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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks,
10-9-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#907 Los Angeles
Dodgers
#908 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Monday, October 9, 2017 at 10:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Los Angeles Dodgers (2-0 SU, 2-0 RL, 2-0 O/U) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (0-2 SU, 0-2 RL, 2-0 O/U)

MLB: Monday, October 9, 2017, Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona, 10:08 pm ET

Lines: Los Angeles -115, Arizona +105; Over/Under: 9

It’s the continuation of a playoff series between NL West rivals as the series changes venues to the desert. The Los Angeles Dodgers look to advance to the NL Championship Series as they battle the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of their best of five NL Division Series Monday night. Los Angeles won the first two games of the series, taking a 9-5 win in the opener Friday night and following that up with an 8-5 victory in Saturday night’s action. Can Arizona stave off elimination or will the Dodgers punch their ticket to the NLCS?

Los Angeles Dodgers Poised for Sweep

Los Angeles put together a pair of solid offensive showings in Chavez Ravine to take control of the series. They’ll look to knock the Diamondbacks out on their own home field in Game 3. After giving up two runs in the top of the first, Los Angeles reeled off seven unanswered runs to take control of the game. Logan Forsythe (three runs, RBI) and Yasiel Puig (two RBI) each had three hits for the Dodgers in the game. Austin Barnes (two runs, two RBI) added a pair of hits in the contest. Rich Hill recorded a no-decision after allowing two runs on three hits with three walks and four strikeouts over four innings. Kenta Maeda (1-0) threw a scoreless inning to get the win while Kenley Jansen got the final five outs for his first save.

Yu Darvish is projected to take the ball for this contest for the Dodgers after 31 regular season starts, 22 that came with Texas and nine with the Dodgers. He went 10-12 overall with a 3.86 ERA, a 1.163 WHIP, 58 walks and 209 strikeouts over 186.2 innings of work. Darvish won in his last start, which came back on September 25 at home against the Padres. He threw seven innings, allowing one run on two hits with no walks and nine strikeouts in a game the Dodgers went on to win 9-3. He is 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA, a 0.52 WHIP, one walk and 21 strikeouts over 19.1 innings of work in his last three starts. Darvish is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA and a 0.966 WHIP over 19.2 innings in his three career starts against the Diamondbacks. He is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP over 12.2 innings in his two starts at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Hope to Extend Series

Arizona, who won the regular season series with the Dodgers, has fallen flat in their first two games of the series. The Diamondbacks need to win here or head off into the offseason with a whimper. Arizona started off well, leading 2-0 after half an inning before things unraveled: they allowed seven unanswered runs to trail 7-2 after five frames. Jake Lamb (run) was the lone Diamondback with two hits in the game while Paul Goldschmidt and Brandon Drury each homered in the loss. Robbie Ray (0-1) took the loss as he was touched for four runs on four hits with four walks and six strikeouts over 4.1 innings of work.

Zack Greinke is on the hill for Arizona with the season on the line: this is his second postseason start after making 32 starts during the regular season. He comes in 17-7 with a 3.20 ERA, a 1.072 WHIP, 45 walks and 215 strikeouts over 202.1 innings this season. Greinke recorded a no-decision in his last start, which came at home against the Rockies in the wild card game Wednesday night. He threw 3.2 innings, allowing four runs on six hits with one walk and one strikeout in an 11-8 Arizona win. Greinke is 1-1 with a 5.62 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, five walks and 15 strikeouts over 16 innings in his last three starts. He is 4-4 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.366 WHIP over 11 career starts totaling 67.1 innings against the Dodgers. Greinke is 24-8 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.125 WHIP over 252.1 innings in 40 career starts at Chase Field.

Trends:

Los Angeles

  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record

Arizona

  • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games
  • Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 playoff games

The Dodgers are in the driver’s seat here with a 2-0 series lead in the best of five set. Los Angeles solved Ray, a guy who owned them during the regular season, and now face a former teammate in Greinke. Darvish was solid in his last three starts in the regular season and looks to continue his success against Arizona and at Chase Field. The Dodgers looked more like the team that won 104 regular season games than the one that lost 16 of 17 down the stretch. Look for Los Angeles to find a way to come up with the win in this contest.

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -115

Arizona gave up 17 runs in the first two games of this series and saw both Taijuan Walker and Ray get cuffed around in losses. The Diamondbacks now turn to their ace Greinke in order to try to salvage their season. Arizona’s big issue is the fact that Greinke faded down the stretch: he was 4-3 with a 3.95 ERA over 66 innings in 11 starts from August to the end of the season compared to 13-4 with a 2.84 ERA over 136.1 innings in 21 starts. His batting average against jumped from .219 to .252 in the last two months. Darvish was strong in his final three starts and has had two weeks to rest and prepare. He’ll look to close things out with a solid start here.

The over is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 Divisional Playoff games, 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games, 4-1 in their last five playoff games and 7-2-1 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Arizona has seen the over go 4-0 in their last four on grass, 4-0 in their last four overall, 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game and 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West foes. Given Greinke’s late season swoon and the penchant for both teams to pile up runs, this one seems ready to go over the total as well.

Over 9

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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