Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#847 Milwaukee Brewers vs.
#848 St. Louis Cardinals
Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 2:15pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

St. Louis will be looking for another National League Central victory when it hosts Milwaukee in Sunday’s series finale. The Brewers won their series against Chicago prior to dropping Thursday’s opener to this series. St. Louis and Milwaukee played the second game of their series on Saturday afternoon, but this story was published prior to that game.

Brewers hoping to get the bats going

Milwaukee opened the season with an exciting 6-5 win over Minnesota in extra innings. The Brewers proceeded to lose their following two games against the Twins to drop the first series of the season. They bounced back with wins in two of their three games against Chicago. Their series against the Cardinals got off to a slow start, as they dropped the 3-1 contest on Thursday. Milwaukee took a 1-0 lead in the top of the third inning on a defensive error. St. Louis tied the game in the seventh and scored the decisive runs in the bottom of the eighth.

The Brewers have not been good offensively, ranking No. 27 in team batting average at .172. St. Louis has a pitching staff that is No. 19 with a team ERA of 4.43. Catcher Omar Narvaez leads the offense with eight hits and a .444 batting average. Left fielder Christian Yelich has seven hits and four walks. Left-handed pitcher Brett Anderson will make the start for the Brewers on Sunday. He allowed four runs on four hits and one walk across 5.0 innings at Chicago on April 5. Anderson struck out four batters in the loss.

Ponce de Leon coming off nice start

St. Louis opened the season by losing two of its first three games in Cincinnati. The Cardinals bounced back by sweeping Miami on the road, outscoring the Marlins 15-3 in the three contests. They opened the series in Milwaukee with a 3-1 victory on Thursday. The Brewers scored the first three runs of the game, but St. Louis responded with the tying run in the seventh inning. The Cardinals picked up the win on a two-run homer in the eighth. Newly-signed Nolan Arenado blasted the homer to clinch the win. Arenado had a team-high 10 hits entering Saturday’s game.

Third baseman Tommy Edman and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt both have eight hits on the season. The Cardinals are No. 24 in the MLB in team batting average at .202. They are facing a Milwaukee pitching staff that is No. 10 with a team ERA of 3.29. Right-handed pitcher Daniel Ponce de Leon will make his first home start of the season on Sunday. He secured his first win on Monday in Miami. Ponce de Leon threw nearly 90 percent four-seamers in that start. He limited walks, but he will likely be trying to mix in some other pitches in this game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

St. Louis has the advantage in Sunday’s starting pitching matchup. Ponce de Leon was excellent in his first start and was able to coast just using his four-seam fastball. Anderson was roughed up against the Cubs in his first start. St. Louis does not have a great team batting average, but it has been able to come up with clutch wins throughout the season. Goldschmidt and Arenado are two of the best bats in the MLB. The Cardinals have a chance to win the series on Sunday and I think they will take advantage.

Prediction: St. Louis -125

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is shaping up to be a low-scoring game on Sunday afternoon. St. Louis comes up with clutch hits, but it does not light up the scoreboard. The Cardinals do not have a very good batting average and are facing a capable starting pitcher in this game. Ponce de Leon looked really sharp in his first start. Anderson has gone under in his last four starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers have gone under in each of their last four games against a right-handed starter.

Prediction: Under 8.5
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.