Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4915 Minnesota Twins vs.
#4916 Detroit Tigers
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 12:10pm EDT
Written by Mark Ruelle

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The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers wrap up their three-game series on Sunday in Detroit. Minnesota wraps up a disappointing season that had them in first place for much of the first half before injuries derailed their season down the stretch. The Tigers have been one of the worst teams in the AL for much of the season but are coming off a six-game win streak prior to this series. The Twins have yet to name a starter for Sunday's finale while the Tigers will turn to lefty Joey Wentz (2-2, 3.54). Game time is set for 12:10pm EST.

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Back to the Drawing Board

The Twins will spend the offseason considering a new strategy after taking a shot at a unique contract signing and bringing in all-star Carlos Correa this year along with some other key trades and signings. Correa had a down year but will undoubtedly head back into free agency should price the Twins out of the market. The Twins took the opener of this series on Friday and looked to close to two games under .500 on Saturday. In game two of the series, the Twins fell 3-2 despite having ten hits but leaving ten men on base.

While finishing over .500 is a small consolation, it will still represent progress for the Twins after a dismal 2021 and an injury-riddled 2022. On Sunday, the Twins will likely turn to right-hander Bailey Ober to make the start. Ober recently returned from IL and is 1-1 with a 1.56 ERA in his three starts since returning. Ober has given up 10 hits in 17.1 inning work, including a two-hitter performance against the White Sox in his last outing.

Tigers Closing Strong

The Detroit Tigers have had a disappointing season save for the exploits of long-time Tiger Miguel Cabrera and his milestones. Overall, the team has performed poorly and its offseason acquisitions have been relative disappointments. In the last week, the Tigers have played better and even reeled off six-straight wins to get out of the basement of the AL Central. On Friday, however, the Tigers' bats went silent yet again in taking their 22nd shutout loss of the season, now the most shutouts ever in the DH era. On Saturday, the Tigers won for the seventh time in eight games with a 3-2 win.

The Tigers' offense has been historically poor this season and that will certainly be an area that management will address in the offseason. On Sunday, lefty Joey Wentz will hope to get more production when he takes his turn on the hill. In his last five starts, Wentz is 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA. He has allowed just 14 hits in 25.1 innings work. He has struck out 22 in 25.1 innings of work.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Wentz has been outstanding in his last five starts with an ERA under 2.00. Ober is coming off an outstanding start of his own but it will be interesting to see how effective he will be in this spot after pitching a season-long 7.1 innings in his last start. The depleted Twin lineup is just 3-7 in their last ten games and 7-13 in their last 20. While the Tigers have not set the world on fire, they are coming off a six-game winning streak, which indicates that the Tigers' roster is playing hard til the end of the season. Look for the Tigers to step up in this early matinee battle.

Take the Tigers with the money line.

Prediction: Detroit ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both pitchers have ERA's under two in their most recent starts. The Tigers have the worst offense in baseball this season and have been shut out a record 22 times, most in the DH era. The Twins' offense has been inconsistent, particularly since the loss of Buxton. They are 4-3 to the under in their last seven losses. In early afternoon game following a night game will not do much for either team's bats. Look for these two lineups to remain in near slumber and the game to stay under the total.

Take the under.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.