Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4905 Miami Marlins vs.
#4906 Milwaukee Brewers
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Dave Kovaleski

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The Milwaukee Brewers face a must-win as they host the Miami Marlins on Sunday afternoon. This is the final game of a four-game series. Pablo Lopez (10-10) goes for the Marlins while the Brewers have not yet named a starter. The Brewers are fourth in the wildcard race, close on the heels of the third-place Phillies. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee.

Lopez is tough to hit

The Miami Marlins have long been out of contention, but they seem to revel in their role as spoiler. They split with the Mets earlier this week and then took the first game here from the Brewers on Thursday. The Marlins don't hit very well, averaging just 3.57 runs per game, which is 28th in the majors, but they can pitch. The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.89, which is 14th in the league and they have a bullpen ERA of 4.13, which is 21st in the league.

On Sunday, they will hand the ball to a solid starter in Pablo Lopez. The right-hander is 10-10 on the season with a 3.90 ERA in 31 starts. He has 167 strikeouts and 50 walks in 173 innings of work. In his last outing, he scored a big win, beating the aforementioned Mets, allowing just 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings. Lopez has an ERA of 2.79 in his last 3 starts.

Brewers are still alive

The Milwaukee Brewers are not done yet -- not by a long shot. They crept within a half-a-game of the Philadelphia Phillies Friday night, not counting the results of Saturday night's game against Miami. But on Friday, they scored a 1-0 as the ace went against the ace and it lived up to the hype. The Brewers Corbin Burnes outdueled the Marlins Sandy Alcantara, allowing 0 runs and just 4 hits over 8 innings with 7 strikeouts and 0 walks. Alcantara gave up 1 run on 5 hits in 8 innings with 8 strikeouts.

The only run in the game was produced by Rowdy Tellez, who drove home Garrett Mitchell with a sacrifice fly in the 6th inning. Meanwhile, the Phillies game with the Nationals was postponed on Friday, so, like Ernie Banks said, they'll play two on Saturday. The Brewers have nothing but must-wins left on their schedule. On Sunday, they had not yet named a starter yet. They have a team ERA of 3.87 and a bullpen ERA of 3.96, both middle of the pack.

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As of the time that this article was posted, the Brewers had not yet named a starter. Adrian Houser would be next in the rotation, but in his last outing last Tuesday he suffered a groin injury and is out for the season. This means it will likely be a bullpen day. This is less than ideal for a team that can't afford any stumbles. But it is such a must-win for the Brewers, I think they are at the point in the season where it's all hands-on-deck approach and they'll use who they need to to get the win. So take the Brewers here with the money line.

Prediction: Milwaukee ML

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Not counting Saturday's game, the Brewers have averaged about 2 runs per game over their last 5. They have leaned heavily on their pitching down the stretch and it has served them well. While it will likely be a bullpen day, the Brewers are facing a weak hitting Marlins team that is ranked near the bottom of the league in runs scored. As for the Marlins, Lopez has been a a solid starter and he held down the Mets in his last start. I see him keep this game close before handing the reins over to a decent bullpen. Just as this series ha gone, I expect another low scoring game. Take the under.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Dave Kovaleski , "Dave Kovaleski"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications and we are very happy to have him as a part of our team here at Winners & Whiners and StaSalt. In addition to being a sportswriter and sports bettor, Dave has also worked in the financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and break down the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports. You will not be disappointed in following Dave on a daily basis.