Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#839 Los Angeles Dodgers vs.
#840 San Francisco Giants
Thursday, October 14, 2021 at 9:07pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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It’s a win or go home situation as a pair of NL West rivals, and the top two teams in the National League, play a winner take all situation in the city by the bay. The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road as they play Game 5 of their National League Division Series with the San Francisco Giants Thursday night. San Francisco won the opening game of the series 4-0 at home Friday before the Dodgers answered with a 9-2 road win Saturday night in Game 2. The Giants regained the advantage by prevailing 1-0 in Game 3 on the road Monday night. Facing elimination, the Dodgers picked themselves off the mat again, winning 7-2 in Game 4 Tuesday night to force the decisive fifth game. Which team comes up with the victory and a berth in the NLCS against the Braves?

Los Angeles Dodgers Seek to Advance

Los Angeles faced elimination in Game 4 but got their bats going to in order to come up with the win to extend their season. The Dodgers now have to face a pitcher that shut them down in the opener and find a way to win if they want to keep their season alive. In Game 4 Tuesday night, Los Angeles got two hits each from Mookie Betts (run, three RBI), Corey Seager (two runs), Trea Turner (RBI), Will Smith (run, two RBI), Gavin Lux (run) and Cody Bellinger (run) in the victory. Betts (his first of the playoffs) and Smith (his second) each homered in the victory. Walker Buehler didn’t factor in the decision as he threw 4.1 innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and four strikeouts on three days’ rest. Joe Kelly (1-0) gave up a hit but got the final two outs of the fifth to earn the win in relief as the first of five Los Angeles relievers to take the hill.

Julio Urias takes the ball for his second postseason start after 32 regular season starts for the Dodgers in this pivotal contest. He was 20-3 with a 2.96 ERA, a 1.018 WHIP, 38 walks and 195 strikeouts over 185.2 innings of work on the year. In Game 2 of the series on the road Saturday night, he earned the win over the Giants, throwing five innings while allowing one run on three hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a 9-2 Dodgers victory. On the road this season, Urias was 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, 19 walks and 108 strikeouts over 103 innings in 18 starts. Urias makes his 21st career appearance and 15th start against the Giants in this contest. He is 2-3 with a 2.61 ERA, a 1.263 WHIP, 25 walks and 78 strikeouts over 76 innings of work against them. Urias is 2-2 with a 2.92 ERA, a 1.243 WHIP, 11 walks and 44 strikeouts over 37 innings in 10 appearances, six starts, at Oracle Park. In his career, Urias is 7-2 with one save, a 2.68 ERA, a 0.847 WHIP, 10 walks and 44 strikeouts over 43.2 innings in 19 career appearances, four starts, in the postseason.

San Francisco Giants Try to Defend Home Field

San Francisco had a chance to put the Dodgers away on the road in Game 4 but couldn’t get their bats going enough to pull out a win. The Giants now try to defend their home field and punch their ticket to the NL Championship Series. On Tuesday night, San Francisco trailed 1-0 after the opening frame and never got even again as the Dodgers took command. Kris Bryant (RBI) was the lone player for the Giants with two hits in the contest as the team finished with seven hits in the game. Anthony DeSclafani (0-1) saw his season-long struggles with the Dodgers continue as he took the loss. He allowed two runs on five hits with no walks and two strikeouts over 1.2 innings of work.

Logan Webb gets the call for the Giants for his second postseason start after making 27 appearances, 26 starts, during the regular season. He finished the regular season 11-3 with a 3.03 ERA, a 1.106 WHIP, 36 walks and 158 strikeouts over 148.1 innings of work. Webb beat the Dodgers in Game 1 of the series on Friday night at home. He threw 7.2 scoreless innings, allowing five hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts in a 4-0 Giants victory. At home this year, Webb was 6-0 with a 1.96 ERA, a 0.955 WHIP, 15 walks and 86 strikeouts over 73.1 innings in 13 appearances, 12 starts. Webb makes his seventh career start against the Dodgers in this contest. He comes in 1-2 with a 3.64 ERA, a 1.045 WHIP, eight walks and 28 strikeouts over 29.2 innings of work. Webb is 8-4 with a 3.10 ERA, a 1.176 WHIP, 35 walks and 128 strikeouts over 119 innings in 23 career appearances, 20 starts, at Oracle Park. His win in Game 1 of this series marked his first postseason appearance.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This is one of those series that you don’t want to see end as we’re looking at the top two teams in the majors this season. The Dodgers won 106 games in the regular season while the Giants won 107. This first playoff series meeting between the teams since Bobby Thomson’s “Shot Heard Round the World” when the teams were both from the Big Apple instead of the west coast has lived up to expectations. Urias led the majors in wins with 20 in the regular season and got the win in Game 2 of the series while Webb stifled the Dodgers in Game 1. San Francisco has been effective at limiting the damage that teams do against them all season. With the way the Dodgers have been so inconsistent at the plate, you have to lean slightly toward the team with home-field advantage. Give the edge to the Giants as Webb spins another solid outing and the San Francisco bullpen makes it stand up.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants -110

Full-Game Total Pick

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This series have been back and forth as the Dodgers have actually outscored the Giants 16-9 in the series yet find themselves tied. That puts us in a tough spot: Los Angeles owns a 16-4 advantage on the scoreboard in their two wins while they have been outscored 5-0 in the two losses. Urias has seen the under go 6-3-1 in his last 10 starts with an average total of 7.8 runs per game on the board in those outings. Webb had a string of six straight overs snapped in Game 1 of the series though that was heavily driven by the Giants’ offense. San Francisco scored at least six runs in each of those six starts. You can’t expect that kind of offensive outburst in this one. Look for the contest to end up falling short of the mark.

Prediction: Under 7
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.