Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
#960 Milwaukee Brewers
Monday, October 3, 2022 at 7:40pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

This Monday, the (73-85) Arizona Diamondbacks and the (84-74) Milwaukee Brewers will play game one of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 7:40 PM EST inside the American Family field. The last time these two teams matched up, the Diamondbacks ended up stealing three of four games from the Brewers. This will also be each team's last series of the 2022 regular season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming into this one after a tough series against the San Francisco Giants. They both split the first two games, as Arizona looked great at the plate in game two. They scored eight runs, as they were consistently reaching base. They will need their bats to stay hot in this one if they want to challenge the Brewers on the road.

The Milwaukee Brewers are entering this one after a four-game series against the Miami Marlins. The Brewers struggled in game one and game three, as they failed to get their bats going. They only scored five combined runs in those two losses. They will have to be better at the plate if they want to get the job done at home in this one.

Looking for my Best Bet?

Yesterday's Best Bet cashed, as I hammered the Arizona Cardinals on the road against the Panthers. I will be looking to stay hot in this one, as I love my pick in the Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers game. Let's start this week out with a winner, as I love when we are all on the same team. You aren't going to want to miss out on this one. Buy my Best Bet and I will see all of you back in the GREEN!

Can the D-Backs Finish Strong>

The Arizona Diamondbacks will not be playing in the postseason in 2022, as they are currently in fourth place in the NL West. Arizona is also 5-5 in their last 10, as their average play couldn't sneak them into the Wild Card. They trail the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers by 37 games, as well. They are also 12 games back from the Philadelphia Phillies for the third and final NL Wild Card spot.

At the plate, the Diamondbacks are scoring 4.45 runs per game and they are hitting .230 as a team. This is the 13th most runs scored per game, but only the 26th highest team batting average. They have struggled at the dish this season, as they have failed to reach base consistently. Arizona has also realized that they have a decent amount of power hidden inside of their lineup. They are hitting 1.09 home runs per game, which is the 15th most in the MLB this season. I would watch for Christian Walker at the dish, as he leads the team with 36 home runs. I would also expect the Diamondbacks to stay aggressive once they have reached base safely. They have already swiped 98 bags this season, which is the eighth most in the league.

According to MLB.com, the Diamondbacks will be starting Tommy Henry on the mound. He is currently 3-4 this season with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. The last time that he was on the mound, he pitched for 4.3 innings and he gave up six hits and five earned runs to the Giants. He has struggled on the road this season, as well. He is currently 2-2 with a 5.95 ERA outside of his home ballpark. The Arizona bullpen is allowing the 25th most runs per game. As a team, they are surrendering 4.68 runs, which is the 22nd most runs given up per game.

Can the Brewers Sneak In?

The Milwaukee Brewers are still hoping to sneak into the NL Wild Card, as they currently trail the Philadelphia Phillies by 1.0 game. They are also 6-4 in their last 10, as they have continued to move in the correct direction. The Brewers are running out of time, though. This is the last series of the regular season for them. Milwaukee is also 8.0 games back from the first-place Cardinals in the NL Central, as they will not win their division this season.

At the plate, the Brewers are scoring 4.55 runs per game and they are hitting .235 as a team. This is the 10th most runs scored per game, but only the 22nd highest team batting average. They have struggled to string together hits this season and they have also had issues when men are in scoring position. Luckily, the Brewers have realized that they have a ton of power inside of their lineup. They are averaging 1.38 bombs per game, which is the third most in the MLB this season. I would watch for Rowdy Tellez at the dish, as he leads the team with 34 home runs. This has been the quickest way for the Brewers to score runs this regular season. I would expect Milwaukee to stay aggressive once they have reached base safely, as well. They have already swiped 91 bases this season, which is the 13th most in the MLB.

According to MLB.com, the Brewers will be starting Brandon Woodruff on the mound. He is currently 13-4 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 6.0 innings and only gave up five hits and zero earned runs. Woodruff has also been incredible at home this season, as he is 8-0 with a 1.98 ERA playing inside American Family Field. The Brewers bullpen is allowing the 18th most runs per game, as well. As a team, the Brewers are surrendering 4.32 runs per game, which is the 15th most in the league this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Brewers have one of their best starting pitchers on the mound and they desperately have to win these games if they want to sneak into the NL Wild Card. The Phillies have also struggled over the past week, as these two are only separated by one game in the standings. The Brewers are also scoring the 10th most runs per game and hitting the third most home runs, as I don't see the Diamondbacks scoring enough runs to keep this game within the spread. They can score multiple different ways and Arizona just won't be able to keep up. Milwaukee is also starting Brandon Woodruff on the mound, as he has been a man on a mission at home this season. He is currently 13-4 with a 3.05 ERA, but inside his home ballpark he is 8-0 with a 1.98 ERA. He isn't going to allow the Diamondbacks to have any success at the plate and they will slowly pull away. Arizona has the 26th-highest team batting average in the MLB, as I don't see them consistently reaching base enough to challenge the Brewers in this game. The Brewers have to show up for these games and I see them doing that in this one. They have the pitching advantage and they are finding different ways to score.

Hammer the Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) and expect them to show up in this big game!

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will be taking the under (8.5) runs in this matchup between the Brewers and the Diamondbacks. If your book doesn't have the total set at this number, then I would recommend buying to it. Milwaukee is going to have success at the plate, but they won't be able to push this total over the number by themselves. The Brewers also still have the 22nd highest team batting average, as they will struggle at the dish at different parts in this game. I also see Woodruff making it very difficult for the Diamondbacks at the plate. Arizona has the 26th highest team batting average in the league, as they will struggle to consistently reach base. Woodruff is also 8-0 at home this season with a 1.98 ERA. He is extremely tough to beat at home and it has been equally as hard to score on him. He is coming into this game with a ton of confidence, as he won't allow the Diamondbacks to score enough runs to push this total over (8.5). I expect this to be a low-scoring game and I don't see the Diamondbacks doing enough at the plate to push this total over the number. The Brewers desperately need to win this game and I see them showing up in this one. They will keep Arizona off the scoreboard and keep this total under (8.5).

Hammer the under (8.5) and trust Brandon Woodruff in this one.

Prediction: Under 8.5
Loading...

Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!