Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#839 Miami Marlins vs.
#840 New York Mets
Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins collide in the series finale Sunday afternoon from Citi Field. The Marlins have yet to announce a starter and the Mets will reply with Marcus Stroman. The Mets registered a 3-2 win in the series opener, and the Marlins replied with a 3-0 win in Saturday's meeting to thwart a four-game losing streak.

Marlins Bullpen Shines in Saturday's Victory.

Manager Don Mattingly has yet to announce a starter which means this is a bullpen start. John Curtiss will likely see action considering he started games with the Rays in 2020. The right-hander has allowed two runs in his 2.2 innings pitched on the season. Miami's bullpen tossed three shutout innings in Saturday's win.

It’s been a disastrous start to the season for the Marlins who were one of the biggest surprise teams in the Majors in 2020. Miami was swept at home by the Cardinals prior to this series as the bats have not been able to break out through the first week. Miami is only hitting .210 as a team. The Marlins have two of their top starters in Elieser Hernandez and Sixto Sanchez out of action.

The Marlins have a nice mix of young talent along with veteran hitters such as Corey Dickerson. The 31-year old is batting in the leadoff spot and came through with a 2 for 4 performance at the dish in Thursday's win over the Mets before going hitless on Saturday. Dickerson is hitting .240 with two RBI’s on the young season.

Miami is averaging 3 runs on the season, pegging them 27th overall. They have posted a 4.19 team ERA, positioning them 19th in the Majors.

Stroman Gets the Nod, Mets' Bats Struggle

Marcus Stroman will get the nod for the second time of the season to conclude the series. Stroman was stellar in his Mets debut on Tuesday, conceding just one run in six innings in an 85 pitch outing against the Phillies. The veteran right-hander opted out last season and was quite reliable in his first year with the Mets in 2019, reporting a solid 3.77 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP complemented by a 4-2 record in 11 starts. This will mark his first career meeting against the Marlins.

New York is expected to make the playoffs this season and they definitely have the talent to do so. The bats weren’t able to solve the Phillies this week and the offense has stumbled in this series. They needed a ninth-inning comeback to top Miami in the series opener and once again had no answer at the plate in Sunday's 3-0 defeat.

The Mets have several hitters that have yet to find a groove including Jeff McNeil. The 28-year old third baseman only has one base hit in 13 at-bats so far this season after registering a .311 batting average in 2020. McNeil drove in four runs against the Marlins last season and is 1 for 5 with a homer and two walks in this series.

The Mets are scoring an average of 3.2 runs per game, placing them 25th overall. They enter with a 3.77 team ERA, good for 15th overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Mets are well overdue for some runs and this is a good opportunity to break out at the plate against a Marlins team using their bullpen for this game. Miami won Saturday’s clash 3-0 however they have yet to win consecutive games all season and their offense has been worse than the Mets this season, scoring three or fewer runs in four straight games overall.

Furthermore, Mets’ starter Marcus Stroman was fantastic in his season debut, holding the Phillies to only one run in six innings. Unlike deGrom, the Mets offense has provided Stroman with run support which included eight runs in Stroman's season-opening start.

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The under has been the play when the Marlins are involved this season. Miami has scored two or fewer runs in five of their eight games on the season and as mentioned Stroman was solid in his first start, plus Miami has only bashed three home runs all season. The under is 4-0-1 in the Marlins’ last five games overall.

In addition, while I expect the Mets to score enough runs to win this game, they have really only had one big game at the plate this season and only have three homers all year. The under is 7-3 in the Mets’ last 10 games against a team with a winning % below .400.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The under on the Marlins team total should cash. Miami has only had one productive effort at the plate this season which came in the season-opening series. They scored a combined eight runs in their last five games overall including five runs in this series. Stroman should shine again in this one.

Prediction: Marlins Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:


A scoreless first inning has been a solid bet for both these teams. The Marlins have struggled in the first inning, recording only two runs on four hits in their eight games. The Mets have yet to score a run and have managed only three hits in the opening inning.

Prediction: A Run in the First Inning No

Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.