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Mariners vs. Angels,
10-1-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#921 Seattle
Mariners
#922 Los Angeles
Angels

Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 3:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Los Angeles Angels

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Seattle Mariners (77-83 SU, 71-89 RL, 75-79-6 O/U) vs Los Angeles Angels (79-81 SU, 77-83 RL, 68-82-10 O/U)

When: 3:05 PM EDT, Sunday, October 1, 2017

Where: Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, California

Lines: Seattle -110/ Los Angeles +100

Total: 8.5

Sunday afternoon bases within the American League West and the Seattle Mariners will duke it out with the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, California in game three of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: James Paxton (12-5, 3.12 ERA) will get the nod for the Mariners in this one and he will be opposed by Parker Bridwell (9-3, 3.87 ERA).  

Mariners Have Not Finished Strong

The Seattle Mariners had a shot at a wildcard spot for most of the year, but they have really struggled down the stretch and are now just looking forward to the offseason. The Mariners fell to the Angels in game one of this series as their bullpen blew the game for them and they have now gone just 3-10 in their last 13 games. In the 6-5 loss to the Halos, the pen allowed the Angels to put up four runs in the bottom of the 8th, that put them ahead 6-5 and they held on for the win. That pen now has a 4.54 ERA in their last 10 games.  Marc Rzepczynski took the loss and is now 2-2 with a 4.02 ERA on the year. The Mariners have gone 37-42 on the road for the year and have averaged 4.71 rpg and have allowed 5.11 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Mariners in this one will be James Paxton and he has gone 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 23 starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA in his last three starts and 5-2 with a 4.08 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Paxton has gone n7-8 with a 3.87 ERA in 21 starts in Sept/ Oct and 9-4 with a 3.30 ERA in 17 career day starts, while against the Angels he has gone 4-2 with a 2.26 ERA in 10 starts, including 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA in four starts here at Angel Stadium.

The Mariners have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.64 rpg, while also ranking 12th in hitting at .259 and 17th in homers with 196. On the mound, they have been average so far as they come in ranked 14th in the league in ERA at 4.45 while also ranking 12th in WHIP at 1.31.

Trout’s Two Dingers Leads Halos To Comeback Win

The Los Angeles Angels have had their issues on offense this year, but one player that has not has been Mike Trout, who hit two hit two homers in their 6-5 win over the Mariners in game one. Trout has missed time this year, but still has 33 homers and 72 RBIs on the year, while hitting .309. It isn’t his best year, but still, he just continues to produce solid numbers for the Angels, but unfortunately this year his mates didn’t help him out a whole lot. Trout now has 201 homers in his career. They will need to get another big bat or two next year or their offense may struggle again. Despite the win. The Angels are still just 3-9 in their last 12 games as they really faded down the stretch. Los Angeles has gone 42-37 here at home for the year and they have averaged 4.38 rpg and have allowed 4.14 rpg in those games. Parker Bridwell will get the nod for the Angels in this one and he has gone 9-3 with a 3.87 ERA in 20 games (19 starts) on the year, including 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts and 4-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) hare at home. Bridwell has gone 3-1 with a 4.17 ERA in eight career day starts, while against the Mariners he has gone 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA in three starts.

The Angels have been a bit below average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up just 4.38 rpg, while also ranking 28th in hitting at .242 and 25th in homers with 184. On the mound, they have been solid as they come in ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 4.20, while also ranking 10th in WHIP at 1.28.

Trends

Seattle is:

  • 2-8 in their last 10 vs. the American League West
  • 1-7 in their last eight Sunday games

Los Angeles is:

  • 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • 16-3 in Bridwell’s last 19 starts

Both of these teams have struggled down the stretch, so who want to finish the season with a win more? The Mariners will send out James Paxton and he has pitched very well at home and he is 5-2 on the road, but with a 4.02 ERA, plus we note that he is 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA in his last three starts. I see the Angels getting to him some on offense, Parker Bridwell is 4-3 at home with a 4.33 ERA and 3-1 with a 4.17 ERA in day starts, but the Angels have gone 7-1 in his day starts this year so far. The Angels have been a solid home team and I feel that they will want this game just a bit more than the Mariners.   

Pick: Los Angeles

The Angels and Mariners have nothing left to play for except ending the season with a win. The offenses may try and go out with a bang, but I just don’t see it happening in this one. James Paxton has struggled of late, but he has a solid 1.78 ERA in five day starts this year and those games have averaged just 6.60 rpg. Paxton has a 6.97 ERA in his last three starts, but he also hasn’t allowed more than three ERs in his last 13 starts in a row. Paxton also has a 2.26 ERA in his last eight starts against the Angels and those games have averaged just 6.25 rpg. Parke Bridwell has a 4.33 ERa at home for the year, but those games have averaged just 7.60 rpg. I do not see this season finale for both teams being a high-scoring one.

Pick: Under 8.5

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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