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Indians vs. Yankees,
10-9-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 Cleveland
Indians
#912 New York
Yankees

Monday, October 9, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cleveland Indians

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Yankees

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Cleveland Indians (2-1; 1-2 O/U) vs. New York Yankees (1-2; 1-2 O/U)

ALDS Game Four: Monday, October 9, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: New York -165/Cleveland +155

Total: 7.5

The New York Yankees will attempt to force a deciding game five when they host the Cleveland Indians in game four of the ALDS Monday night from Yankee Stadium. The Indians will give the starting nod to 26-year old right-hander Trevor Bauer, and 23-year old right-hander Luis Severino will take the mound for the Yankees. The Yankees took game three by a 1-0 score.

Bauer Gets Chance To Silence Yankees Again

Trevor Bauer will make his second start of the Postseason, aiming for another victory. Bauer was tremendous in game one, tossing 6.2 innings of shutout baseball in a 4-0 Indians win. He limited the Yankees to only two hits and fanned eight batters in the gem. The young right-hander held the Yankees to just two runs in 13 innings spread across two starts in the regular season, and possesses a mediocre 4.20 ERA in eight career regular starts against the Bronx Bombers. He now stands at 1-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 20.1 career innings of playoff baseball. Bauer posted a 2.90 ERA in the month of September and finished the regular season with a 17-9 record to go with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP.

Jay Bruce has delivered for the Indians, belting a home run in game one and two to go with four RBI’s. The 30-year old right-fielder has been productive in the playoffs throughout his career, smashing four home runs with 10 RBI’s in 13 games. Bruce had a big season, hitting .254 with 36 home runs and 101 RBI’s. Watch for Jose Ramirez in this one as he has bashed two homers with three RBI’s in 10 career at bats against Severino. The 25-year old third baseman has yet to get going in this series, notching just two hits in 13 at bats with zero RBI’s.

Severino Gets Nod After Rough Wildcard Performance

Luis Severino will make his second start of the Postseason, hoping it goes better than his first performance. Severino conceded three runs on four hits and lasted only 1/3 of an inning against the Twins in the Wildcard game. The young right-hander had a tremendous season, going 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 193.1 innings logged. He was solid against the Indians this season, allowing only six runs in 13.1 innings to go with a 1-1 record, and now stands at 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA in four career starts against the Tribe. Francisco Lindor is 3 for 11 with one RBI against Severino, while Edwin Encarnacion is 3 for 15, and Jose Ramirez is 3 for 10 with two homers and three RBI’s. The Yankees bullpen is well-rested and Joe Girardi cold have a short leash on Severino if he struggles early.

Greg Bird has surprisingly been one of the Yankees best hitters in the playoffs, recording 4 hits in 13 at bats with two homers and four RBI’s. The 24-year old first baseman only hit .190 with nine home runs and 28 RBI’s in 48 games with the Yankees this season. Aaron Judge has been quiet in this series, going 0 for 10 with eight strikeouts after he recorded two RBI’s in the Yankees’ Wildcard win. 

Trends:

The Cleveland Indians are:

  • 6-1 in their last 7 divisional playoff games.
  • 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
  • 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring two or fewer runs in their previous game.

The New York Yankees are:

  • 1-5 in their last 6 games against the Indians.
  • 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games.

I am taking the Indians in this one. Bauer fired 6.2 scoreless innings of two-hit ball against the Yankees in game one, and he features solid playoff experience with a respectable 3.53 Postseason ERA, so I am confident backing him. Furthermore, Severino allowed three runs including two home runs in 1/3 of an inning against the Twins in the Wildcard game, and he will be feeling the pressure in this contest.

Pick: Cleveland Indians +155

Bauer just shut down the Yankees and he has pitched well in his career at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees could not mount any threats against Bauer in game one, and he features a 2.87 ERA in three career starts at Yankee Stadium, plus the under is 7-1 in the Indians last 8 playoff road games. Severino is a big question mark, however if he falters he will be on a short leash and the Yankees strong bullpen is well rested, so I believe this will be another low-scoring battle, plus the under is 8-2 in the Yankees last 10 playoff home games.

Pick: Under 7.5

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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