Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4911 Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
#4912 San Francisco Giants
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 4:05pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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A pair of NL West rivals finish off a series on the diamond in the city by the bay as the regular season winds down. The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road as they close out a three-game set with the San Francisco Giants Sunday afternoon. In the opening game of the series Friday night, San Francisco jumped out in front early and rolled to a 10-4 victory to draw first blood. Will the Diamondbacks regroup in the finale here or can the Giants continue their recent success by prevailing in their home finale? This article was published prior to the conclusion of the middle game of the set at Oracle Park Saturday night.

Arizona Diamondbacks Try to Win on Getaway Day

Arizona lost for the third time in four games as they were knocked off in the opening game of this series Friday night. The Diamondbacks entered Saturday fourth in the NL West, 37 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot in the division. They have been eliminated from playoff contention. On Friday night, Jake McCarthy (run) had three hits for the Diamondbacks while Josh Rojas (run, RBI) and Carson Kelly each added a pair, though it wasn’t enough. Merrill Kelly (13-8) had a dud start as he took the loss on the mound. He gave up eight runs on nine hits with two walks and two strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work.

Zach Davies is on the mound as he makes his 27th start of the season for the Diamondbacks in this contest. He comes in 2-5 with a 4.18 ERA, a 1.291 WHIP, 47 walks and 99 strikeouts over 129.1 innings of work this season. Davies took the loss in his last start, which came against the Astros Tuesday on the road. He threw 4.1 innings, allowing four runs on six hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a game the Diamondbacks lost 10-2. In his last three starts, Davies is 0-1 with a 4.97 ERA, a 1.58 WHIP, five walks and 10 strikeouts over 12.2 innings of work. Davies makes his 10th career start against the Giants in this contest. He comes in 1-4 with a 3.70 ERA, a 1.403 WHIP, 13 walks and 33 strikeouts over 41.1 innings of work. Davies is 1-3 with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.412 WHIP, seven walks and 25 strikeouts over 28.1 innings in six career starts at Oracle Park.

San Francisco Giants Look to Finish Season Strong

San Francisco won their fifth straight and 10th in their last 11 games, climbing over .500 in the process, as they rolled to the win in the opening game of this set. The Giants entered Saturday third in the NL West, 30 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot in the division. Any combination of a Giants loss or a Phillies win would eliminate them from the playoff picture. On Friday night, San Francisco got two hits each from Joc Pederson (three runs), Mike Yastrzemski (three runs, two RBI), Evan Longoria (two runs, five RBI) and Austin Wynns (run, RBI) to lead the way offensively. Longoria (his 13th and 14th) homered twice in the game while Yastrzemski (his 16th) and Wynns (his third) each homered as well. Alex Cobb (7-7) earned the win as he threw five innings, allowing four runs on nine hits with one walk and five strikeouts.

Logan Webb is on the bump for the Giants as he logs his 33rd start of the year in the finale of this series. He comes in 15-9 with a 2.90 ERA, a 1.159 WHIP, 49 walks and 163 strikeouts over 192.1 innings of work on the year. Webb earned the win in his last start, which came against the Rockies at home Tuesday night. He threw five innings, allowing one run on five hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a 5-2 Giants triumph. In his last three starts, Webb is 2-1 with a 3.14 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, three walks and 14 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work. Webb makes his seventh career start against the Diamondbacks in this contest. He is 3-2 with a 2.65 ERA, a 1.294 WHIP, nine walks and 34 strikeouts over 34 innings of work against them. Webb is 17-10 with a 3.01 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, 61 walks and 217 strikeouts over 218 innings in 40 career appearances, 37 starts, at Oracle Park.

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The Diamondbacks have had pitching problems most of the season because outside of Zac Gallen and Kelly, the rest of the staff has left plenty to be desired. Davies has just two wins in his 26 starts and had 11 straight starts without factoring in the decision. His last victory came back on May 13. Meanwhile, Webb has earned wins in four of his last five starts and the Giants have been hot in the final couple weeks of the season. It may be too little, too late in regard to a postseason spot but San Francisco can take solace in the fact that they played hard all the way to the end. San Francisco is the better team and they are at home here. Back Webb as he aims for his 16th win as the Giants prevail in this contest.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants ML

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Arizona entered Saturday with the under having posted a 75-66-5 mark in their games this season. The Diamondbacks are tied for 14th in runs per game this season as they average 4.34 runs per contest. That number barely slips on the road to 4.33 runs a night. Arizona’s average total of the season is 8.93 runs per game, a number that climbs to 9.08 runs per game away from Chase Field. San Francisco entered Saturday’s game having seen the over post a 52-48-4 mark on the season. The Giants are tied for 11th in runs per game going into Saturday as they average 4.42 runs per contest. That number climbs slightly to 4.49 runs per game at Oracle Park. San Francisco’s average total is 8.70 runs per game, a number that falls to 8.55 runs per contest as the home team this season. We saw plenty of runs in the opener as the teams combined for 14. We might not get that high on the scoreboard but the potential is there with the way that the Giants are hitting. Look for this game to wind up over the total.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.