Los Angeles Dodgers (2-2; 1-2-1 O/U) vs. Houston Astros (2-2; 1-2-1 O/U)
MLB World Series Game Five: Sunday, September 29, 2017 at 8:00pm EST
Line: Los Angeles -137/Houston +127
The Los Angeles Dodgers will aim for their second straight win and attempt to take a 3-2 series lead when they clash with the Houston Astros in game five of the World Series Sunday night from Minute Maid Park. The Dodgers will give the starting nod to 29-year old left-hander Clayton Kershaw, and the Astros will send 29-year old left-hander Dallas Keuchel to the mound. The Dodgers scored five runs in the ninth to take game four by a 6-2 score to tie the series at two games apiece.
Kershaw Eyes Another Gem Against Astros
Clayton Kershaw will get the call for the fourth time of the playoffs and second time of this series. Kershaw was brilliant in game one, limiting the Astros to one run in seven strong innings and accumulated 11 strikeouts. The 6-foot-3 left-hander has been very sharp in his last three starts after a subpar start in game one against Arizona in the NLDS. He has allowed a total of eight runs in 24.1 innings, equating to a 2.96 ERA and a minuscule 0.82 WHIP accompanied with a 3-0 record in his four Postseason starts. He has been outstanding in regular season play against the Astros, sporting a 2.38 ERA with a 3-2 record in eight starts. Kershaw now owns a 4.21 ERA in 113.1 career innings of playoff baseball.
After a slow start to the World Series Cody Bellinger rebounded in dramatic fashion in game four, going 2 for 4 with two doubles and one RBI. The 22-year old first baseman was 0 for 11 heading into game four, and is now hitting .235 with two homers and five RBI’s in 12 playoff games. Corey Seager was able to record two singles in three at bats against Keuchel in game one. The 23-year old shortstop is 4 for 15 with one home run and two RBI’s in this series. Joc Pederson came out of no where in this World Series and has suddenly belted two homers and four RBI’s in his last three games after not seeing any action in game one. The Dodgers are now 4-2 in their six playoff road games.
Astros Need a Brilliant Start from Keuchel
Dallas Keuchel will take the mound for the second time of the World Series and fifth time of the Postseason in game five. Keuchel made his first career start against the Dodgers in game one and notched the Quality start, allowing three runs in 6.1 innings, however he did serve up two home runs. The Astros’ ace has not been flawless, however he still features strong numbers in this playoff run, allowing a total of eight runs in 24 innings, resulting in a 3.00 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP to go with a 2-2 record. His best start of the playoffs came in game one of the ALCS where he tossed seven shutout innings against the Yankees. Keuchel now features a terrific 2.84 ERA along with a 4-2 record in 38 career innings of playoff baseball.
Watch for Jose Altuve in this one as he is a solid 6 for 15 with four doubles in regular season play against Kershaw, and went 1 for 3 against him in game one. The 27-year old second baseman is currently 3 for 19 with one RBI in the World Series, and features a .322 average with six home runs and nine RBI’s in 15 playoff games. Houston features many players that can deliver with a big hit in game five. Carlos Correa delivered a clutch hit in game two but has been quiet since, and is now 4 for 16 with two RBI’s in the World Series. The Astros finally lost their first home playoff game of this Postseason, and are now 7-1 at Minute Maid Park.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are:
- 4-0 in Kershaw’s last 4 playoff starts.
- 14-3 in their last 17 road games against a left-handed starter.
- 4-1 in their last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.
The Houston Astros are:
- No Key Trends
I am siding with the Dodgers in game five. Kershaw has only allowed a total of four runs in his last 18 innings spread across three starts. He shut down the Cubs twice, and held the Astros to one run in seven innings in that span, so I am very confident backing him. Furthermore, Keuchel did allow two home runs and six hits in his game one start, so the Dodgers should plate a few runs off him before facing the Astros struggling bullpen. In addition the Houston bullpen now possesses an abysmal 5.21 ERA in the Postseason, and their closer Giles has not been dependable at all, surrendering eight runs in his 7.2 innings in this Postseason. I really like the Astros chances with Kershaw on the hill, and if this one does come down to the late innings, I also like the Dodgers chances due to their bullpen.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
Kershaw was at his best in game one and he should go deep into the game with a very strong outing, and Keuchel should also limit the Dodgers bats. This rematch of the game one pitching matchup should see a very similar result to the 3-1 outcome in game one. When Kershaw is on his game no lineup can get to him, as seen in game one when he held Houston to three hits, and he should be at his best again in this big game, plus the under is 4-0 in Kershaw’s last four starts against the Astros. Keuchel has only allowed one run in 12.2 innings in his two home playoff starts, and the under is 6-1 in his last seven starts on four days of rest, plus the under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams.