Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#831 Boston Red Sox vs.
#832 Baltimore Orioles
Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of AL East rivals close out a weekend series in Charm City on the diamond looking for a victory. The Boston Red Sox are on the road as they close out a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles Sunday afternoon. In the opening game of the series on Friday night, it was Boston drawing first blood with a 7-3 victory to set themselves up for a shot at a series win regardless of Saturday’s results. The middle game of the series Saturday saw Garrett Richards take the mound for the Red Sox. He was scheduled to face off with the Orioles’ Bruce Zimmermann. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards was slated for 7:05 pm ET.

Boston Red Sox Seek to Earn Series Win

Boston rolled to a victory on Friday night to open the series, extending their win streak to four games. The Red Sox entered Saturday tied with the Orioles atop the AL East standings, one game in front of the Rays and Yankees. In Friday’s game, the Red Sox got three hits from Christian Vazquez (run) along with two hits from Alex Verdugo (two runs), Rafael Devers (two runs, two RBI) and J.D. Martinez (run, RBI) in the victory. Enrique Hernandez (his first) and Devers (his first) each went deep in the contest. Eduardo Rodriguez (1-0) earned the win in his season debut as he allowed three runs on four hits with no walks and seven strikeouts over five innings of work.

Nick Pivetta takes the mound for the Red Sox as he makes his second start of the season here on getaway day. He comes in 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, four walks and four strikeouts on the year. Pivetta earned the win in his season debut, which came Monday at home against the Rays. He threw five innings, allowing no runs on two hits with four walks and four strikeouts in a game Boston won by an 11-2 count. Pivetta makes his fourth career start against the Orioles in this contest. He comes in 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA, a 0.857 WHIP, five walks and 26 strikeouts over 18.2 innings of work. Pivetta has gone 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA, a 0.659 WHIP, two walks and 13 strikeouts over 13.2 innings in his two career starts at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Try to Earn Win in Series Finale

Baltimore dropped the opening game of this series as they couldn’t hold a lead thanks to Boston’s bats heating up in the middle stages of the contest. The Orioles entered Saturday tied with the Red Sox for the top spot in the AL East standings. In Friday’s game, Pedro Severino (run, RBI) was the lone player with two hits in the contest for Baltimore. Severino (his first) and Ryan Mountcastle (his first) each homered in the contest. Matt Harvey (0-1) took the loss on the mound for the Orioles. He threw five innings, allowing four runs on seven hits with one walk and five strikeouts before departing.

Jorge Lopez is expected to make his second start of the year for the Orioles in this contest. He comes in 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA, a 1.286 WHIP, three walks and five strikeouts on the year. Lopez took the loss in his season debut, which came Monday on the road against the Yankees. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing four runs on three hits with three walks and five strikeouts in a 7-0 Orioles defeat. Lopez makes his third career appearance and first start against the Red Sox in this contest. He has no record, a 10.50 ERA, a 1.833 WHIP, three walks and four strikeouts over six innings of work against them. Lopez is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA, a 1.097 WHIP, eight walks and 20 strikeouts over 31 innings in six career appearances, four starts, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

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We’ve seen Boston win four straight entering Saturday’s contest after getting swept by the Orioles at home in their season-opening series. The Red Sox have managed to get things going at the plate and their pitching has been solid after that slow start to the year. Baltimore has been up and down this season and Lopez was roughed up in his season debut against the Yankees. The Orioles may have regressed to form with the loss on Friday and Pivetta has been sharp against Baltimore in his career. Martinez and company get the job done at the plate while Pivetta keeps the Orioles in check to deliver a series win for the Red Sox.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox -135

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Boston has seen the over hit in five of their first seven games this season entering Saturday. The Red Sox are ninth in the majors by averaging 5.43 runs per contest while they are 15th by allowing an average of 4.29 runs a night. That gives Boston an average total of 9.72 runs per contest this season. Baltimore has seen the under hit in four of their seven games on the year. The Orioles are 16th in the majors as they average 3.86 runs per contest this season while they stand 14th by allowing 4.14 runs per game. That gives them an average total of eight runs per game on the year. We saw the teams put up 10 runs in the first matchup Friday. Look for Boston’s bats to stay hot and help push this one over the total.

Prediction: Over 9.5
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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