Toronto Blue Jays (75-85 SU, 74-86 RL, 73-87-7 O/U) vs New York Yankees (90-70 SU, 88-72 RL, 83-74-3 O/U)
When: 3:05 PM EDT, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
Major League Baseball action on Sunday afternoon and a pair of American League East rivals will square off as the Toronto Blue Jays take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York in the final game of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: Brett Anderson (4-4, 6.97 ERA) will get the call for the Blue Jays and the Yankees will counter with Jordan Montgomery (9-7, 3.96 ERA).
Blue Jays Get Blanked In Game One
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit a lot of homers this year, but they have been one of the worst scoring offenses in the league and that has been their primary issue this year. In game one of this series, they really struggled as they lost by a score of 4-0. In the game, all they could muster was just four hits and two walks while striking out 18 times. 15 of those K’s were against Masahiro Tanaka. It was just a horrible offensive display from a team that has struggled on offense all year. Getting the start in that game was Joe Biagini and he did not have a great outing as he allowed three ERs on six hits and a walk in just 5.0 innings of work. He is now 3-13 with a 5.34 ERA on the year. The Jays have gone 33-46 on the road and have averaged 4.53 rpg and have allowed 5.00 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Blue Jays in this one will be Brett Anderson and he has gone 4-4 with a 6.97 ERA in 12 starts on the year overall, including 2-2 with a 6.04 ERA in six starts as a member of the Blue Jays and 1-1 with a 10.97 ERA in his last three starts. Anderson has gone 15-6 with a 3.86 ERA in 37 career starts in Sept/ Oct and 16-15 with a 3.59 ERA in 50 games (43 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 0-5 with a 7.92 ERA in six starts against the Yankees in his career, including 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA in three starts here at Yankee Stadium.
Toronto has been a poor offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.31 rpg, while also ranking 29th in hitting at .241 and 8th in homers with 222. On the mound, they have been below average so far this year as they come in ranked 15th in the league in ERA at 4.46, while also ranking 16th in WHIP at 1.38.
Tanaka Has 15 K’s In Game One Win
The Yankees have been waiting to see the best of Masahiro Tanaka all year and he may have saved his best for his last regular season start. In game one of this series, he blanked the Blue Jays for seven innings, allowing just three hits and no walks while striking out 15 in the process. It was a career-best in strikeouts in a game for Tanaka, who is now 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA on the year. That effort has to give home some much-needed confidence as the Yankees move to the postseason and the effort also pulled New York to within just two games of the Red Sox for first place in the American League East. They have to hope that Boston loses their final two and the Yanks have to sweep their final two. It is more likely that the Yanks will face the Twins here at home in Tuesday’s AL Wildcard game. The Yankees have gone 50-29 here at home for the year and have averaged 5.67 rpg and have allowed 3.95 rpg in those games. Getting the nod for the Yankees in this one will be Jordan Montgomery and he has gone 9-7 with a 3.96 ERA in 28 starts in this his first year in the league, including 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts and 6-3 with a 3.55 ERA in 14 starts here at home. Montgomery has gone 2-5 with a 4.61 ERA in 11 day starts. In his lone start against the Blue Jays won the game 7-0 and allowed three hits and three walks in 6.0 innings in the game.
The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.34 rpg, while also ranking 7th in hitting at .262 and 1st in homers with 239. On the mound, they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.76, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.22.
- 14-40 in their last 54 games with no rest
- 1-4 their last 5 vs a team with a winning record
New York is:
- 8-2 in their last 10 vs the Western Conference
- 6-1 in their last 7 vs the Central
The Yankees could be already locked into the Wildcard game when this one is played. The Jays have not played well down the stretch and their offense has been very bad all year. That offense will be facing Jordan Montgomery, who has gone 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts and is 6-3 with a 3.55 ERA here at home for the year. It’s just hard seeing that offense getting much in this one. The Yankees’ offense is one of the best in the league and has averaged 5.67 rpg here at home for the year. They will take on Brett Anderson, who has really struggled of late as he has a 10.97 ERA in his last three starts and is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA in three career starts in this park. Even if this game means nothing, I say the Yankees are still the play.
Pick: New York
The New York offense has been hot and they have averaged 5.67 rpg here at home. They will be taking on Brett Anderson, who has a 10.97 ERA in his last three starts and has a 4.70 ERA in three road starts for the Jays, but those games have averaged just 8.0 rpg. Still, this has the feel of a high-scoring game. Jordan Montgomery has a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts, but those games have averaged 14.00 rpg. He has pitched well at home. But he has a 4.61 ERA in day starts and those games have averaged 10.18 rpg. The Yankees may not need to win this game, but I see their offense failing to take the day off, while their pitching gives up some to the Jays. Take the Over in this one.