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Astros vs. Dodgers,
10-24-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot

#901 Houston
Astros 7.0
#902 Los Angeles
Dodgers -1.5

Tuesday, October 24, 2017 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Houston Astros (0-0) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (0-0)

World Series Game One: Tuesday, October 24, 2017 at 8:00pm EST

Line: Los Angeles -163/Houston +153

Total: 7

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Houston Astros in game one of the World Series Tuesday night from Dodger Stadium. The Astros will send 29-year old left-hander Dallas Keuchel to the hill, and 29-year old left-hander Clayton Kershaw will take the mound for the Dodgers. The Astros defeated the Red Sox and Yankees in their path to the World Series, while the Dodgers ousted the Diamondbacks and Cubs. 

Keuchel Faces Dodgers For First Time of Career

Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for the fourth time of the playoffs, aiming for his third win. Keuchel was hit hard by the Yankees in game five of the ALCS, serving up four runs on seven hits in 4.2 innings in a game Houston lost 5-0. The 6-foot-3 southpaw was outstanding in his first two Postseason starts, allowing a total of only one run in 12.2 innings and got the win in both performances. The five-year veteran possesses a 2.60 ERA in this playoff run and now features an excellent 2.59 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP accompanied with a 4-1 record in 31.1 career innings of playoff baseball. Keuchel has yet to face the Dodgers in his five years in the Majors.

Watch for Jose Altuve in this one as he is a solid 6 for 15 with four doubles in his career against Kershaw. The Astros star came up clutch in game six and seven of the ALCS by belting two home runs along with four RBI’s after going silent in game three to five. The 27-year old second baseman is having an outstanding playoff, featuring a sizzling .400 average with five home runs and eight RBI’s in 11 games. Altuve owns a .319 average with two RBI’s in 12 career games against the Dodgers. The Astros are hitting .247 with 12 home runs and 45 RBI’s with runners in scoring position in their 11 playoff games.

Kershaw Eliminates Cubs with Best Start of Postseason

Clayton Kershaw will make his fourth start of the playoffs, looking to improve his record to 3-0. Kershaw came through with his best performance of the Postseason in game five against the Cubs, limiting them to only one run on three hits in six innings. The Dodgers’ ace has conceded a total of seven runs in his 17.1 innings in this Postseason, resulting in a 3.63 ERA. He has allowed six home runs in his three starts, three of which came against the Diamondbacks in the NLDS. Like many teams, Kershaw has silenced the Astros for the most part throughout his career, sporting a 2.38 ERA with a 3-2 record in eight career starts. He last faced the Astros in 2015 and held them to one run in eight innings. Kershaw now owns a 4.40 career ERA in 106.1 innings of playoff baseball.

The Dodgers most valuable player at the plate in their playoff run has been Justin Turner. The 32-year old third baseman is having a spectacular Postseason run, featuring a .387 average with three home runs and 12 RBI’s in eight games. He recorded seven RBI’s in five games against the Cubs in the NLCS. Turner has been productive against the Astros in his career, posting a .262 average with two home runs and nine RBI’s in 13 career games.  The Dodgers have been clutch with runners in scoring position, hitting .273 with four homers and 13 RBI’s in eight playoff games.

Trends:

The Houston Astros are:

  • 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games.
  • 1-6 in their last 7 games at Dodger Stadium.
  • 0-4 in their last 4 World Series games.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are:

  • 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games.
  • 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games.
  • 48-10 in Kershaw’s last 58 home starts.

I am taking the Dodgers in game one. I can’t go against the Dodgers with Kershaw on the hill, especially at home, plus he features a 2.38 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros. Furthermore, Keuchel was roughed up by the Yankees in game five, conceding four runs in 4.2 innings, so I would not feel confident siding with him. In addition, while Correa and Altuve have been solid, the Astros have several players hitting under .200 in the playoffs which includes Josh Reddick, Marwin Gonzalez and Alex Bregman. The Dodgers have been much more consistent up and down their lineup at the plate. The Astros have struggled in a relief role in the playoffs as well, posting a poor 5.03 ERA in 34 innings out of the bullpen. 

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers

Kershaw has pitched well in his last two starts and the Dodgers bullpen has been lights out. I expect a dazzling performance from Kershaw who has only allowed three runs in his last 11 innings, and the Dodgers bullpens owns a minuscule 0.94 ERA in the playoffs, plus the under is 4-1-1 in the Dodgers last six playoff games. Also, the Astros have not been nearly as productive on the road in their playoff run, averaging only 2.6 runs in their five road games. The under is 8-2 in Keuchel’s last 10 starts against a team with a winning record, and he should at least contain the Dodgers bats.

Pick: Under 7

5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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