Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#841 New York Yankees vs.
#842 Tampa Bay Rays
Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by David Delano

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The Tampa Bay Rays will host the New York Yankees in the finale of their three-game series on Sunday. The Rays took the opening game of the series 10-5 as a +124 money line underdog and won again on Saturday 4-0.

The Rays have now taken 12 out of the last 15 head-to-head games against the Yankees in this rivalry.

Montgomery looks for back-to-back strong starts

The Yankees have the second-best odds in baseball to win the World Series at +550, behind only the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Yankees are also the overwhelming favorite to take their division with -200 odds. New York has gotten off to a mediocre start this season with a 3-5 record. The Yankees are 13th in MLB, scoring 4.3 runs per game and 11th batting .248. Leading the way is Aaron Judge batting .364 with two home runs and RBI, along with Giancarlo Stanton (2 HR and 7 RBI) and Gary Sanchez (2 HR and 3 RBI).

Jordan Montgomery is scheduled to toe the rubber first on Sunday. On Monday, he threw six shutout innings in the Yankees 7-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles. In 2020, Montogomery went 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA in 10 starts. Montgomery is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.76 WHIP against the Tampa Bay Rays for his career. The Yankees bullpen that will be supporting Montgomery is currently third in MLB with a 2.20 ERA.

Wacha making second start as a Ray

Currently, the Rays have +2500 odds to win the World Series, tied for 12th in MLB, and are tied for second with +425 odds to take the AL East t according to the odds set by BetMGM. The Tampa Bay offense is mostly the same as last years' American League pennant-winning squad. The Rays were 21st in MLB with a .238 average, 14th with 80 home runs, and 12th with 289 runs scored in 60 games. The Rays roster's most significant blows came with 2018 Cy Young award winner Blake Snell being traded to San Diego and when Charlie Morton signed with the Atlanta Braves. Morton signed shortly after the Rays declined his team option.

Tampa Bay is 4-4 to start this season. Through the first seven games, the Rays averaged 4.7 runs and are 14th in MLB with a .232 batting average. Manuel Margot leads Tampa Bay with a .300 batting average and has also driven in five runs. Austin Meadows leads the team with two home runs, and Joey Wendle leads the way with seven RBI.

Michael Wacha is scheduled to start for the Rays on Sunday. In 2020, Wacha was 1-4 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in eight games and seven starts as a member of the New York Mets. Wacha pitched five innings and allowed five runs, four earned in Monday's 11-2 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Wacha has made three career starts against the Yankees and is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.50 WHIP against them. The Rays bullpen has struggled this season, currently last in MLB with a 7.56 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The sample size is small so far this season, but Jordan Montgomery looked much sharper than Micahel Wacha did in his season debut. The Rays bullpen has been atrocious so far this season, while the Yankees pen has pitched well.  The Yankees also have the stronger offense, which I think gives them the edge here. Take New York to avoid the sweep.

Prediction: New York Yankees ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Rays played to the over in six of their last seven games overall, and New York has played to the over in five of its last seven road games. With two shaky starters throwing on Sunday and the Rays bullpen currently not performing well, my play is on the over.

Prediction: Over
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  We are glad to have David on our team, so be sure and follow along.