San Diego Padres (70-90; 80-72- 8 O/U) vs. San Francisco Giants (63-97; 73-75-12 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 3:05pm EST
Line: San Francisco -147/San Diego +137
The San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres will conclude their 2017 season Sunday afternoon from AT&T Park. The Padres will give the call to 24-year old right-hander Luis Perdomo, and the Giants will send 31-year old right-hander Johnny Cueto to the hill. The Padres lead the season series 11-6.
Perdomo Looks to Match 2016 Win Total
Luis Perdomo will get the nod for the 29th time of the season, looking to finish his season with nine wins for the second straight year. Perdomo conceded four runs in five innings to the Rockies in his previous start, and was charged with the loss. The young right-hander has pitched well over the last month, however he is still carrying a 4.65 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP to go with a 8-11 record in 156.2 innings pitched this season. He has been successful against the Giants this year, going 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in four starts, and now possesses a 2-0 record with a 3.55 ERA in 38 career innings against the division rivals. Buster Posey is 2 for 6 against Perdomo, while Brandon Crawford is 2 for 12, and Hunter Pence is 3 for 11. Austin Hedges had an encouraging first full season in the Majors, posting a .214 average with 18 home runs and 53 RBI’s. The 25-year old catcher is only hitting .194 with five RBI’s against the Giants pitching this season. Hedges could evolve in a 25-30 home run threat.
The Padres are averaging a Major League low 3.73 runs per game, and are hitting a poor .233 as a team. The San Diego pitching owns a 4.68 team ERA, placing them 22nd in the Major Leagues.
Cueto Targets Third Straight Quality Start
Johnny Cueto will get the call for the 25th time of the year, looking close his season with his record above the .500 mark. Cueto notched the Quality Start last time out, holding the Diamondbacks to two runs in six innings and recorded the win to even his record at 8-8. The veteran right-hander has pitched well in two straight starts, however overall he had one of the worst seasons of his career, posting a 4.43 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 142.1 innings pitched. He allowed five runs in 11 innings in his two starts against the Padres this season, and stands at 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA in 14 career starts against the rivals. Wil Myers is only 3 for 22 against Cueto, while Yangervis Solarte is 2 for 7, and Travis Jankowski is 1 for 9. Buster Posey had another strong season at the plate in a miserable 2017 Giants season. The 30-year old catcher owns a .317 average with 12 home runs and 67 RBI’s. Posey is hitting .341 with seven RBI’s against the Padres this season.
The Giants are currently averaging 3.95 runs per game, ranking them down at 29th in the Major Leagues, and own a .249 team batting average. The San Francisco pitching possesses a 4.51 team ERA, placing them 17th in the Majors.
The San Diego Padres are:
- 0-5 in their last 5 games overall.
- 19-39 in their last 58 games in San Francisco.
- 1-4 in Perdomo’s last 5 road starts against a team with a losing record.
The San Francisco Giants are:
- 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a right-handed starter.
- 5-1 in Cueto’s last 6 starts against the Padres.
- 20-8 in Cueto’s last 28 starts against a team with a losing record.
I am taking the Giants in this matchup. Cueto has pitched well in his return to action this past month, allowing two or fewer runs in four out of his last five starts, plus he held both Arizona and Colorado to only two runs in each of his last two starts. He features a solid 3.09 career ERA against the Padres, so I am confident backing him. In addition, the Giants have pushed across 14 runs in 23.1 innings against Perdomo this season, and I expect them to take this one easily.