The Los Angeles Dodgers will attempt to take a commanding 3-2 series lead when they host the Milwaukee Brewers in game five of the NLCS early Wednesday evening from Dodger Stadium. The Brewers will hand the ball to 31-year old left-hander Wade Miley, and the Dodgers will turn to 30-year old left-hander Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers persevered for a 2-1 win in 13 innings in game four on Tuesday night to even the series 2-2.
Wade Miley Attempts to Silence Dodgers Again
Wade Miley will make his third start of the postseason, aiming for his first career playoff win. Miley was brilliant in his start in game two on Saturday, tossing 5.2 shutout innings of two-hit ball, leading to the no-decision in a 4-3 Brewers loss. The veteran left-hander fired 4.2 scoreless innings against the Rockies in his performance in the NLDS. He silenced the Dodgers in his two regular season starts as well, allowing only one run (zero earned) with a 1-0 record in 13 innings, and he stands at 4-5 with a 3.55 ERA in 88.2 career innings against the Dodgers. Miley has only allowed five hits in his 10.1 innings in this postseason.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) October 17, 2018
Watch for Christian Yelich in this one as he features stellar career numbers against Dodgers’ starter Clayton Kershaw in regular season play, collecting 9 hits in 17 at bats with two homers and three RBI’s. The 26-year old right fielder is having a quiet playoff run, hitting .211 with one home run and two RBI’s, although he has walked 10 times. Brewers’ leadoff hitter Lorenzo Cain has also yet to make an impact in this series, going 1 for 15 with zero RBI’s and only one walk. The career .293 hitter is hitting .167 in seven postseason games. Cain is 3 for 14 in his career against Kershaw.
Kershaw Looks to Rebound from Rough Start in Game 1
Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw will take the mound for the third time of the postseason, attempting to rebound from a rough outing in game one. Kershaw squandered five runs (four earned) on six hits in three innings in game one on Friday night, leading to a 6-5 loss. The 6-foot-4 left-hander was flawless in his game two start against the Braves in the NLDS, firing 8.2 shutout innings in a 3-0 Dodgers’ win. Kershaw conceded six runs (three earned) in 12 innings spread across two starts against the Brewers this season, and he stands at 6-5 with a stifling 2.86 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 91.1 career innings against Milwaukee.
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 17, 2018
Dodgers’ slugger Justin Turner hasn’t been able to duplicate his postseason magic from last year, belting only one home run and three RBI’s paired with a .250 batting average in eight playoff games. The 33-year old third baseman is 3 for 10 with two walks in his regular season career against against Brewers’ starter Wade Miley. Yasiel Puig has fared well against Wade Miley in regular season play, notching 6 hits in 17 at bats with two RBI’s and six walks. The 27-year old right fielder is only 2 for 10 with zero RBI’s in this series.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are:
- 41-11 in Kershaw’s last 52 home starts.
- 9-3 in Kershaw’s last 12 starts after an outing of less than 4 innings in his previous start.
- 26-10 in their last 36 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- under is 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games.
- under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- under is 8-2 in their last 10 games at Dodger Stadium.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am selecting the Dodgers to win game five. The Dodgers now have the momentum on their side heading into game five when their ace on the mound. While Clayton Kershaw wasn’t sharp in game one, that start came on the road. He has been outstanding at Dodger Stadium in postseason play, allowing only three runs in his last 24 innings pitched at home in postseason play, resulting in a minuscule 1.13 ERA. Furthermore, the combination of Yasiel Puig, Justin Turner, and Manny Machado are hitting a combined .333 (13 for 19) in regular season play against Wade Miley. In addition, the Dodgers have now won nine out of their last 12 home playoff games.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -174
Full-Game Total Pick
The under is a strong play in this matchup. I anticipate a pitchers’ duel between two tough left-handers. Wade Miley tossed 5.2 shutout innings against the Dodgers in game two, and the under is now 6-1 in the Brewers’ last seven playoff games. Furthermore, Clayton Kershaw limited the Brewers to only three earned runs in 12 innings in the regular season, and I am very confident backing him on his home field. The under is 6-0 in the Dodgers’ last six home playoff games, and game five will be another low-scoring battle.
Prediction: Under 7
Full-Game Prop Bet
The under on the Brewers team total is a solid option. Clayton Kershaw features a sharp 2.86 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 91.1 career innings against the Brewers. In addition, the Dodgers’ bullpen is having an outstanding playoff run, allowing only three runs in 30.1 innings, equating to a dazzling 0.89 ERA.
Prediction: Brewers Team Total: Under 3
First Five Innings Side Pick
I am sticking with the Dodgers on the five inning line. It is very rare for Kershaw to struggle in back-to-back starts, and he will rebound in this one. Kershaw posted a sparkling 2.58 ERA at Dodger Stadium this season, and the Brewers lineup is only hitting a combined .238 in 126 at bats against him.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -180
First Five Innings Total Bet
The under on the five inning total is a strong option. Neither team has plated many runs in the first five innings in this series. The Dodgers have only scored a combined two runs in the first five innings in this series. In addition, the Brewers have only scored a combined four runs in the first five innings in their last three games.
Prediction: Under 3.5
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
I anticipate a scoreless first inning. Clayton Kershaw registered a stifling 1.73 ERA in the first inning this season, and Wade Miley posted a dazzling 1.76 ERA in the first frame this season. Also, both pitchers tossed a scoreless first inning in their first start in this series.
Prediction: A Run in the First Inning: No