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Indians vs. Yankees,
10-8-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Cleveland
Indians
#954 New York
Yankees

Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cleveland Indians

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Yankees

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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ALDS Game Three: Cleveland Indians (Cleveland Leads 2-0) vs New York Yankees

When: 7:35 PM EDT, Sunday, October 8, 2017

Where: Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York

Lines: Cleveland -117/ New York +107

Total: 8.5

Sunday night on the MLB diamond, the Cleveland Indians will take their 2-0 ALDS lead into Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York to try and close out this best of five series against the New York Yankees. The Indians are off an improbable 9-8 win in game two and have gone 53-28 on the road for the year, while the Yankees are 52-30 here at home. Pitching Probables: Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.28 ERA) will get the nod for the Indians and he will be opposed by Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74 ERA).

Lindor Sparks Improbable Comeback In Game Two

The Cleveland Indians took game one of this series by a 4-0 score as they shut down New York’s bats, but game two was a bit of a different story as those bats woke up against ace Corey Kluber and tagged him for six ERs on seven hits in just 2.2 innings of work. Mike Clevinger then allowed two more runs in the 5th and at that point, the Indians were down 8-3. The Indians then started their comeback and it came off the bat of Francisco Lindor as he hit a grand slam in the bottom of the 6th to pull the Indians to within one The Indians then added a run in the bottom of the nine to tie the game and got a RBI single from Yan Gomes in the bottom of the 13th to win the game. The pen blanked the Yankees over the final eight innings of the game and picking up the win was Josh Tomlin. That is the kind of win that can really propel a team and now their take their league-best 53-28 road record into Yankee Stadium to try and close out this series. Taking the hill for the Indians in this one will be Carlos Carrasco and he has gone 18-6 with a 3.28 ERA in 32 starts on the year overall, including 6-0 with a 1.26 ERA in his last seven starts and 11-2 with a 2.65 ERA in 17 starts on the road. Carrasco has gone 5-4 with a 4.12 ERA in 11 games (nine starts) against the Yankees in his career, including 3-1 with 1.40 ERA in four starts here at Yankee Stadium. This will be his first career postseason appearance.

Cleveland has been a solid offensive team this year as they come in ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.05 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .263 and 15th in homers with 212. On the mound they have been the best in the league this year as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.30, while also ranking 2nd in WHIP at 1.16.

Yankees Need Strong Outing From Tanaka

Many feel that the Yankees are one year ahead of schedule, but still, here they are playing in the postseason after taking down the Minnesota Twins in the Wildcard game. Their offense was big in that game and it was big in Game two of this series, but unfortunately, the pen let them down and now they find themselves in a 2-0 hole. There is no tomorrow if they lose this one.  Masahiro Tanaka did not have a great year for the Yankees as he was just 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA in 30 starts overall, but he did go 9-5 with a 3.22 ERA in 15 starts here at home. He was 2-1 with a 4.12 ERA in his last three starts, but his last regular start was a doozy as he allowed 0 ERs and just three hits while striking out 15 in a 7-0 win over the Blue Jays. The Yankees really need that kind of effort from him if they want to fight another day, but we do not that Tanaka is just 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against the Indians. Tanaka is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA in one career postseason start and he has gone 29-12 with a 3.29 ERA in 54 career starts here at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees also have to hope that their offense shows up and that offense has been very good at home as they have averaged 5.69 rpg hear at Yankee Stadium for the year. New York has gone 52-30 at home for the year.    

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team this year as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.30 rpg, while also ranking 7th in hitting at .262 and 1st in homers with 241. On the mound they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.73, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.21.

Trends

Cleveland is:

  • 8-1 in their last nine games following an off day
  • 45-10 in their last 55 games following a win
  • 23-6 in Carrasco’s last 29 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game

New York is:

  • 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day
  • 1-7 in their last eight playoff games
  • 0-5 the last five games in this series

The Cleveland Indians are riding high after their huge comeback win in game two and now they take to the road and have gone 53-28 on the road for the year, but they are taking on a desperate Yankee team with a very good offense and a 52-20 record at home. This game could go either way, but I feel that it will go the way of the Indians. They have an edge in the mound and their offense can do some damage against Tanaka, who has not had a great year. He has pitched well at home, but also is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against the Tribe. Carrasco has gone 11-2 with a 2.65 ERA on the road and he is 3-1 with a 1.40 ERA in four career starts in this park. The Tribe have won 44 of their last 52 games overall and I for them to keep it going in this one as they send the Yankees home early.

Pick: Cleveland -117

The Yankees have a very good offense and will be in desperation mode in this one, while the Indians have averaged 5.06 rpg on the road this year. Still, this does not have the feel of a high scoring game. Carrasco comes in with a 1.26 ERA in his last seven starts and he has a 1.40 ERA in his career in this park. Tanaka has a 3.22 ERA at home this year and should he get into to trouble then a very good pen will back him up early in needed.  The Under is 35-14-3 in Cleveland’s last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 7-2 in New York’s last nine playoff home games. I look for a low scoring game in this one.

Pick: Under 8.5

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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