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Tigers vs. Twins,
10-1-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#923 Detroit
Tigers
#924 Minnesota
Twins

Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 3:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Tigers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Minnesota Twins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Detroit Tigers (63-97 SU, 72-88 RL, 87-66-7 O/U) vs Minnesota Twins (84-76 SU, 86-74 RL, 73-77-10 O/U)

When: 3:10 PM EDT, Sunday, October 1, 2017

Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota

Lines: NA

Total: NA

Major League Baseball action on Sunday afternoon and a pair of teams from the American League Central square off as the Detroit Tigers grapple with the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota in game three of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: The Tigers will be sending out Anibal Sanchez (3-6, 6.46 ERA) in this one and the Twins will counter with Bartolo Colon (6-14, 6.72 ERA).

It Has Been A Rough Finish For The Tigers

The Detroit Tigers just can’t wait for the season to end. After falling 6-3 to Minnesota in game one of this series, the Tigers have now lost 10 of their last 11 and 40 of their last 52 games. They haven’t won two games in a row since August 3rd and 4th. This is a bad team that is now tied with the Giants for the worst record in the league. They will begin their rebuilding process after this game and it will start with looking for a new coach as Brad Ausmus will not be back next year. Their next order of business will be looking for help for their pitching staff which was just horrible this year. The offense should be fine, but the may look for another big bat after losing JD Martinez to the Diamondbacks this year. The Tigers have gone 29-50 on the road this year and they have averaged 3.88 rpg and have allowed 5.38 rpg in those games. Anibal Sanchez gets the nod in this one and he has gone 3-6 with a 6.46 ERA in 27 games (16 starts) on the year, including 0-2 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts and 2-3 with a 7.43 ERA in 14 games (eight starts) on the road. Sanchez has gone 14-18 with a 3.41 ERA in 50 games (48 starts) in Sept/ Oct and 30-32 with a 4.42 ERA in 102 games (94 starts) in the daytime, while against the Twins in his career he has gone 6-5 with a 3.92 ERA in 22 games (18 starts), including 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA in 11 games (nine starts) here at Target Field.

The Tigers have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.57 rpg, while also ranking 11th in hitting at .259 and 23rd in homers with 186. On the mound they have been very poor this year as they come in ranked 30th in the league in ERA at 5.41, while also ranking 30th in WHIP at 1.50.

Twins Will Be Heading To New York

The Minnesota Twins are heading to the postseason for the first time since 2010, which is amazing, considering the fact that they had the worst record in the league last year. It has been a very nice turnaround for this team, but the problem here is the fact that they will be facing the Yankees on the road in the wildcard game on Tuesday night. The Twins have played well on the road this year (44-37), but they did go just 2-4 against the Yankees during the season and New York has gone a strong 51-29 at home for the year. This will be a tough task for the Twins, but it is a one-game playoff, so anything is possible. The Twins have been playing well of late as they are 6-2 in their last eight games, but prior to that they lost three games in a row and all three were at New York. Minnesota has gone 40-39 at home for the year and have averaged 5.23 rpg and have allowed 5.24 rpg in those games. Toeing the slab for the Twins in this one will be Bartolo Colon and he has gone 6-14 with a 6.72 ERA in 27 starts on the year, including 4-6 with a 5.50 ERA in 14 starts as a member of the Twins and 0-2 with a 10.45 ERA in his last three starts. Colon has gone 39-26 with a 3.97 ERA in 86 games (82 starts) in Sept/ Oct and 84-50 with a 4.00 ERA in 175 games (169 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 2-2 with a 5.30 ERA in six career starts in this park, while against the Tigers he has gone 8-10 with a 5.40 ERA in 27 games (26 starts).  

The Twins have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 7th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.05 rpg, while also ranking 10th in hitting at .260 and 16th in homers with 204. On the mound they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in ERA at 4.63, while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.38.

Trends

Detroit is:

  • 5-21 in their last 26 vs. the American League Central
  • 6-21 in Sanchez’s last 27 starts with four days of rest

Minnesota is:

  • 13-4 in their last 17 home games
  • 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

The Twins have nothing to play for, but still, the Tigers are a very bad team that has thrown in the towel. The Twins would still not like to head to new york off a loss and especially to one of the worst teams in the league and that should allow them to stay focused for this game. Bartolo Colon has not pitched well this year, but the Tigers have really struggled to score of late as they have averaged just 3.40 rpg in their last 10 games. The pitching for the Tigers has been horrible all year and they have allowed 6.70 rpg in their last 19 games, plus we note that Anibal Sanchez is 2-3 with a 7.43 ERA on the road and will be facing a Minnesota offense that has averaged 6.20 rpg over their last 10 games. I look for a very easy win by the Twins in this one.

Pick: Minnesota -1.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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