +120
- Total Goals: Over 2.5, around -115
- Both Teams to Score: Yes, around -135
- Projected Final Score: Norway 2, Senegal 1
Norway vs Senegal Odds and Line Movement
| Market | Norway | Draw | Senegal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | About +250 | +220 |
| Spread | -0.5, +110 | N/A | +0.5, -155 |
| Total 2.5 | Over -115 / Under -110 | ||
Norway is a slight favorite despite entering with the stronger result. The moneyline sits at approximately +120, while Senegal +0.5 is heavily juiced at -155. The total is 2.5 with a small lean to the over.
The market respects Senegal's speed and tournament experience, but Norway remains available at plus money. That creates a playable favorite price without requiring another multi-goal victory.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Haaland Changes Every Defensive Decision
Erling Haaland scored twice against Iraq and immediately established the central problem for every opponent. Senegal cannot defend him with one centre-back, but adding a second defender creates room for Martin Ødegaard, Antonio Nusa, and Norway's runners from midfield.
Solbakken has warned against complacency and highlighted Senegal's pace on the counter. The hard, short pitch at MetLife Stadium may also reduce the quality of Norway's possession play, increasing the importance of direct attacks and second balls.
Senegal wants to be more aggressive after becoming too passive against France. Sadio Mané and the wide attackers created enough danger to score, but the team did not convert its best moments before France separated.
The matchup should become open if Senegal concedes first. A second straight defeat would place the African side in severe danger, so protecting goal difference will not be enough late in the match.
Set pieces also favor Norway. Senegal has the athleticism to compete, but Haaland changes the target area and Ødegaard's delivery gives the favorite another route when open-play combinations slow on the difficult surface. Norway's backing in New Jersey should also help sustain pressure during difficult stretches.
2026 World Cup Trends
Both teams have scored in 23 of 40 matches, returning +8.13 units. Over 3.5 is the most profitable total at +17.23 units, while over 2.5 is essentially break-even at 21-19.
Norway and Senegal both produced four or more total goals in their opening matches. The live tournament data does not guarantee another shootout, but it supports the attacking matchup more than a low-scoring tactical game.
Historical Team Trends
Norway's only modern World Cup match ended 4-1. The team covered -1.5, cleared every major total, and scored in both halves.
Four of Senegal's eight World Cup matches since 2018 went over 2.5, while five produced both teams scoring. Since 2022, three of five Senegal matches cleared 2.5 and all five produced at least two goals.
Norway vs Senegal Best Bets
Norway moneyline: Norway has the best finisher on the field, a stronger midfield creator, and a plus-money price. The favorite does not need another blowout to cash.
Over 2.5 goals: Both teams have the speed to punish transitions, and Senegal must attack if it falls behind.
Both Teams to Score Yes: Senegal scored against France and has enough pace to threaten Norway's back line. Norway should create multiple chances through Haaland and Ødegaard.
Final Score Prediction
Norway 2, Senegal 1. Haaland creates the decisive advantage, while Senegal scores in transition and keeps the match competitive until the final minutes.
How to Bet Norway vs Senegal
Norway moneyline is the preferred result position. Both teams scoring is the strongest match-script wager, while over 2.5 is playable near the current price. Compare markets through the World Cup odds page, review the card in our World Cup best bets, and visit the World Cup predictions hub.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
